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February 4, 2013

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue

 

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Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

 

Market Strategies

$10,000 Options Trading Account

 

New Trades for this week:

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Options Trading Strategies Comments

This week was another monumental gain for the Options account with a profit of $3200 bringing our YTD performance over an astonishing 102%   What we found interesting (you can be the judge) was that the biggest gains were generated AGAIN on a put position while we had a move to new 5 year highs in the major indexes. There are always going to be contrary moves within a bull market and because the backdrop is so strongly bullish these contrary moves tend to be exacerbated. When it’s so easy to go along for the ride up, the holders of the non-participants become indiscriminant sellers of the laggards. And when you get a “battleground” stock like HLF; the moves become extreme. The AAII numbers in the Market Lab below show that the bullish number came down and not from a move to bearish, but to neutral.  This market continues to climb the wall of worry but we remain cautious based on the extensive move without any of the normal and expectable pullback. Europe or the Middle East can become an issue any overnight, and while a rotation out of the bonds into stocks may be bullish, the economy and the housing markets cannot yet take an increase in interest rates, and trying to finance our growing deficits at rates higher than what we have now would be crippling. This is why we continue to maintain our balanced approach to portfolio management. CAM   Where To Invest Now Options Trading Strategies Table   Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the VIP Subscriber Members Only TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

New Trades for this week:

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Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

 

The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25^th 147 calls or puts.

 

Market Strategies Where To Invest Now

Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

 

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits

M2 adds Savings and Money market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio 

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Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members. Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

$100,000 Trading Portfolio Options Trading Strategies

Recommendations And Overall Comments

We gained $ 6,969.00

in closed out positions last week.

Our profits for the year rose to

$ 22,783

New Trades for this week:

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only! 

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The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise started, while each stock position requires $ 5,000 unless specifically stated.

We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000.00 and are using $ 4,320 in three options positions and $ 67,072.00 in the17 stock positions a total of  $ 71,392. 00 with $ 28,608.00 in cash.

These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

 

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the $100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

 

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Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

This Weeks’ Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals

Transportation went from the best performing index the past two weeks to the worst last week. The DJ 20 was down 0.22%, the only index lower on the week. Nasdaq rose 0.93%, and not that much but enough to be the leader. UPS had a miss in earnings which sent the stock careening down and a modest influence on the DJT.

Telecommunications was by far the leader last week up 3.38%. Utilities gained 1.36% and Oil and Gas 1.10%. Technology added 1.06%; Health care gained 0.78% and Financials 0.77%. Consumer Goods added 0.30% and Industrials rounded out the winners with a small 0.18% gain. Consumer services fell 0.16% and Basic Materials 0.85%.

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

The Unemployment Report turned out to be most eventful. Unemployment rose a tick to 7.9% but averaged 7.8% for most of 2012.  The initial Payroll number was bearish at 157K when 180K was expected. Then came the Workweek, down to 34.4 hours from 34.5 hours, also negative. Bonds soared on the news. The S&P came down a little; then came the usual  revisions for both November and December. November Payrolls were revised higher with an 86,000 surprise from 161K originally reported.  December Payrolls were revised up from 168K originally reported to 202K. The additional 127K jobs sparked a big change in the markets.

 

Suddenly the March S&P reversed from a decline to 1500.00  to a jump to 1507.50. The TBT reversed from a decline to 66.45, which would have been down 100 pts on the day to a rally all the way to 69.15, 170 pts higher on the day an outside day up and  move of 270 points. The annual revisions for all of 2012 were included in this report showing that 335,000  nonfarm payroll jobs had not been counted. Hourly Wages also rose 0.3% which was refreshing as an increase from what had been 0.1% and 0.2% monthly gains. Monthly Payroll gains averaged 181K in 2012.

 

However, the big picture remains Fed favorable for continued monetary expansion as payroll growth is not enough to bring unemployment below 6.5%.

 

Early in the week there was a report of a huge drop in January Consumer Confidence to just 58.6, down from 66.7 in December and a consensus of 65.1. GDP was minus 0.1% for the 4^th Qtr and pending Home sales fell 4.3%. With the pending Budget and sequester ahead of us there is plenty of worry ahead for the markets, because as to remain friendly they need to be able to climb a wall of worry.

 

Market Strategies Technical Information

 

Support Levels S&P 500    1488- 1495

Resistance S&P 500           1515-1525

 

Support Levels DOW        13765-13895

Resistance DOW               14150-14198

 

Support Levels QQQ           6600-6640  

Resistance QQQ                  6889-6920  

                   

Support Levels Nasdaq      3120      

Resistance Nasdaq             3298

 

   

Market Strategies Cycles

The S&P 500 has rallied from 1398.11 Dec 31^st to 1513.1 ( +8.2% ) and the Dow from 13,104.14 to 14,009.49 for the week ended February 1^st  ( +6.9% ) and the first five weeks of the year.

Stretched. After blasting through resistance at their old September 2012 highs, DJIA and S&P 500 have barely paused. NASDAQ continues to struggle with Apple’s poor performance and has yet to break out to a new 52-week high, but has still participated in the rally. As a result of the buying frenzy; stochastic, relative strength, and MACD indicators are all signaling an overbought market. This does not guarantee the demise of the rally; it only suggests that as DJIA and S&P 500 climb toward their previous all-time highs that further gains could be arduous

Devised by Yale Hirsch in 1972, the January Barometer has registered only seven major errors since 1950 for an 88.9% accuracy ratio. This indicator adheres to propensity that as the S&P 500 goes in January, so goes the year. Of the seven major errors Vietnam affected 1966 and 1968. 1982 saw the start of a major bull market in August. Two January rate cuts and 9/11 affected 2001.The market in January 2003 was held down by the anticipation of military action in Iraq. The second worst bear market since 1900 ended in March of 2009 and Federal Reserve intervention influenced 2010. Including the eight flat years yields a .762 batting average.

 

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Rule 17 B Attestations:

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought  81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products.

 

When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate when money is needed for other opportunities.

 

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

Phone: (702) 650-3000

Fax: (702) 697-8944

mike@princetonresearch.com

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