December 17, 2012
Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
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Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To
Make Money In Up Or Down Markets
A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Bill Chippas, Charles Moskowitz
Make Money In Up Or Down Markets.
$10,000 OPTIONS Trading Account
New Trades for this week:
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Options Trading Strategies Comments
We had another good week making $1,587 and
bringing our YTD performance
to a new record $17,696
Returns of over 176%
We maintained our balanced approach market strategies using puts and calls to be both protect against selloffs and take advantage of weaker stocks.
The market seems to have discounted the possibility of going over the Fiscal cliff and set it up as “it’s okay if we have to go over” for a couple of days….It is NOT okay, and the headline risk still remains.
We are impressed by the underlying strength, but are made wary by the closeness of overhead resistance. The disruption from the automatic tax increases as well as cuts in defense are unknown at this point, but would be cause a drastic reduction to first quarter GDP.
—CAM
New Trades for this week:
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MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES
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Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
For any questions please call 702 650 3000.
Market Strategies Where To Invest Now
Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
Dow 13,135.01 -20.12 -0.15% |
Nasdaq 2971.33 -6.71 -0.23% |
S&P 500 1413.58 -4.49 -0.32% |
Transportation 5,186.95 +58.89 +1.15% |
Russell 2000 823.75 +1.48 +0.18% |
Nasdaq 100 2628.09 -12.45 -0.47% |
Gold (spot) 1695.80 -8.20 +0.5% |
Silver (Dec ) 3229.9 -83.2 -2.5% |
Crude 86.73 +0.80 +0.9% |
Heating Oil 298.07 +6.54 +2.2% |
Unleaded Gas 2.6621 +0.0647 +2.5% |
Natural Gas 3.314 |
VIX 17.0 +1.10 +6.9% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 160/100’s +4/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 63/100’s -2/100’s
|
Bonds 148-11 -1-06 2.871% +0.061% |
10 Yr Note 132-254-246 1.622%+0.066%
|
Copper 368.30 +2.00 +0.6% |
CRB Inflation Index 294.89 +0.19 +0.06% |
Barron’s Confidence 67.4% +1.4% |
S&P100 642.42 -3.40 -0.53% |
5 Yr Note 124-122-098 0.688%+0.061% |
Dollar 79.56 -0.86 -1.1% |
DJ Utilities 451.10 -2.54 -0.56% |
AAII Confidence Index |
||
Bullish 43.2% +1.0% |
Bearish 30.1% -4.5% |
Neutral 26.7% +3.5% |
M1 Money Supply +14.89% Dec3rd |
M-2 Money Supply +6.85% Dec3rd |
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2 adds Savings and Money market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
New Stock Recommendations
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
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Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, whichgo up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.
$100,000 Trading Portfolio
Options Trading Strategies
Recommendations And Overall Comments
We gained $ 3,939 last week.
Our gain for the year increased to $ 58,863
We have four long options positions plus sixteen stock positions remaining:
The Stock table includes the following sixteen positions:
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise started, while each stock position requires $ 5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000.00 and are using $ 3,600
in the six options positions and $ 56,256.00 in the 16 stock positions a total of $ 59,896.00
with $ 40,104.00 in cash.
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number…
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the $100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated.
- When the option has doubled sell half the position.
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade.
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
This Weeks’ Market Strategies
Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday |
08:30 hrs Empire Manufacturing Dec ( 2.0 vs -5.2 )
09:00 hrs Tic Flow October ( NA vs 3.3B )
ECB president Mario Draghi testifies at the European Parliament. |
Tuesday |
08:30 hrs Current Account Balance 3rd Qtr ( -$103B vs -$117.4B )
10:00 hrs NAHB Housing Market Index Dec ( 47 vs 46 ) |
Wednesday |
07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 11/24 ( NA vs 6.2% )
08:30 hrs Housing Starts November ( 873K vs 894K ) Permits ( 876K vs 866K )
10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 12/15 ( NA vs 0.843M
Fedex,General Mills report results. |
Thursday |
08:30 hrs Initial Unemployment Claims 12/15 ( 345K vs 343K ) Continuing Claims 12/01 ( 3192K vs 3198K )
08:30 hrs GDP Third Estimate 3rd Qtr ( 2.7% vs 2.7% ) Deflator ( 2.7% vs Same )
10:00 hrs Existing Home Sales Nov ( 4.90M vs 4.79M )
10:00 hrs Philadelphia Fed Dec ( 1.0 vs -10.7 )
10:00 hrs Leading Indicators Nov ( -0.2% vs 0.2% )
10:00 hrs FHFA Housing Price Index Oct ( NA vs 0.2% )
10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 12/15 ( NA vs 2 ) |
Friday |
08:30 hrs Personal Income Nov ( m0.3% vs 0.0% ) Personal Spending ( 0.3% vs -0.2% ) CORE PCE Prices ( 0.1% vs Same )
08:30 hrs Durable Goods Nov ( 0.2% vs 0.5% ) Ex-Transportation ( -0.4% vs 1.8% )
09:55 hrs Michigan Sentiment Dec Final ( 74.0 vs 74.5 )
Nasdaq replaces stocks in the 100 index |
Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals
The ten Dow Industrial Groups were mixed with 3 higher and seven lower. Basic Materials rose 2.46%, by far the largest move of any group. The other nine were slightly up or down but mostly ignoring the perils of a fiscal cliff. Telecommunications gained 0.58% and Industrials 0.33%. The remaining seven groups were all negative. Consumer Services fell 0.93%; Oil and Gas lost 0.65%.
Utilities lost 0.64%; Consumer goods 0.64%; Technology fell just 0.46% because Apple, the largest company in U.S. is not in the Dow. Financials fell 0.36%; Health Care 0.15%.
Apple ( AAPL: $ 509.79 ) – $ 23.46 or 4.4% fell sharply on the day the iPhones began selling in China.
Advance reports of sales of iPads were also negative influencing tech stocks resulting in losses for Nasdaq and the S&P 500. Apple suppliers were also hit with losses:
Transportation stocks fared the best as the DJT rose 58.89 points to 5,186.95 or 1.13%.
Market Strategies Economic Data
Economic reports were robust. The Trade Balance began the week at a -$ 42.2B number, lower than expected and a positive impetus to GDP.
Industrial Production for November rose 1.1% well above expectations of + 0.3% as rebuilding following hurricane Sandy is in full force. Capacity Utilization for November grew to 78.4% from 77.7% in October.
Retail Sales came in at +0.3% for November reversing October’s -0.3%. Initial Claims were down sharply to 343K from 375K the previous week while Continuing Claims continued to decline to 3,198K from 3,221 the previous week.
The inflation numbers were soft. The PPI was -0.8% while the CORE was plus 0.1%. The CPI fell 0.3% while the Core was also plus 0.1%.
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1390;1405
Resistance S&P 500 1428;1440
Support Levels DOW 12940;13000
Resistance DOW 13275;13480
Support Levels QQQ 6240;6300
Resistance QQQ 6640;6730
Support Levels Nasdaq 2950;2980
Resistance Nasdaq 3040;3090
Market Strategies Cycles
Whatever method you use to pick stocks, your ultimate success or failure will depend on your ability to ignore the worries of the world long enough to allow your investments to succeed. It isn’t the head but the stomach that determines the fate of the stock-picker.
— Peter Lynch ( Fidelity Investments Beating the Street 1994 )
Every year the “January Effect” seasonal comes into play. For tax purposes traders tend to sell their losers. This is an extremely short-term strategy. Patience is needed to be sure the selling has taken place and run its course significantly because these stocks are not selected necessarily on a quality basis. This strategy eliminates preferred stocks; closed end mutual or hedge funds; new issues. We only consider fully traded shares on listed exchanges including AMEX, NYSE or Nasdaq.
This strategy is designed to get in and out as soon as there is a significant gain. One has to be nimble as the stocks were bought on a technical basis rather than a fundamental although it doesn’t hurt to utilize some logic. These stocks all behave differently, and there is no standard trading rule that applies to these trades. In general, it is best to close out of all these stocks after the first of the year.
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
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*Rule 17 B Attestations:
*Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is no or very small losses, we will liquidate when money is needed for other opportunities.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944
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