Where To Invest For High Returns Newsletter November 21, 2016

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Where to invest market strategies

November 21, 2016

Market Strategies Newsletter – Sample Issue

 

Where To Invest Now For High Returns

 

 Where To Invest Balanced Investing Strategies

To Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

 

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

 

Where To Invest Now For High Returns Newsletter Covering:

 

Where To Invest November 2016

Investing Trade Alerts

Text Message Investing Alerts

Options Trading Service

Undervalued Small Cap Stocks

Stocks To Buy With Stops November 2016

 

 

Proven Trading Profits

 

Results From Recent Text Message Investing Trade Alerts:

 

340% Profits on SIG November 85 Calls in 10 Days

93% Profits SPY November 9th 212 in 3 Days

100% Loss on SPY November 11th 210 Puts in 2 Days

58% Profits on SPY November 2nd 214 Puts in 9 Days

109% Profits on SPY November 2nd 214 Puts in 8 Days

58% Profits on SPY November 2nd Puts in 3 Days

55% Loss on SPY Oct 28th Puts in 5 Days

123% Profits on SPY Oct 19th Puts in 2 Days

300% Profits on SPY Oct 12th Puts in 2 Days

15% Profits on SPY Oct 19th Puts in 2 Days

50% Loss on LMT Calls in 1 Day

45% Profits on SFM Calls in 6 Days

50% Loss on LULU Calls in 8 Days

50% Profits on TBT Calls in 8 Days

86% Profits on AA Calls in 6 Days

50% Loss on GLD Calls in 5 Days

66% Profits on SPY Puts in 2 Days

47% Profits on SLV Calls in 3 Days

58% Profits on SUN Calls in 3 Days

85% Profits on SPY Puts in 3 Days

82% Profits on SLV Calls in 2 Days

51% Profits on AA Calls in 7 Days

157% Profits on NEM Calls in 4 Days

 

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We Send You The Trades
You Make The Trades
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Investing Trade Alerts Service

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Options Trading Service

Investing Trade Alerts

Charles Moskowitz Discussion

 

 

There are no Open Positions

 

Week 46 was a loser, although a small one totaling $364 bringing YTD gains back to $9,161.  They were all index ETF trades and were all short – term oriented.  While the markets had an incredibly narrow range with the Dow, only128 points, The S&P 500, just 33, and the NASDAQ 100 the only standout (percentagewise) with 154, the S&P was the only one that couldn’t quite make a new all-time high.  It didn’t miss by much, but miss it did.  For those “Dow Theorist’s” we are nowhere near another breakout with the Transports 466 below its high of 9310 back in December 2014.

 

While we can certainly have a pullback here, the seasonal tendencies are for a continued rally into the New Year.  This doesn’t mean no pullbacks or news related weakness, but the context is bullish.  Another competing statistic is the big swing in the sentiment numbers in the Market Lab section on page 3.  The Bulls have doubled off the recent low to being 20% over average while the bears are under average and the neutrals are back to right their long term norm.

 

One area that is of concern to me is the high-price tech stocks.  FB and NFLX may be consolidating for a rally or they may just be flagging out for another leg lower. FB is below its 200 day moving average and is having trouble getting back above it.  NFLX is still $15 over its 200 day, but left a gap on its earnings 10/18 and could close that @ $107 or so.  With a range of $79.95 to 129.95 for 2016, a pullback to the consolidation around 107-110 makes it a buy to me.

 

I am keeping this short as I will mirror most of the traders by only be working Monday and Tuesday this week.  Wednesday will be quiet followed by Thanksgiving and Friday only a half day.  Personally I have no idea why we’re open on “Black Friday” at all.  If I see any opportunities that I’m comfortable holding into next week I will text them on Monday or Tuesday.

 

Have a great Thanksgiving, and don’t take Black Friday too seriously; retail hasn’t been that great and there will be plenty of mall sales between now and Xmas. CAM

 

 

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Options Trading Service

Investing Trade Alerts Trade Table

DATE TRADES PRICE COST PROCEEDS RESULTS
11/19 Sold 10 SPY November 218.50 Calls  0.15       150        90 Loss
11/19 Bought 10 SPY November 218.50 Calls  0.24  240
11/18 Sold 6 XLF November 22.50 Puts  0.37       222        78 Loss
11/15 Sold 4 SPY November 216 Puts  0.49       196      196 Loss
11/14 Bought 6 XLF November 22.50 Puts  0.50  300
11/14 Bought 4 SPY November 216 Puts  0.98  392

                                                                                                                                                                

3rd Week expiration when the month is listed without a date

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the

VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

New Trades Will Be TEXTED To MEMBERS

 

           

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Undervalued Small Cap Stocks

 

Lower Priced stocks that look to be a buy:

 

Repro-Med Systems,Inc  ( OTCQX:  REPR 0.44 )*  

 

The European distributors were very happy to see me at Medica in Dussedorf.  Bear hugs, grins, and many “thankyou’s” for making this trip immediately after my travels to Barcelona for ESID.  We discussed good growth potential for the UK, Scandi regions, and expansions into Germany.  We are working on the formation of a Clinical Advisory Panel for Europe, and the UK distributor has already spoken with one of the lead nurses in the largest hospital there.

 

There may be increased use of our High Flo Subcutaneous needle sets for a treatment for Parkinson’s disease, which could represent a new market for us.  We have new trials going on all over Europe, now including Russia and Germany, in partnership with several pharmaceutical companies.  We are doing a new market launch of a new addition to our Precision Flow Rate Controller, a new addition to our system we designed for Facilitated Subcutaneous Immune Globulin (FSCIg)which was trialed in Sweden, and was such a hit (human factors study showed 95% out of 100 satisfaction), that patients are lining up and there is much pressure for us to deliver these; we are working hard to do that.  There is also a trial in Germany for this system.  It is the first time patients were able to perform the delivery at home without nursing support.  We are working with Pharma companies to deliver their new drugs to the markets using more of our High Flo 24 gauge needles.

 

I am very high on our Europe team, as individuals, they each bring a special talent and together, I believe they will be unstoppable.  Chatarina S.,  Global VP of Marketing located in Sweden will assist the sales team for the Scandi region while still doing marketing, and clinical support.  Markus D. our super salesperson located in Germany is working hard to get our new distributor there up and running.  Manal H.  based in USA, is the glue that binds this team together.  She is always there, doing the right things for the team and the Company.  Sabino Loiodice is our new Director of European Sales and Marketing has great experience,  European charm, maturity, and a very modern approach to management, which is more like coaching, mentoring and removing obstacles as opposed to acting like a high school principle style of management.   I am expecting great things from this super team!

 

 

Enzo Biochem ( ENZ: $ 6.62 )*

 

The activity in Enzo Biochem has shown it to be a rock star in the Biotech arena. Prior to the election the Biotech index was trading in Bear Market territory with many stocks having given up 50% or more from their 12 month highs. Enzo is up 47.56% for the year and up 56.6% for 12 months. The Relative strength index is close to 70 which is getting into overbought territory.

 

A small pullback would not be a bad thing to move stock from weak to strong hands. Why this may not happen: Announcements of new product approvals from the New York regulatory agency for new Ampiprobe products filling in the pipeline for Women’s Health Care Products.  A  Scientific Paper on Enzo’s new line of products to allow for a more precise interpretation of tumor biopsies.

 

NIH announcement of results on their multi year trial using Enzo’s Optiquel for the treatment of Uveitis and Macular Degeneration.

 

Updates on the Litigations in Delaware.

 

The last earnings report showed a cash position in excess of $65 million with no debt to speak of and a positive cash flow from their operating divisions. The only cash burn is coming from Litigation expenses and a bit from Research and Development. Litigation in Delaware  is on a contingency basis as such Enzo is not on the hook for billable hours. To my knowledge there are 6 suits left after 6 have settled.

 

When the company gets a 500 million dollar market cap ($10.63)they will qualify for those Institutions that can’t buy microcap stocks. A significant number of Institutions will look to be buyers and with only 47 million shares issued and Institutions already owning 50% and insiders owning 15% that leaves less than 17 million shares in the float.

 

 

Pressure BioSciences OTCQB: PBIO ( 0.30 )*

 

PBIO has identified significant “needs” and the means to fill them in the world of today and the foreseeable future:

 

NEEDS IN MEDICINE: In the world of medicine our dramatically improved ability for early detection or to confirm and refine diagnosis ranging from over a hundred types of cancer to tuberculosis and a hundred other maladies and conditions is “bottlenecked” by 30 year old methods of preparing test samples.  Collectively such diagnostic samples exceed a hundred million annually.

 

NEEDS IN RESEARCH: Globally there are over a half a million medical and pharmaceutical research scientists working in over eighty thousand laboratories who are hampered by the time consuming and outdated methods of preparing test samples.

NEEDS IN FORENSICS: Globally, in millions of cases, swift and sure exoneration of the innocent and / or justice for the guilty is often delayed or even denied because of the ponderous means of preparing and conducting DNA and other forensic testing.

 

PBIO is focused on solving the challenges of biological sample preparation, a crucial laboratory step performed globally by the biological life sciences research scientists. Sample preparation refers to a wide range of activities that precede most forms of scientific analysis. It is often complex, time-consuming and, in our opinion, one of the most error-prone steps of scientific research. Sample preparation is a ubiquitous laboratory undertaking – the requirements of which drive a large and growing worldwide market.

 

PBIO has developed and patented a novel, enabling technology platform that can control the sample preparation process while improving both efficacy and quality.  It is based on harnessing the unique properties of high hydrostatic pressure. This process, called pressure cycling technology, or PCT, uses alternating cycles of hydrostatic pressure between ambient (normal atmosphere) and ultra-high levels i.e., 35,000 pounds per square inch (“psi”) or greater to safely, conveniently and reproducibly control the actions of molecules in biological samples, such as cells and tissues from human, animal, plant and microbial sources.

 

The PBIO pressure cycling technology uses proprietary and internally developed instrumentation that is capable of cycling pressure between ambient and ultra-high levels at controlled temperatures and specific time intervals, to rapidly and repeatedly control the interactions of bio-molecules, such as deoxyribonucleic acid (“DNA”), ribonucleic acid (“RNA”), proteins, lipids and small molecules. Their laboratory instrument, the Barocycler®, and their internally developed consumables product line, which include Pressure Used to Lyse Samples for Extraction (“PULSE”) tubes, and other processing tubes, and application specific kits such as consumable products and reagents, together make up their PCT Sample Preparation System (“PCT SPS”).

 

The PBIO pressure cycling technology takes a unique approach that has the potential for broad use in a number of established and emerging life sciences areas, which include:

 

  • Biological sample preparation in potentially thousands of research laboratories worldwide working in human, animal, plant, and microbial diseases and disorders – including but not limited to sample extraction, homogenization, and digestion in genomic, proteomic, lipidomic, metabolomic and small molecule study areas;

 

  • Pathogen inactivation (useful in vaccine development, infectious disease research, and more);

 

  • Protein purification, and in the control of chemical reactions, particularly enzymatic (useful in drug design and development);

 

  • And immunodiagnostics (useful in the development and detection of biomarkers).

 

INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY

 

PBIO has secured their technology through fourteen issued United States patents and ten issued foreign patents covering multiple applications of pressure cycling technology in the life sciences field.  They also have additional patents pending.  Research indicates that Pressure BioSciences Inc is the ONLY Company globally to have patents in this new science sector.

 

 

Night Food, Inc. ( NGTF.0.30 )*

 

is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Night food Holdings incorporated in Nevada in 2013 to manufacture and distribute healthy-choice bedtime snacks. The Company has an exclusive agreement with RFI, natural ingredient manufacturer and proprietor of Chocamine, a patented chocolate ingredient

Americans keep gaining more weight. People have the tendency to grab for goodies at the end of the evening as they relax to enjoy some T.V. Eating and snacking too late at night is a contributing factor to gaining weight. Seventy percent of adults, ages 18-54, eat right before bed. Chocamine delivers the health benefits of chocolate to the body (amino acids, minerals and polyphenols) without the added sugars, caffeine or fat.

 

People give in to the intense hunger cravings that leads to the consumption of sugary, salty or calorie dense foods to satisfy their appetite. Most of the snacks that people typically eat create a disturbance in sleep, causing a person to wake up feeling unrested. Night Food offers nutrient filled alternatives to high-calorie junk foods. There are flavor filled snack bars-either Cookies and Dreams or Midnight Chocolate Crunch that will help curb hunger, satisfy cravings, improve rest and give the body essential vitamins and minerals.

 

Consumers spend over $50 billion/ year on night-time snacks, nearly 1 billion a week.  More people desire healthy alternatives to late night consumption of the traditional fattening ice cream, chips and cookies.

 

Sugar and caffeine in most snacks causes disruptive sleep. Each bar has only 142 calories and 5 grams of fiber for slow absorption of energy and gives a feeling of fullness and satisfaction. There is also 132 mg of calcium and zinc for replenishing the body and feeling well rested in the morning.

 

 

iSIGN Media Solutions ( ISDSF: $ 0.09 )

 

Announces Signed Contract Between We Build Apps and a Major Shopping Complex Located in Ohio. The contract covers installation of 500 Smart Antennas into a first Shopping Complex; Minimum Revenue to iSIGN is $2.7 million Canadian.

 

Recent news has pushed it above its 30 day moving average and it had exceeded $0.15 Canadian on a high volume breakout. The stock has been disappointing failing to move above its next resistance at $0.20 and move towards its 2 yr high of $0.28.

 

The Crocker people and their 22 developments could bring iSign significant revenues. Homeland Security and a major insurance company deemed the smart antenna as a safety device as well as a security device making the potential for new markets is limitless. One deal brings in 3 million times that by 20 deals because the insurance company theoretically gives a 20-25% premium discount to companies that use the smart antenna.

 

According to the iSign Media reseller, JEA Technologies, eHealth Consortium Group’s intention is to start installations in hospitals located in the State of Victoria.

 

 

 

Leo Motors ( LEOM: $ 0.07)*

 

has patents for the electric battery industry which we will be writing about in upcoming weekly reports. They have developed a lithium battery that can operate vehicles  in sub-zero climates. Their subsidiary LGM has developed battery technology supported by the Korean government to make it possible to use electric battery technology for fishing boats. They have a cartridge system which is a light-weight replacement method of swapping electric batteries.

 

Fishing has been harmed by the noise and oil leaks from internal combustion engines. LGM has solved that problem and besides eliminating the toxic problem, operating costs are reduced by 25%.

 

In addition they have a special patent for averting electric hazards and shocks. Leo developed the Internet of Things for e-boats which is networked and connected with an Android Operating System. Leo’s power supply system is CAN ( Controller Area Network ) based, which enables mobile diagnosing  between mobile devices and boats using the Leo technology.

 

Leo is developing a battery swap system for Kalmado in Puerto Princesa, Philippines, a world famous tourist attraction, which is focused on green energy. They will be converting 100 boats as the environment is expected to become 100% free of the toxicity from internal combustion engines. Also, Leo has developed a battery swap system for Go-Karts to be used in malls in China, Korea and Myanmar. Leo Motors has a new carbon nanotube battery power pack that functions and supplies full power in extreme low temperatures such as below 49 degrees without the need for grid electricity.

 

 

 

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Fundamental Analysis Stocks To Buy with Stops

 

Using fundamentals the following are stocks to trade hypothetically. They have done well. We have taken numerous profits as indicated on the table below. Balance is critical.

 

The Boeing closed over the 50-day M.A. at $ 132 in early October thus suggesting a long position. Defense spending is on the upswing.  Hold with a suitable stop loss.

 

We bought Bristol Myers at $49.20 with a stop loss at 47.42. We removed the BIS as it is no longer necessary to hedge the Bristol Myers.  We sold the Amazon short at 828 and covered on the opening November 8th.

 

We are long  FFIC at $ 19.10 and  very much interested in the Flushing Financial.  You should have bought the HDGE on a close above 9.65. We paid $ 9.76 on a theoretical buy on the opening Sept 12th. Stop loss raised to $9.99. Or just sell to take profits.

 

 

Symbol Name Business Description PE P/S MV mln Price Buy or Sell Limit Stop Loss

Or offset

TPC Tutor Perini Construction 12 0.25 1.3B 26.30 19.40

10/31/16

24.90x
SAVE Spirit Airlines Discount Airline 13 1.6 3.6B 53.74  46.15 43
BMY Bristol Myers Biopharmaceutical Products 28 5.1 94.9B 56.76 49.20

10/17/16

55.45sco
AMZN Amazon Catalogue and Mail Order 200 3.18 388B   760.16 828 Sold Short

10/24 16

771.57 covered short 11/7 on opening
BA Boeing Aerospace, commercial jetliners, military systems 14 0.85 81B 146.35  Long at

   132     

Stop at 141.21
HL Hecla Mining Basic Materials 44 3.61 1.7B   5.94   6.21 Try to get Long
FFIC Flushing Financial Bank Holding company Savings and loans 13 3,5 592Mln  26.69  19.10

 06/27

19.90x
AA Alcoa Aluminum Processing and Technology N/A 0.4 9.5B  30.42 21.15 originally bought 2/8/16 Sold at 29.20

Equivalent

Look to get long

VA Virgin Air Regional Airlines 7.2 0.9 1.5B 56.55 30.30

Bought

02/10/16

Sell to take profits
ENZ Enzo Biochem Life Sciences NA 1.35 134M  6.89 Bought

 at   5.13

10/7/16

Must hold 50 day m.a. at around $ 5.50

To be long

BAC Bank of America Commercial Bank 10 2.02 165.3B 20.00

 

Bought  at 15.42

9/30/16

14.60x
HDGE Advisor Shares Ranger Bear ETF   9.38

 

 No Position currently 9.86 Sold 11/09 sco

 

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$100,000 Trading Portfolio Stock Positions and Trades

                                                          

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

 

Stock

 

 

Purchase Price Purchase Date Stop/Loss Price/Date Sold Profit/

(Loss)

ANW     500     10       11/17
SPXU   200 22.88       11/14
UCO     500     8.91       11/07
CTL       150   23.29       11/04
AMBA   100   63.75       10/13
LMT        20 233.20       10/10 268.44 11/15 $ 705
SAM       20 156.69       10/07 172.45 11/15 $ 315
SAM       20 151.30       09/23 172.45 11/15 $ 423
AA         500 10.43       07/25
MOS     200 27.53       05/02
EYES    500 5.04       04/04
EYES  1000 6.49       12/28
TWTR  200 28.51       10/28
MOS  100 43.55       08/14
SAN  600 8.40       12/16
AA  500 14.21       10/16
TEXQY* 200 6.56     7/11
REPR* 5000 0.22 10/22/12

 

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

 

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.


For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

 

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Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Account

 

There were three closed out options positions:

 

SPY November 216 Puts were sold at $ 0.49 on the 50% Loss Rule

 

November XLF 22.50 Puts Bought on November14th at $ 0.50 were sold on Nov 18th losing $ 156.

 

20 SPY Nov 218.50 Calls bought on Nov 19th, the day of expiration for a day-trade lost $ 180.

 

The total loss for Options trades was $ 728.

 

In recapping the stock positions:

 

2-20 lot SAM positions were sold for a gain of $ 315 and $ 423.

LMT position was sold Nov 15th gaining $ 705.

 

The total gain in stocks was $ 1443.

 

After deducting the options losses the net gain for the week was $ 715.

 

For the entire year on closed out trades, our hypothetical profits gained by $ 715 to $26,448.

 

Open trade losses are $ 13,103.

 

The options expire on the third Friday of each Month unless otherwise posted.

 

The Stock table has the following 16 positions:

 

AA ( 2 ) AMBA, CTL, EYES ( 2 ), HL, LMT, MOS ( 2 ), REPR,

SAM ( 2 ), SAN, TEXQY, TWTR

 

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless otherwise mentioned specifically.

 

The money management is based on a hypothetical $ 100,000.

We are using a total of $64,761 for the 16 open long stock positions leaving $ 35,239 in cash.

There are no open option positions.

 

These figures are approximate and there might be errors.

 

We have not counted the dividends received from many previous trades such as Apple, Colgate Palmolive, JP Morgan, Mosaic, North American Tankers, STNG, Santander, which pays over 5%, their Brazil affiliate BSBR and Blue Capital Reinsurance which was sold for a profit and many others. The trading is hypothetical and we do not count commission costs.

 

The trading is hypothetical and we do not count commission costs.

 

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

 

 

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Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

 

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless

otherwise stated

 

  • When the option has doubled sell half the position

 

  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade

 

  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask,

whichever is more realistic)

 

  • The options will be followed until closed out.

 

  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

 

 

Option Cost Date Sold Date Profit/

(Loss)

SPY Nov 218.50

20 lots

Calls

0.24

11/19/16 0.15 11/19/2016 ( $ 180 )
XLF Nov 22.50

12 lots

Puts

0.50

11/14/16 0.37 11/18/2016 ( $ 156 )
SPY Nov 216

8 lots

Puts

0.98

11/14/16 0.49

( 50% Loss Rule )

11/15/2016 ( $ 392 )

 

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

 

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

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MARKET Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect.

Dow

18,867.93

+20.27

+0.11%

Nasdaq

5321.51

+84.40
+1.61%

S&P 500

2181.90

+17.45

+0.81%

Transportation

8856.47

+277.82

+3.24%

Russell 2000

1315.64

+33.25

+2.59%

Nasdaq100

4808.04

+56.09

+1.18%

Gold (spot)

1208.50

-15.0

-1.2%

  Silver

1662.4

-75.8

-4.4%

Crude

45.69

+2.25

+5.2%

Heating Oil

145.77

+5.65

+4.0%

Unleaded Gas

1.3430

+0.0353

+2.7%

Natural Gas

2.843

+0.224

+8.6%

VIX

12.85

-1.32

-9.3%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

135/100’s

-39/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

60/100’s

-1/100’s

 

Bonds

153-05 -2-00

3.01% + 0.10%

10 Yr. Note

125-18-1-194   2.34%+0.29%

 

Copper

246.75

-4.15

-1.7%

CRB Inflation

Index

183.14.

+2.40

+1.3%

Barron’s* Confidence

72.8

+0.9

S&P100

963.13

+4.45

+0.46%

5 Yr. Note

118-184 -298

1.78% +0.28%

 

Dollar

101.21

+2.22

+2.2%

DJ Utilities

627.28

-0.54

-0.09%

AAII

Confidence

Index

 

Average

Bullish

  46.6%

+7.7%

 

 38.4%

Bearish

26.6%

-2.7%

 

30.30%

Neutral

 26.8%

-5.0%

 

30.96%

M1 Money

Supply

+6.90%

Nov 7th

 

M2 Money

Supply

+7.19%

Nov 7th

 

* Component Change in the Confidence Index

 

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

 

 

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Market Strategies Technical Information

                            

                              Support/Resistance Levels:                SUPPORT                         RESISTANCE

 

S&P 500              2150                                     2195

Dow                  18,578                                  19,000

QQQ             117.32                                  119.80

Transports          8600                                     9195

NASDAQ            5250                                              5495

 

 

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This Weeks’ Economic Numbers

Earnings Releases and Media Data

 

Before the Open on top of the Row;

After the close below the Economics Information

 

MONDAY Canadian Solar CSIQ ( 0.26 vs 0.53 ) Cheetah Mobile CMCM ( 0.14 vs 1.00 ) International Gaming Technologies IGT ( 0.44 vs 0.41 ) Tyson Foods TSN ( 1.16 vs 0.83 )

Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer speaks about long term economic challenges.

Innovative Industrial Properties an REIT focused on medical-use cannabis facilities is set to price 8.75 million shares at $ 20.

Beacon Roofing Supply BECN ( 0.91 vs 0.75 ) Brocade BRCD ( 0.22 vs 0.26 ) Copart CPRT

( 0.55 vs 0.42 ) Dycom DY ( 1.65 vs 1.24 ) Enanta Pharmaceuticals ENTA ( -0.18 vs 0.29 )

Jack In The Box JACK ( 0.88 vs 0.62 ) Palo Alto Networks PANW ( 0.53 vs 0.35 ) Pennant Investment PNNT ( 0.26 vs 0.27 ) SINA SINA 0.36 vs 0.39  Vipshop VIPS ( 1.01 vs 0.12 )

Weibo WB ( 0.20 vs 0.10 )

TUESDAY Analog devices ADI ( 0.89 vs 1.03 ) Barnes and Noble BKS ( -0.39 vs -0.28 ) Burlington Stores BURL ( 0.33 vs 0.25 ) Campbell Soup CPB ( 0.95 vs 0.95 ) Chico’s FAS CHS ( 0.13 vs 0.13 ) Cracker Barrel CBRL ( 1.84 vs 1.70 ) Dollar Tree DLTR ( 0.78 vs 0.38 ) Hormel Foods HRL ( 0.45 vs 0.74 ) Jacobs JEC ( 0.77 vs 0.80 ) Medtronic MDT ( 1.11 vs 1.03 ) Patterson Companies PDCO ( 0.60 vs 0.56 ) QIWI QIWI 17.78 vs 18.74 Signet Jewelers SIG ( 0.20 vs 0.33 ) Tech Data ( 1.26 vs 1.28 ) Valspar VAL ( 1.50 vs 1.35 )

10:00 hrs Existing Home Sales  October ( 5.40Mln vs 5.47 Mln )

Caleres CAL ( 0.80 vs 0.80 ) Gamestop GME ( 0.47 vs 0.54 ) Hewlett Packard Enterprise HPE ( 0.60 ) HP HPQ ( 0.36 vs 0.93 ) Urban Outfitters URBN ( 0.44 vs 0.42 )

WEDNESDAY Deere DE ( 0.38 vs 1.08 ) Hain Celestial HAIN ( 0.56 vs 0.55 ) Israel Chemical ICL ( 0.10 vs 0.12 ) Trina Solar TSL ( 0.21 vs 0.21 )

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 11/19 ( NA vs -9.2% )

08:30 hrs Initial Claims 11/19 ( 243K vs 235K )

08:30 hrs Continuing Claims 11/12 ( NA vs 1977K )

08:30 hrs Durable Goods Orders October ( +1.1% vs -0.1% )

Durable Goods Ex-Transportation ( 0.3% vs 0.2% )

09:00 hrs FHFA Housing Price Index September ( NA vs 0.7% )

10:00 hrs Michigan Sentiment- Final November ( 91.6 vs 91.6 )

10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 11/19 ( NA vs +5.274 Mln Bbls )

12:00 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 11/19 ( NA vs 30 bcf )

14:00 hrs FOMC Minutes November 2nd meeting  ( NA)

Ctrip CTRP ( 0.11 vs 2.20 ) Danaos DAC ( 0.33 vs 0.40 ) Tuniu TOUR ( -3.87 vs -1.51 )

THURSDAY  

 

Thanksgiving Holiday all U.S. Markets closed

FRIDAY Qunar QUNR ( -0.21 vs -0.74 ) ) 

 

08:30 hrs International Trade in Goods October ( NA vs -$56.1Bln )

08:30 hrs Advance Wholesale Inventories October ( +0.2% vs + 0.2% )

 

It’s Black Friday. Last year more than 151 million Americans said they went shopping either in stores or online, over the holiday weekend, according to the National Retail Federation.

 

The U.S. Oil Rig Count increased by 19 Rigs to 471. The Nat Gas rig count increased by 1 to 116, and there is one rig listed as miscellaneous making a total US rig count of 588. . Crude closed higher at $ 45.69 up $ 2.25.The total rig count is lower by 169 from a year earlier. Natural Gas closed the week higher for the week, up 8.6% at $ 2.843 up $ 0.224.

 

 

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Market Strategies Fundamentals

Stocks were very strong continuing to rise in the face of rising interest rates, led again by the DJ Transportation Index. The DJT Index soared again up 277.82 points last week or + 3.24% and 781 points for the past two weeks a gain of 9.7%. The Russell 2000 was second best, up 33 points or plus 2.59% for the week. The NASDAQ rallied 84 points or + 1.6% closing in on its all-time high just 18 points short of the mark at 5321.51. In catapulting to 5,346.80, the NASDAQ briefly eclipsed its previous record high of 5,339.52. However, volume was low and the impetus was lacking for much follow through. The S&P likewise closed in on its all-time high at 2194 stopping just 12 points short at 2182 also on lackluster volume. The Dow gained 20 points or 0.11% at 18,868 closing near the new all-time highs at 18,934.McDonald’s Corp ( MCD: $ 120.00 ) led the Dow Industrials gaining $ 5.78 or + 5.1%.

Index Started Week Ended Week Change % Change YTD %
DJIA 18847.66 18867.93 20.27 0.1 8.3
Nasdaq 5237.11 5321.51 84.40 1.6 6.3
S&P 500 2164.45 2181.90 17.45 0.8 6.7
Russell 2000 1281.53 1315.64 34.11 2.7 15.8

Other top blue-chip performers for the week were Goldman Sachs Group ( GS: $ 210.35 ), up 3.14%; after having gained 15.9% the previous week. Verizon Communications ( VZ: $ 48.07 ) + 3%; Chevron Corp ( CVX: $ 109.20 ) + 2.4% and Microsoft ( MSFT: $ 60.35 ) up 2.25%. Four Dow components each lost more than 3%: Wal-Mart Stores ( WMT: $ 68.54 ) lost 3.8%; Cisco ( CSCO: $ 30.18 ) lost about the same; Pfizer ( PFE: $ 31.48 ) was down 3.47% and Merck & Co ( MRK: $ 61.87 ) fell 3.2%.

The Russell 2000 Index Fund ETF ( IWM: $ 130.99 ) + $ 3.63 or + 2.85% after having gained $ 11.65 or + 10% the previous week. The Russell has made a new all-time high eclipsing the highs made January 2005.

The US dollar ( DXYO: 101.21+ 2.15% after having gained  + 2.17 or 2.2%  the previous week.Last Thursday featured Janet Yellen’s testimony before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, but the appearance was free of any big surprises. Chair Yellen acknowledged that recent economic data has lived up to the Federal Reserve’s expectations, and noted that a rate hike will be appropriate “relatively soon.” Ms. Yellen’s appearance had little impact on the fed funds futures market, which continues pointing to a near certainty of a rate hike in December. The implied probability of a December hike rose to 95.4% from last Friday’s 81.1%.

Volatility ( VIX: $12.85 -1.32 ) plummeted 9.3%  which totals a decline in volatility of 46.4% for the two weeks since the election.  ProShares Ultra Vix Short-Term volatility futures ( UVXY: $ 11.52 ) – $ 2.02 or -14.9% for the week, which amounts to a decline of 43.5% for the two weeks since the election.

 

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has grown earnings significantly as a result of an uptick in cloud revenues. In spite of increased competition, Azure should maintain its competitive advantage in the industry. MSFT could get to a target price of $70. Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has grown earnings significantly as a result of an up- tick in cloud revenues. Current P/E Ratio: 22

The US Dollar Index has risen for Ten Consecutive Sessions. In this two-week period, it has gained about 4.5% to reach its best level since 2003. It has only fallen in two of the first seven weeks here in Q4. On October 20, when the 50-day moving average moved above the 200-day moving average (Golden Cross), Dollar Index closed near 98.30. It pushed a little past 101.30 last week. The technicals are somewhat stretched. The RSI is at its highest in more than 18 months, but there are no bearish divergences.

The price action gives no reason to think that this surge in dollar demand has been satiated.

 

In the last seven sessions, the Dollar Index recorded higher highs and higher lows. The next important chart point is seen near 101.80. That is the 61.8% retracement of the Dollar Index’s decline from what has have dubbed the Clinton Dollar Rally of the second half of the 1990s, ending with G7 intervention to arrest the euro’s slide.

 

The antithesis of a strong greenback is of course weak gold prices. While the dollar is up 4,5%, the ETF Spider Gold Trust ( GLD: $ 115.15 ) – 9.24 or – 7.4% during this same period as liquidation of the yellow metal continues.

Now the long-overdue correction seems to have arrived. Gold is down 11% from its recent high, and the speculators are bailing. Here is the Commitment of Traders (COT) report gotten from Gold-Seek  for the week ending Tuesday the 15th showing a 17% drop in large speculator long positions. That’s a huge move for a single week. And based on the price declines of the subsequent three days, it’s likely that the next report will show a similar drop.

Meanwhile the commercial traders – the guys who sucker the speculators into these unwise bets – cut their short positions by an also notable 9%.

 

Typically, a bottom occurs when both commercials and speculators are flat – that is, carrying more-or-less equal long and short positions. The latest report is still a long way from that kind of balance. But another few weeks like the last one and this indicator, at least, will be screaming “buy”. The GLD seems to be a good short in the 115.80- 116.20 area. Risk a close above 117.50.

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Market Strategies Economic Data

Retail Sales increased 0.8% in October (Briefing.com consensus +0.6%) on top of an upwardly revised 1.0% increase (from +0.6%) for September. Excluding autos, retail sales also jumped 0.8% on top of an upwardly revised 0.7% increase (from +0.5%) for September.

The uptick in October was paced by gasoline station sales (+2.2%) and motor vehicle and parts dealers sales (+1.1%). The major retail categories where sales declined were furniture and home furnishings stores (-0.9%) and food services and drinking places (-0.7%), although each of those declines followed on the heels of solid increases for September.

Department store sales fell 0.7% after a 0.8% decline in September, yet weakness in that subgroup didn’t derail general merchandise store sales, which increased 0.4% in October after a 0.9% decline in September.

The key takeaway from this report is that the retail sales increases were fairly broad-based and followed on the heels of increases in retail sales activity in September, demonstrating that consumers are spending more willingly on discretionary items, aided by their increased earnings. This report, in turn, should compute favorably in Q4 GDP forecasts.

Category OCT SEP AUG JUL JUN
Retail Sales 0.8% 1.0% -0.2% 0.1% 0.7%
    Excluding Autos 0.8% 0.7% -0.2% -0.4% 0.8%
  Durable goods
    Building Materials 1.1% 1.8% -0.8% -0.3% 3.8%
    Autos/parts 1.1% 1.9% -0.3% 2.0% 0.5%
    Furniture -0.9% 2.0% -0.5% -1.1% 1.1%
  Nondurable goods
    General Merchandise 0.4% -0.9% -0.4% -0.6% 0.2%
    Food 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% -0.4% 0.1%
    Gasoline stations 2.2% 3.0% -1.4% -2.2% 2.2%
    Clothing 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% -0.1% 0.2%
    e*retailing/non-store 1.5% 0.9% -0.1% 0.7% 0.1%

Industrial Production was unchanged in October (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) after declining a downwardly revised 0.2% (from +0.1%) in September. Capacity Utilization slipped to 75.3% (Briefing.com consensus 75.5%) from an unrevised 75.4% in September which is. 4.7 percentage points below its long-run average.

The decline in October was driven entirely a by a 2.6% decline in utilities output, which was the result of lower heating demand due to warmer-than-normal temperatures.

Manufacturing production was actually up 0.2% while mining output increased 2.1%.Within manufacturing, the production of durables rose 0.4% while the production of nondurables was unchanged. Motor vehicle assemblies increased 1.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 12.34 million units. The jump in mining output occurred despite declines in the extraction of crude oil and natural gas. Gains in other industries, particularly coal mining, were cited for the strength.

On a year-over-year basis, industrial production was down 0.9% — the 14th straight year-over-year decline.

Category OCT SEP AUG JUL JUN
Industrial Production
Total Index 0.0% -0.2% -0.1% 0.4% 0.5%
    Manufacturing 0.2% 0.2% -0.5% 0.3% 0.3%
    Utilities -2.6% -3.0% 2.8% 0.3% 2.9%
    Mining 2.1% -0.4% 0.0% 0.7% -0.1%
Capacity Utilization
Total Industry 75.3% 75.4% 75.6% 75.7% 75.4%
    Manufacturing 74.9% 74.8% 74.7% 75.2% 75.0%

 

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Market Strategies Cycles

 

The Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks catapulted to new all- time highs. The IWM, the Russell 2000 Index ETF Fund rose 13% over the past two weeks, its best bi-weekly gain since early March when it rallied from 94.79 to 103.19, a gain of 8.9% for the two weeks. Small caps have finally caught up. Technology shares have been the laggard that is holding back the markets.

 

In the nine days since the election, S&P 500 is up 2.6% while Russell 2000 gained a whopping 10.5% as of yesterday’s close. The  Stock Trader’s Almanac Investor Stock Portfolio’s blend of long positions resulted in an average 2.6% overall gain over the same time period. Large-cap stocks performed best, advancing 4.1%. Small-caps were second best climbing 2.9% while Mid-caps lagged, up just 1%.

 

 

 

 

This extraordinary forecast was and is based upon the seminal research and reports from the founder of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, Yale Hirsch, who just celebrated his 93rd birthday. He discovered this iconic market cycle, which led him to one of the greatest market calls in history, having called for a 500% move in the market from the 1974 low to 1990.

 

After publishing several articles over the previous three years that the market had hit bottom in the fall of 1974, Yale released his April 1976 newsletter with the headline “Stocks Catch Up with Inflation Eventually, 500% Moves After Both WW1 & WW2, Can It Happen Again? Dow 3420?” Well, it did. Following Vietnam and the rampant stagflation of the 1970s DJIA hit 3420 in May of 1992. S&P 500 completed its 500% move in July of 1990.

 

Yale’s 1977 Special Report opens with: “A Super-Boom rarely comes more than once in a generation. Unfortunately, it seems to follow a severely inflationary era which destroys stock values and leaves investors demoralized and disenchanted. Consequently, when the market begins its phoenix-like rise out of the ashes, the average investor, “scarred” and still remembering the pain of the past, fails to recognize the genuine buying opportunity of his lifetime. This report presents what may be the most convincing evidence that a Super-Boom has already begun and is now in progress.

The STA founders began tracking this cycle again in 2002 after 9-11 and the 2002 bear market. As they went to press in May 2010 with the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2011 which included this forecast, published this headline and excerpt in this newsletter at the time. “Next Super Boom – Dow 38820 by 2025 – Stocks Catch up with Inflation, But First Inflation Catches up with Government Spending: As markets and economies struggle over the next several years, remember to keep your eye on the future and get ready for the Next Super Boom and the next 500% move in the market. From the last bottom in 1974 it took eight years before the market really took off in 1982 and then another eight to move up the rest of the 500%, in line with Yale Hirsch’s prediction in 1976 for a 500% market move by 1990. A 500% rise in the Dow over 16 years from the intraday low of 6470 on March 6, 2009 would put the Dow at 38,820 in 2025.

 

At that time in 2010 DJIA was around 10,000, unemployment was quite high, the great recession was barely in the rearview, and global debt was a new and growing concern. So the prediction that the Dow would reach 38820 by 2025 seemed absurd to many when it was announced.  That came as no surprise—all cutting-edge predictions are first lambasted before proven true. This super boom is not only plausible, but mathematically and historically within reason. Now that DJIA has exceeded 18,000 it looks even more credulous. Every truth passes through three stages before it is recognized. In the first it is ridiculed; in the second it is opposed; in the third it is regarded as self-evident. — Arthur Schopenhauer (German philosopher, 1788-1860)

 

 

Rule 17B Attestations and Disclaimers

 

Princeton Research, Inc. has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for Investor relations. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton was paid $ 2,500 to write a report on Xinergy. Princeton has signed a contract with CBLI to be paid $ 2500 for July and August for investor relations. Princeton has been engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. Princeton was paid about 500,000 restricted shares of Leo Motors.

 

When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities.

 

We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.05 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 900 U.S. ADR’s.

 

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

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