Where To Invest Now
December 3, 2012 Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
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Covering High Return
Balanced Investing Strategies To
Make Money In Up Or Down Markets
A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Bill Chippas, Charles Moskowitz
Market Strategies
$10,000 Options Trading Account
New Trades for this week:
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Options Trading Strategies Comments
This week we had a gain of $1,398
bringing the YTD performance up to $13,874.
A return of over 138%
We actually traded around our positions that were carried over from the prior week, since we feel they have more potential and are carrying positive equity.
After watching the market react to every political statement about the Fiscal Cliff, and watching the Sunday morning political talk shows, it is clear that we are in for more of the same blame and posturing that was so evident during the Debt ceiling issues last summer. The upshot with be evidenced by micro-rallies and selloffs every time one side or the other speaks in front of the cameras.
The only tactic that makes any sense is to make sure we are buying support and selling resistance. While this may leave some profit on the table we are content to take profits and continue to add to our performance.
In the final analysis, A deal will get done, maybe before the turn of the year, maybe after…Either way profits will be made with proper money management.
…………..CAM
Options Trading Strategies
New Trades For This Week
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Market Strategies Where To Invest Now
Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
|
Dow 13,025.58 +15.90 +0.12% |
Nasdaq 3010.24 +43.39 +1.46% |
S&P 500 1416.18 +7.03 +0.50% |
|
Transportation 5,119.11 +67.35 +1.33% |
Russell 2000 821.92 +14.74 +1.83% |
Nasdaq 100 2677.88 +38.29 +1.45% |
|
Gold (spot) 1710.90 -40.40 -2.3% |
Silver (Dec ) 3327.9 -92.7 -2.7% |
Crude 88.91 +0.63 +0.7% |
|
Heating Oil 306.07 -2.53 -0.8% |
Unleaded Gas 2.7303 +.0099 +0.4% |
Natural Gas 3.561 |
|
VIX 15.87 +0.73 +4.8% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 138/100’s +34/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 63/100’s +3/100’s
|
|
Bonds 151-13+1-12 2.79% -0.04% |
10 Yr Note 134-04+256 1.61%-0.083%
|
Copper 365.0 +11.10 +3.2% |
|
CRB Inflation Index 298.98 -0.09 -0.03% |
Barron’s Confidence 66.8% -0.8% |
S&P100 646.39 +3.34 +0.52% |
|
5 Yr Note 124-27+126 0.61%-0.08% |
Dollar 80.23 +0.01 +.01% |
DJ Utilities 454.12 +13.53 +3.07% |
|
AAII Confidence Index |
||
|
Bullish 40.9% +5.1% |
Bearish 34.4% -6.4% |
Neutral 24.7% +1.3% |
|
M1 Money Supply +12.68% Nov 19th |
M-2 Money Supply +6.56% Nov 19th |
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
New Stock Recommendations
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
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$100,000 Trading Portfolio
Options Trading Strategies
Recommendations And Overall Comments
We gained $ 2,915.00 last week.
Our gain for the year was
increased to a hypothetical $ 51,750.
We have six long options positions plus sixteen stock positions remaining:
The Stock table includes sixteen positions:
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise started, while each stock position requires $ 5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000.00 and are using $ 6,424. in the six options positions and $ 67,319 in the 16 stock positions a total of $ 73,743.00 with $ 26,257.00 in cash.
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number…
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the $100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
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Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
This Weeks’ Market Strategies
Economic Numbers and Media Data
| Monday | 10:00 hrs ISM Index Nov
( 51.2 vs 51.7 )
10:00 hrs Construction Spending Oct ( 0.4% vs 0.6% )
Eurozone Finance Ministers discuss terms of a Greek debt purchase which is part of a debt reduction plan.
14:00 hrs Auto and Truck Sales for Nov ( NA vs 11.2Mln ) |
| Tuesday | President Obama meets with Governors
at the White House.
Toll Brothers posts quarterly results. |
| Wednesday | 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 11/24
( NA vs -0.9% )
08:15 hrs ADP Employment Change Nov ( 125K vs 158K )
08:30 hrs Productivity 3rd Qtr Revised ( 2.7% vs 1.9% )
Unit Labor Costs ( -0.8% vs -0.1% )
10:00 hrs Factory Orders Oct ( -0.1% vs 4.8% )
10:00 hrs ISM Services Nov ( 53.7 vs 54.2 )
10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 12/01 ( NA vs -0.347 Mln BBls ) |
| Thursday | 08:30 hrs Initial Unemployment Claims
12/01 ( 382K vs 393K )
Continuing Claims 11/24 ( 3275K vs 3287K )
The Joint Economic Committee of Congress looks at how to protect the middle class from the fiscal cliff. |
| Friday | 08:30 hrs Nonfarm Payrolls Nov
( 90K vs 171K )
Nonfarm Private Payrolls ( 120K vs 184K )
Unemployment Rate ( 8.0% vs 7.9% )
Hourly Earnings ( 0.1% vs 0.0% )
Average Workweek ( 34.4 vs same )
09:55 hrs Michigan Sentiment ( 82.4 vs 82.7 )
15:00 hrs Consumer credit Oct ( $9.9B vs $11.4B ) |
Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals
Utilities made a great rebound last week. Oversold because of Cliff considerations the beleaguered Utility Spider the XLU ( XLU: $ 35.32 ) up 1.23 made a huge recovery jumping 3.6%. Utilities led all Ten Dow Industrial groups by a huge margin ( 3.25% ) and they pay great dividends. Consumer services rose 1.23% as the next best performer.
Technology gained 1.10%; Industrials were up 1.05% and Basic Materials 0.66%. Consumer Services added 0.65%; Health Care 0.41% and the last gainer Telecommunications eked out a slim gain of 0.23%. Both Financials – 0.27% and Oil and Gas minus 0.56%, had small losses.
Market Strategies Economic Data
GDP has been on a steady climb and is now approaching 2000-2001 levels. 3rd Qtr GDP was revised up from 2.0% in the advance estimate to 2.7% in the second estimate. Most of the increase was due to the pick- up of inventories but not because of anticipated demand. Consumption was revised lower ( from 2.0% to 1.4% ) while nonresidential investment in equipment and software was revised lower ( from no growth to -2.7% ).
Pending Home sales rose 5.2% as Housing reflects one of the strongest sectors of the economy. Otherwise, the GDP report showed that overall without housing, the economy remains sluggish with little or without inflation no growth.
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1378;1388
Resistance S&P 500 1420;1425
Support Levels DOW 12770;12860
Resistance DOW 13164;13240
Support Levels QQQ 6420;6480
Resistance QQQ 6640;6730
Support Levels Nasdaq 2930;2980
Resistance Nasdaq 3040;3090
CYCLES
Whatever method you use to pick stocks, your ultimate success or failure will depend on your ability to ignore the worries of the world long enough to allow your investments to succeed. It isn’t the head but the stomach that determines the fate of the stock-picker.
— Peter Lynch ( Fidelity Investments Beating the Street 1994 )
Every year the “January Effect” seasonal comes into play. For tax purposes traders tend to sell their losers. This is an extremely short-term strategy. Patience is needed to be sure the selling has taken place and run its course significantly because these stocks are not selected necessarily on a quality basis. This strategy eliminates preferred stocks; closed end mutual or hedge funds; new issues. We only consider fully traded shares on listed exchanges including AMEX, NYSE or Nasdaq.
This strategy is designed to get in and out as soon as there is a significant gain. One has to be nimble as the stocks were bought on a technical basis rather than a fundamental although it doesn’t hurt to utilize some logic. These stocks all behave differently, and there is no standard trading rule that applies to these trades. In general, it is best to close out of all these stocks after the first of the year
*Rule 17 B Attestations:
*Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is no or very small losses, we will liquidate when money is needed for other opportunities.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944
Visit: www.princetonresearch.com
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