Where To Invest in April 2016 Investing Strategies

Market Investing Strategies

March 28, 2016

Market Strategies Newsletter – Sample Issue

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Where To Invest April 2016

Balanced Investing Strategies To Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

 

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

 

 

Where To Invest In 2016 Newsletter Covering:

 

Where to Invest April 2016

Best Stocks To Buy April 2016

Stock Market Investing Strategies

Stock Options Trade Alerts

Options Trading Strategies

How To Trade Options

 

Proven Profits Trading Success

Results From Some of Our Recent Trade Alerts

 

47% Profits on SPY Puts In 3 Days

64% Profits on BAC Calls in 2 Days
60% Profits on QQQ Puts in 2 Days
150% Profits on SIG Puts in 3 Days
48% Profits on SPY Calls in 2 Days
92% Profits on VA Calls in 6 Days
100% Profits on NE Calls in 2 Days
100% Profits on TWTR Calls in 2 Days
223% Profits on XLF Calls in 10 Days
133% Profits on FEYE Calls in 3 Days

 

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$10,000 Trading Portfolio
Charles Moskowitz Discussion

There are two positions:

 

Long 4 SPY Mar 24th Puts and

8 XLF April Calls

 

Funds in use = $ 792

 

                     

Who’s kidding Whom ???

 

This week on the Yahoo News Digest app that I use on my IPhone there was a quote attributed to the Chief financial economist at Union Bank in NY stating “the consumer is back in the driver’s seat with their foot down hard on the gas as last year came to a close.”  Who is this guy kidding?  Was he looking some place other than Retail sales, durable goods, and hospitality spending ??  If this is “foot down hard on the gas,” them the consumers the rest of us know must be driving a two-stroke lawnmower engine.

 

While I hate to use Peter Schiff (a perma-bear gold bug) as a source of economic news, on Friday I saw him interviewed and his opinion was that we are already in a recession….Frankly, while he may not be right, right now, remember that our way of signifying a recession comes only after the fact.  By its definition, you only KNOW we’re in a recession AFTER  2 quarters of declining GDP.  He may be wrong, or jumping the gun, or even right.  The question is “How is YOUR business or YOUR income and how busy is the local mall ??  These are the questions that lead you to making your experience the marker for how things are really going.  I remember an old tongue in cheek description of the difference between a recession and a depression… “A recession is when your neighbor is out of a job, a depression is when you lose yours.”

 

I still consider this market over extended with not a lot of room on the upside.  We bought one week SPY puts again and for balance we have the XLF calls.  This way we can profit from either direction.  The XLF was bought right before the close on Thursday when the index was at what I feel is a slightly oversold condition and at important support, as well as closing right near its high of the day. A rally just to the highs of last week would give us close to a double with 3 full weeks until expiration.

 

I will be looking for more trades on both sides of this market so be sure to sign up for the texting service…..CAM

 

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the

VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

 

3rd Week expiration  When the month is listed without a date

                                                  

New Trades Options Account:

                                 

1 ) Buy 6 AAL April 41 Calls @ $ 0.80

 

 

NEW Trades $ 100,000 account :

                              

1 ) Buy 12 AAL April 41 Calls @ $ 0.80

 

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Where to Invest newsletter

Market Strategies Technical Information

                       

 

      Support/Resistance Levels:                SUPPORT                         RESISTANCE

 

S&P 500            1980 2016                             2077

Dow                  17,190                                  17,753

QQQ              101.90                                 108.70

Transports        76.48 7755                             8140

NASDAQ           4580 4750                          4950

 

The higher support numbers are at the 13 day moving average and the lower support numbers reflect the

50-day m a support levels in both Nasdaq and QQQ: The S&P, DJT and Dow have more support having traded both above around their 200 day m a’s. They have more quality-type- lower P-E stocks, less faith-based.                               

 

 

Where to Invest in 2016

MARKET Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect.

 

Dow

17,515.73

-88.57

-0.49%

Nasdaq

4773.50

-22.14
-0.46%

S&P 500

2035.94

-13.64

-0.67%

Transportation

7926.02

-149.67

-1.85%

Russell 2000

1079.54

-22.14

-2.01%

Nasdaq100

4405.53

-5.30

-0.12%

Gold (spot)

1221.40

-32.40

-2.6%

  Silver

1519.9

-61.2

-3.9%

Crude

39.46

+0.02

+0.0%

Heating Oil

121.00

-3.93

-3.2%

Unleaded Gas

1.4946

+0.0337

+2.3%

Natural Gas

1.806

-0.101

-5.3%

VIX

14.74

+0.72

+5.1%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

145/100’s

+90/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

82/100’s

+16/100’s

 

Bonds

163-01 -0.06

2.65% -0.03%

10 Yr. Note

129-07 -06    1.88%+0.01%

 

Copper

222.90

-5.35

-2.3%

CRB Inflation

Index

176.35

+2.82

+1.6%

Barron’s* Confidence

70.2

+0.3

S&P100

904.06

-3.82

-0.42%

5 Yr. Note

120-08 -054

1.35% +0.02%

 

Dollar

96.13

+1.04

+1.1%

DJ Utilities

660.20

+1.66

+0.25%

AAII

Confidence

Index

 

Long Term

Average

Bullish

33.8%

+3.8%

 

38.74%

Bearish

23.7%

-3.2%

 

30.30%

Neutral

42.5%

-0.6%

 

30.96%

M1 Money

Supply

+5.31%

Mar 14th

 

M2 Money

Supply

+5.92%

Mar 14th

 

 

* Component Change in the Confidence Index

 

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

 

 

$100,000 Trading Portfolio Stock Positions and Trades

                                                          

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.  

       

 

Stock

 

Purchase Price Purchase Date Stop/Loss   Price/Date Sold   Profit/

(Loss)

This information Is

Available to Our Members.

 

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  22.25       03/24
111.08       03/18
29.50       02/23 Sold 3 32.50 Calls $ 900 credit
6.02       02/22
6.49       12/28
51.21       12/10
36.50       12/08
53.53       12/07
50.81       11/23
28.51       10/28
43.55       08/14
1.40       02/17
0.7411       12/26
4.84

3.75

     12/18

 

8.40      12/16
14.21      10/16
 2.95      05/19
4.08 8/12
6.56 7/11
0.22 10/22/12

 

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the

VIP Subscribers Members Area.


For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

 

Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Account

 

There were two closed out option positions: the S&P March 24th 203 Puts were sold at $ 0.58 for a loss of $ 128.The JPM April 60 Calls were sold for a profit of $ 256.

 

There were no closed out stock positions. 200 shares of the XLF, the Financial Spider were bought Friday on the opening at $ 22.31.

 

The result for the entire week was a net gain in options of $ 128.

 

For the entire year on closed out trades, our profits increased to $ 7,239.

 

The options expire on the third Friday of each Month unless otherwise posted.

 

The Stock table has the following 22 positions:  AA, APC(2), BAC.B.WS,  BSBR( 2 ), EYES, LVLT, MOS,   NBGGY (3), REPR,  SAN, SCO, STNG,SUN,TEXQY, TWTR,  VA: XLF;

short 3 SUN Calls

 

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless otherwise mentioned specifically.

 

We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000, using a total of $83,239 for the 21 open long stock positions plus a credit of $900 for the SUN written Calls, which reduces the requirement to $ 82,339. The Open Option Positions require $ 1,584. This increases the margin requirement to $ 83,923, leaving $ 16,077 in cash.

 

These figures are approximate and there might be errors.

 

We have not counted the dividends received from many previous trades such as Apple, Colgate Palmolive, JP Morgan, North American Tankers, STNG, Santander, their Brazil affiliate BSBR and Blue Capital Reinsurance which was sold for a profit and many others.

 

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

Where to invest Stocks to buy

 

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

 

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless

otherwise stated

 

  • When the option has doubled sell half the position

 

  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade

 

  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask,

whichever is more realistic)

 

  • The options will be followed until closed out.

 

  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

 

Option           COST Date Sold Date Profit/

(Loss)

This information Is

Available to Our Members.

 

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Calls

0.51

03/24/16
Puts

0.96

03/22/16
Puts

0.66

03.21.16 0.58 03/23/2016 ( $ 128 )
Calls

1.10

03/14/16 1.42 03/22/2016 $ 256
Calls

 

3.00 02/23/2016 $ 900 credit

Covered write

 

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the

VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

Visit: PrincetonResearch.com/join.htm

 

 

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This Weeks’ Economic Numbers

Earnings Releases and Media Data

 

Before the Open on top of the Row;

After the close below the Economics Information

 

MONDAY Cal-Maine Foods CALM ( 0.99 vs 1.05 ) Hanwha Q CELLS HQCL ( 0.73 )  Yingli  Green Energy YGE -2.06 vs -0.47

Markets closed for Easter Monday include: Germany, The United Kingdom;

Hong Kong; and Spain.

08:30 hrs PCE Prices February ( +0.2% vs +0.3% )

Personal Income ( + 0.1% vs + 0.5% )

Personal Spending ( +0.1% vs + 0.5% )

Pending Home Sales Feb ( +1.1% vs -2.5% )

Marvell MRVL ( 0.09 vs 0.25 ) Hill International HIL ( 0.11 vs -0.07 ) Iconix Brand ICON ( 0.27 vs 0.56 ) Synnex SNX ( 1.37 vs 1.46 ) Sphere 3D ANY ( -0.21 )

 

TUESDAY Conn’s CONN ( 0.32 vs 0.46 ) Lennar LEN ( 0.52 vs 0.50 ) McCormick MKC ( 0.69 vs 0.70 )

09:00 hrs Case-Shiller 20—city Index Jan ( + 5.7% vs Same )

10:00 hrs Consumer Confidence March ( 94.5 vs 92.2 )

Federal Reserve Chair Yellen speaks to the Economic Club of New York.

Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan speaks at two venues, with Q and A periods to follow.

San Francisco Fed President John Williams talks about “ Steering the U.S. economy Through Turbulent Seas” in Singapore.

SEC Chair Mary Jo White gives the keynote address at the Mutual Fund Directors Forum Policy Conference.

Dave and Busters PLAY ( 0.43 vs 0.33 ) Restoration Hardware RH ( 0.18 vs 1.02 ) Sonic SONC ( 0.16 vs 0.14 ) Verint Systems VRNT ( 1.16 vs 1.19 ) Landec LNDC ( 0.03 vs 0.14 )

WEDNESDAY Asanko Gold AKG ( -0.01 ) Carnival CCL ( 0.32 vs 0.20 ) Lululemon athletica LULU ( 0.80 vs 0.78 ) Editas Medicine EDIT ( -0.52 ) E-House-China EJ ( 0.31 vs 0.14 )

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index  03/26 ( NA vs -3.3% )

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speaks about current economic conditions and monetary policy.

08:15 hrs ADP Employment Change March  ( 196K vs 214K )

10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 03/26  ( NA vs + 9.357 Mln Bbls )

Micron MU ( -0.08 vs 0.81 ) Jumei International JMEI ( 0.04 vs 0.08 ) Osiris Therapeutics OSIR ( 0.06 ) Progress Software PRGS ( 0.29 vs 0.29 ) Tangoe TNGO ( 0.03 vs 0.20 )

THURSDAY Dangdang DANG ( NA vs 0.07 ) Lindsay Corp LNN( 0.57 vs 0.75 ) Movado MOV 0.39 vs 0.40

07:30 hrs Challenger Job Cuts March ( NA vs 41.6% )

08:30 hrs Initial Claims 03/26 ( 265K  vs 265K )

08:30 hrs Continuing Claims 03/19 ( NA vs  2179K )

09:45 hrs Chicago PMI March ( 49.9 vs 47.6 )

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 03/26 ( NA vs 15bcf )

The SEC’s White speaks about “Protecting Investments in Pre-IPO Issuers

Franklin Covey Company FC ( 0.05 vs 0.02 ) Global Blood Therapeutics GBT ( -0.43 )

FRIDAY Blackberry BBRY ( -0.10 vs 0.04 )

08:30 hrs Nonfarm Payrolls March ( 200K vs 242K )

Nonfarm Private Payrolls March ( 195K vs 230K )

08:30 hrs Unemployment Rate March ( 4.9% vs 4.9% )

08:30 hrs Hourly Earnings March ( +0.3% vs -0.1% )

Average Workweek ( 34.5 vs 34.4 )

10:00 hrs ISM Index March ( 50.6 vs 49.5 )

10:00 hrs Construction Spending Feb ( +0.25 vs +1.5% )

10:00 hrs Michigan Sentiment-Final March ( 90.5 vs 90.0 )

14:00 hrs Auto Sales March ( NA vs 5.54 Mln Units )

14:00 hrs Truck Sales March ( NA vs 8.62 Mln Units )

 

Market Strategies Fundamentals

Stocks ended their five-week winning streak brought on by weak oil, a more hawkish Fed, a stronger dollar, weak U.S. economic data and upsetting geopolitical events.Only the Dow remained above the bellwhether 200- day moving average mark. Both the S&P 500 and Dow Transportation Indexes fell below as the week progressed. The Dow ( 17,515.73 ) – 88.57 or -0.49% and Nasdaq ( 4773.50 ) – 22.14 or -0.46% fell the least. The S&P 500 ( 2015.94 ) – 13.64 or 0.67% was third best. Both the Russell 2000 ( 1079.54 ) -22.14 or – 2.01% and DJ Transportation Indexes ( 7926.02 ) – 149.67 or – 1.85%  had more precipitous declines. The Tranny was influenced by geopolitical events in Brussels while the Russell 2000 ( 1079.54 ) – 22.14 or -2.01% remained the worst performing index. Stocks are likely to be on the defensive and in a bear trend until they can go up concomiantly with rate hikes.

Crude was lower  influeced by a stronger dollar, falling $ 3 from its recovery high in just a day below the $ 40 mark to $39.46. Commodites were defensive. Copper fell $ 5.35 or – 2.3%.

Biotech stocks were sligtly lower: The IBB ( $ 246.78 ) – 4.56 or -1.8%  made a doube top at the 263.95 level but appears to be making a bottom. The much beleaguered Valeant ( VRX: $ 31.09 ) finally got some bids making a minor rally up $ 4.71  or +15% on the week.

Volatility picked up some bids  as the VIX ( VXX: 19.30 ) – $ 0.05 on the week but may have put in a Gann type 4-legged bottom. The VIX has dropped sharply over the past two weeks to 19.30 from 30.85 February 11th, a decrease of 37.4%. The UVXY, a triple multiple ETF went from a high of 61.92 to 23.33 currently. Volatility goes up when sellers appear and may trying to put in a low as we end the month of March and head into April and what and the anticipation of poor first quarter earnings. Alcoa already appears to be baxking up in advance of negative expectations.

The Dollar ( $ 96.13 ) + 1.04 or +1.1% was very strong reversing down from a high of 98.57 on March 1st to a low of 95.17 down 3.40 points over the first three weeks of March which helped fuel the bull run. The Fed seemed to talk rate hikes when stocks are on a run and then withdraws their bull rate stance when there is overall weakness. Last week Fed Chair Janet Yellen made dovish comments about a rate hike.

Treasuries were barely changed  to slightly lower as the 10-Yr Treasury gave up 6 ticks to 129-07, its yield rising 0.01% to 1.88%.The Five year shorter term Treasury note fell 0.54 of 1%, whille the yield rose 0.02% to 1.35%.

All five leaders of the previous week were lower. Chevron ( CVX: $ 94.85 ) – $ 2.84 or -2.9% led the way. Boeing ( BA: $ 132.12 ) – $ 1.84 or 1.4%; Nike ( NKE: $ 61.65 ) -$1.34 or -2.1%; Both Caterpillar    ( CAT: $ 75.29 ) – $ 0.18 and Apple ( AAPL: $ 105.67 ) – $ 0.25 were off 0.2%.

Some Oil stocks besides Chevron were sharply lower: Chesapeake ( CHK: $ 4.25 ) – 0.66 or13% fell while in search for funds to pay down huged bank debt.

Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart notes that the rate of productivity growth has been significantly below its historical norm, which he attributes to a temporary spell of lower productivity,  which would  correct itself  if demand improved. Also, he said that new business formation has slowed in recent years. He said that these types of companies generate a lot of new jobs and contribute to raising overall productivity. This talk also served as a headwind to slow a stock market advance.

 

James Bullard, an FOMC voting member said, “the next rate increase may not be far off, provided the economy evolves as expected.”

Best Stocks To Buy

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

Total durable orders fell 2.8% (Briefing.com consensus -2.9%) in February and were revised for January to show 4.2% growth versus the previously reported 4.8% growth. Excluding transportation, orders were down 1.0% in February (Briefing.com consensus -0.2%) and were said to have increased 1.2% in January versus 1.8% before.

On a year-over-year basis, total durable orders are up 2.6%. On a year-over-year basis, orders excluding transportation are unchanged.

New orders were down month-over-month for most categories: primary metals (-0.1%), fabricated metal products (-1.2%), machinery (-2.6%), computers and electronic products (-0.9%), electrical equipment, appliances and components (-2.8%), transportation equipment (-6.2%), and capital goods (-9.5%).

The only main category registering a monthly increase was all other durable goods (0.2%) New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft — a proxy for business investment — declined 1.8% Shipments of nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, which factor into GDP forecasts, were down 1.1%

The Durable Goods Orders report for February was a disappointment, partly because it contained downward revisions for January but also because almost every category, excluding transportation, registered a month-over-month decline in new orders. Furthermore, orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft — a proxy for business spending — declined while shipments of those goods (-1.1%), which factor into GDP forecasts, declined for the second straight month.

Category FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT
Total Durable Orders -2.8% 4.2% -4.6% -0.5% 2.8%
    Less Defense -1.9% 3.7% -2.5% -2.0% 3.0%
    Less Transport -1.0% 1.2% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5%
    Transportation -6.2% 10.7% -12.1% -0.5% 7.6%
  Capital Goods -9.5% 19.2% -17.5% -2.3% 10.9%
  Nondefense -7.5% 20.5% -14.1% -7.9% 12.0%
  Nondefense/non aircraft (core cap goods) -1.8% 3.1% -3.7% -1.1% 0.6%
  Defense Cap Goods -25.6% 10.3% -35.6% 45.6% 2.1%

Stocks opened sharply lower upon the release of this report early Thusday morning but then recovered on book-squaring before the long weekend.

Jeffrey Lacker, the Richmond Fed President, speaking Monday, was hawkish saying the rate of inflation is higher than expected, the PCE Index having risen 1.3% in January, the highest reading since the fall of 2014. Ths peompted buying of the dollar and selling of equities which have been very sensitive to high rates and a higher greenback. Lacker said he expected headline inflation to move “significantly higher” after the price of oil stabilizes.  The dollar strength blunted a stock market rally whichj is very sensitive right now to a Fed becoming hawkish whenever stocks get a bid and appear to be breaking out.

 

Where To Invest Now 2016


Market Strategies Cycles

 

We cannot express enough our sorrow and outrage at today’s atrocious attacks in Brussels, Belgium.

As a testament to the resolve of peace and freedom loving people around the world, the market overcame early weakness to finish the day mixed. NASDAQ finished the day up 0.27% while S&P 500 and DJIA were modestly lower at the close, but still off the early session lows.

 

Looking back at some past crises and market shocks may lend some guidance. In the table below note how the past several events have all been terror related. But also notice the difference in market reaction. When the market was in decline or weak, the terror attack merely seemed to accelerate the process. But, beginning with the Bali bombing, after the 2002 bottom, the market has essentially shrugged off these horrific events that are becoming alarmingly all too frequent.

 

 

When Thomas Jefferson saw there was no negotiating with Muslims, he formed what is now the Marines (sea going soldiers).  These Marines were attached to U. S. Merchant vessels. When the Muslims attacked U.S. merchant vessels they were repulsed by armed soldiers, but there is more.

The Marines followed the Muslims back to their villages and killed every man, woman, and child in the village.  It didn’t take long for the Muslims to leave U.S. Merchant vessels alone.

English and French merchant vessels started running up our flag when entering the Mediterranean to secure safe travel.

Why the Marine Hymn contains the verse, “To the Shores of Tripoli”.
This is very interesting and a must read piece of our history.  It points out where we may be heading.   Most Americans are unaware of the fact that over two hundred years ago the United States had declared war on Islam, and Thomas Jefferson led the charge!

At the height of the 18th century, Muslim pirates (the “Barbary Pirates”) were the terror of the Mediterranean and a large area of the North Atlantic.  They attacked every ship in sight, and held the crews for exorbitant ransoms.  Those taken hostage were subjected to barbaric treatment and wrote heart-breaking letters home, begging their governments and families to pay whatever their Mohammedan captors demanded.

These extortionists of the high seas represented the North African Islamic nations of Tripoli, Tunis, Morocco, and Algiers – collectively referred to as the Barbary Coast – and presented a dangerous and unprovoked threat to the new American Republic.

 

Before the Revolutionary War, U.S. merchant ships had been under the protection of Great Britain.  When the U.S. declared its independence and entered into war, the ships of the United States were protected by France.

However, once the war was won, America had to protect its own fleets. Thus, the birth of the U.S. Navy.  Beginning in 1784, 17 years before he would become president, Thomas Jefferson became America’s Minister to France.  That same year, the U.S. Congress sought to appease its Muslim adversaries by following in the footsteps of European nations who paid bribes to the Barbary States rather than engaging them in war.

 

In July of 1785, Algerian pirates captured American ships, and the Dye of Algiers demanded an unheard-of ransom of $60,000.  It was a plain and simple case of extortion, and Thomas Jefferson was vehemently opposed to any further payments.  Instead, he proposed to Congress the formation of a coalition of allied nations who together could force the Islamic states into peace.

A disinterested Congress decided to pay the ransom.

In 1786, Thomas Jefferson and John Adams met with Tripoli’s ambassador to Great Britain to ask by what right his nation attacked American ships and enslaved American citizens, and why Muslims held so much hostility towards America, a nation with which they had no previous contacts.

 

Ambassador Sidi Haji Abdul Rahman Adja had answered that Islam “was founded on the Laws of their Prophet, that it was written in their Quran that all nations who would not acknowledge their authority were sinners, that it was their right and duty to make war upon them wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as prisoners, and that every Musselman (Muslim) who should be slain in battle was sure to go to Paradise.”

 

Despite this stunning admission of premeditated violence on non-Muslim nations, as well as the objections of many notable American leaders, including George Washington, who warned that caving in was both wrong and would only further embolden the enemy, for the following fifteen years the American government paid the Muslims millions of dollars for the safe passage of American ships or the return of American hostages.

The payments in ransom and tribute amounted to over 20 percent of the United States government annual revenues in 1800.

Jefferson was disgusted.  Shortly after his being sworn in as the third President of the United States in 1801, the Pasha of Tripoli sent him a note demanding the immediate payment of $225,000 plus $25,000 a year for every year forthcoming.

That changed everything.

Jefferson let the Pasha know, in no uncertain terms, what he could do with his demand.  The Pasha responded by cutting down the flagpole at the American consulate and declared war on the United States.

Tunis, Morocco, and Algiers immediately followed suit.

Jefferson, until now, had been against America raising a naval force for anything beyond coastal defense, but, having watched his nation be cowed by Islamic thuggery for long enough, decided that it was finally time to meet force with force.

He dispatched a squadron of frigates to the Mediterranean and taught the Muslim nations of the Barbary Coast a lesson he hoped they would never forget.  Congress authorized Jefferson to empower U.S. ships to seize all vessels and goods of the Pasha of Tripoli and to “cause to be done all other acts of precaution or hostility as the state of war would justify”.

 

When Algiers and Tunis, who were both accustomed to American cowardice and acquiescence, saw the newly independent United States had both the will and the right to strike back, they quickly abandoned their allegiance to Tripoli.  The war with Tripoli lasted for four more years, and raged up again in 1815.  The bravery of the U.S. Marine Corps in these wars led to the line “to the shores of Tripoli” in the Marine Hymn, and they would forever be known as “leathernecks” for the leather collars of their uniforms, designed to prevent their heads from being cut off by the Muslimscimitars when boarding enemy ships.

Islam, and what its Barbary followers justified doing in the name of their prophet and their god, disturbed Jefferson quite deeply.  America had a tradition of religious tolerance. In fact Jefferson, himself, had co-authored the Virginia Statute for Religious Freedom, but fundamentalist Islam was like no other religion the world had ever seen.  A religion based on supremacy, whose holy book not only condoned but mandated violence against unbelievers, was unacceptable to him.  His greatest fear was that someday this brand of Islam would return and pose an even greater threat to the United States.

 

We are still plagued by political dysfunction and the next administration is likely to have a rather tough go of it before we can get back to some real bipartisan leadership and policy initiatives.

 

From Stock Market Analyst’s Seasonal MACD Buy Signal on October 5, 2015 through yesterday’s close, DJIA gained 4.3%, S&P 500 climbed 2.5% while NASDAQ was off 0.3%. Although this performance is well below average for the “Best Six Months” (NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” end in June), the market had several major headwinds to overcome.

 

First and perhaps most significant, was the first interest rate hike in nearly a decade last December. The fractional increase itself was not all that substantial. However; it did mark the end of zero interest rate policy and a shift in monetary policy from broadly accommodative towards tightening. The anticipation of the shift in policy resulted in a stronger U.S. dollar that pressured commodity prices and our exports. Corporate profits were hit and global growth forecasts declined and the market briskly corrected in January and February.

 

Since then, the Fed has taken a much more dovish tone. Further rate hike expectations have fallen from four to just two for the remainder of the year. This shift has softened the U.S. dollar and given commodities a minor boost. The U.S. labor market has also remained resilient, lifting expectations for a quick recovery in growth and corporate profits. Only the Dow has managed to climb into positive territory for 2016, above the 200-day M.A., but new highs remain distant and unlikely. Since 1950, DJIA’s average annual gain has been 8.2%.

 

in 2008 the DJIA fell 24.7%, S&P 500 dropped 25.8% and NASDAQ declined 29.0% during the worst months May through October during the height of the Financial Crisis.

where to invest in 2016

 

Undervalued Small Cap Stocks

 

Lower Priced stocks that look to be a buy:

 

Repro-Med Systems, Inc ( OTCQX:  REPR 0.33 )*   

Medical Stocks To Buy

Repro Med Systems, Inc. dba RMS Medical Products (OTCQX: REPR) has been one of the best performing stocks in 2016. They announced that its net revenues for the third quarter ended November 30 for fiscal 2016 increased 18% over the previous year’s Q3, led by the Company’s sales of proprietary infusion products. The Company’s current fiscal year ends February 29, 2016.

Revenues for the third quarter of fiscal 2016 were $3,145,000 compared with $2,655,000 for the third quarter of fiscal 2015. Revenues for the first nine months of the fiscal 2016 were $8,942,000 compared with $7,797,000 for the same period last year, an increase of 15%.

RMS continues to benefit from recent lean manufacturing initiatives, which have resulted in increased capacity and decreased direct assembly labor costs compared to last year. Gross margin improved in fiscal Q3 to 67% from 60% in the same quarter last year, and from 63% in fiscal Q2.

Driven by the strong sales in the quarter, net income for the third quarter was $168,000, an improvement of 81% compared with the same period last year. In addition, net income was negatively impacted due to costs associated with several trade shows in the quarter, the hiring of new sales representatives, and continued legal and consulting fees, all of which reflect an investment for growth in future periods. Excluding certain of these non-recurring items, net income margin would have been in excess of 10% for the quarter.

“We continue to see growth in all sectors of the homecare infusion market both domestically and internationally,” commented Andy Sealfon, President and CEO of the company. “I am also very excited about our newest board member, Cyril N. Narishkin and have appointed him as Interim Chief Operating Office to support our expanded management team and accelerate our growth opportunities. Cyril brings a wealth of experience consulting with companies of all sizes, and will also be instrumental in assisting the Company on its lean initiatives and growth plans,” Mr. Sealfon added.

The Company manufactures medical products used for infusions and suctioning. The Infusion product portfolio currently includes the FREEDOM60(R) and our latest FreedomEdge(TM) Syringe Infusion Pumps, RMS Precision Flow Rate Tubing(TM) and RMS HIgH-Flo(TM) Subcutaneous Safety Needle Sets. These devices are used for infusions administered in professional healthcare settings as well as at home. The company’s RES-Q-VAC line of medical suctioning products is used by emergency medical service providers in addition to a variety of other healthcare providers.

The Company’s website may be visited at www.rmsmedicalproducts.com.

Repro-Med Systems, Inc has had an increase in sales each of the last four years. They finished the year of 2014 with $ 11.2 million in sales reflecting top line growth of  29% from 2013.In each of the previous two years they had a 12% increase in sales. The company has had at least $ 700 thousand of net income in each of the past four years and has no debt. The patented needle sets alone can give the company a huge growth potential. In my opinion, with new products coming on stream, the stock should trade between $ 3 and $ 8 in the next two years.

 

Immune Therapeutics ( OTCQB: IMUN  $ 0.17 )* 

 

Use  of  Naltrexone as an immune modulator was recognized by Dr. Ian Zagon at the University of Pennsylvania.2,3 The late Dr. Bernard Bihari, a Neurophysician from New York, USA (who passed away on May 16th, 2010) began treating his patients in the late 1980s4,5. Since that time, many doctors throughout the United States prescribe LDN for a number of indications including Multiple Sclerosis (MS), Parkinson’s disease, Crohn’s disease, HIV/AIDS, cancer and other autoimmune and inflammatory diseases.  A number of research and clinical trials have been completed and undergone in regards to LDN immunotherapies, with phase I and phase II clinical trials successfully run at a number of universities in the United States and Europe, including Pennsylvania State University Medical School at Hershey; University of Chicago; State University of New York; SUNY Upstate Medical University; London Health Sciences Centre – University Hospital, USA; Alpert Medical School of Brown University; Department of Neurology, San Raffaele Scientific Institute; Division of Rheumatology, St. Louis College of Pharmacy; Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah; Jondi-Shapoor University of Medical Sciences; Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center; and Multiple Sclerosis Center at UCSF6. These efforts were pioneered by leading immunologists Dr. Nicholas Plotnikoff, Dr. Ronald Herberman, Dr. Bernard Bihari, Dr. Angus Dalgleish, Dr. Ian S. Zagon, Dr. Jill Smith, Dr. McLaughlin, Dr. Jacqueline McCandless, and Moshe Rogosnitzky, among others.

Clinical trials in Africa have gone well and results should be released soon.

 

Oakridge Global Energy Solutions, Inc. ( OTCQB: OGES  0.61 ) *

Oakridge global energy is a developer, designer and manufacturer of proprietary energy storage solutions. The Company is based out of Florida’s “space coast” near Kennedy Space Center. They make premium quality, proprietary batteries, battery systems and lithium ion cells that are built for maximum performance over the traditional lead/acid batteries. OGES, proudly manufacturing in America since 1986, produces batteries for military, consumer, government, and industrial applications. Target market priorities include golf cars and other recreational vehicles, electronics, and devices requiring rechargeable batteries.

Oakridge Energy produces highly reliable, sustainable and dependable batteries for mobile power sources. Based on size and weight, OGES products deliver a higher capacity than comparable competitor batteries.  OGES batteries are higher in quality, longer lasting and safer to use. These batteries have undergone and passed rigorous military testing in underwater and aerial vehicles proving to be high/low pressure tolerant. Most significant, OGES batteries are superior performing yet competitive in the market.

Martac Maritime Tactical Systems, Inc., MARTAC recently conducted very successful field trials on the Inter-coastal waterway in Palm Bay, Florida. MARTAC is a Melbourne, Florida based company that designs and produces the Man-Portable Tactical Autonomous Systems (MANTAS) that can reach extreme high speeds and operate anywhere in the world.  These vehicles are designed to be used in numerous applications including naval fleet protection, mine warfare, port and harbor security patrol, antipiracy, search and rescue, and many others. shows our high quality and high performance gets us into the military space at a time when made in USA is of critical strategic importance.

 

Freedom Trucks shows that Oakridge can outperform Tesla and the “Tesla of trucks” – trucks are much more difficult and laborious to power than cars – because of the Oakridge high power high energy

dense batteries, we need only 180 OGES batteries to power the interstate truck that pulls an

80,000 lb trailer, whereas it would take 208,000 Tesla/Panasonic batteries, which is simply not feasible.

Lithium ion batteries, deliver twice the energy of nickel cadmium batteries and are the fastest growing battery segment. Their growth and demand dynamically forward trending. They are lightweight and easy to maintain. They deliver superior electro-chemical output and provide highest energy density for weight, non-metallic and are rechargeable. In 2015, the OGES ProSeries golf car was launched at the annual PGA show, the largest golf show in the world. OGES plans to have a new factory producing its patented thin film solid state lithium ion batteries by 2017.  OGES is commencing delivery of small format prismatics to help several smart card customers reach the next generation.  Their growth will be serviced by the new factory. These batteries are also in a rapidly growing demand for a variety of p loss 11.36.applications.

Oakridge has recently continued expansion of its ISO certified manufacturing facility and warehouse in Palm Bay, with the support of Florida Governor Rick Scott. The new facility represents a $270 million investment, increasing the size of the manufacturing plant to 70,000 sq-ft to accommodate the growing demand for OGES batteries. Production is expected to increase from 250,000 to 25 million cells per year by 2018. The company’s growth will provide 1000 Americans with new jobs; this is part of the company’s commitment to support domestic employment.

Overseas, Oakridge Global Energy Solutions Limited (Hong Kong) is a subsidiary company that operates     for sales and service in Asia.

 

Tree Top Industries, Inc ( OTC Pink: TTII  3.60 )* 

 

The Go Fun Group Holdings, Ltd, which operates in the retail restaurant and online food service sectors and is based in Hong Kong. Go Fun also is engaged in the Green Food sourcing and logistics business, working with sustainable local companies to further the science of healthy food preparation. Go Fun’s retail entities include traditional Chinese, Italian, and Japanese Steakhouse restaurants. TTII entered into a non -binding letter of intent to move forward in partnership configurations. More info to come.

 

 

Fundamental Analysis Stocks To Buy with Stops

 

Using fundamentals the following are stocks to buy and they have done well. Now it is your decision whether to take profits in these uncertain times.

 

Value oriented stocks were mixed last week.

 

The Alcoa, Sunoco, Church and Dwight, Harley Davidson and Sally Beauty were all slightly lower, while both the AT^T and Microsoft were strong bucking the lower markets.  Church and Dwight is looking solid and should be bought any two days down..  Alcoa has made nice profits but has aheadwind ahead of earnings in just 2 weeks.

 

The HDGE goes up when the market goes down.  The HDGE rallied above its 200 day moving average at about 1100, before rebounding to 11.08.  It has been a major success for those who believe in hedging.  The losses are very small  on the HDGE considering huge gains on the longs. We would be willing to buy for a rally to 11.50 with a sell stop at 10.68.

 

 

Symbol Name Business Description PE P/S MV mln Price Buy Limit Stop Loss

Or sold

FFIC Flushing Financial Bank Holding company Savings and loans 13 3,5 592Mln 21.51 19.50 18x
SUN Sunoco Oil and Gas Refining and marketing 10 0.2 2.1B 32.26 26 23.50x
AA Alcoa Aluminum Processing and Technology N/A 0.4 9.5B 9.57 7.05 6.97X
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Specialty Retailer and distributor beauty supplies 16 1 4B 31.89 27.30 26x
HOG Harley Davidson Motorcycles and related products 11 1.32 8B 47.86  39.84 36x
CHD Church & Dwight Consumer Products Sodium bicarbonate Arm and Hammer 25 3 10.6B 91.45 79.80

01/26/16

Take Profits
T AT&T Communications 36 1.54 211.7B 38.88 34.10 32x
MSFT Microsoft Technology Software, Services, Devices 17 4.7 431B 54.21 50.90

 

49.50x
VA Virgin Air Regional Airlines 7.2 0.9 1.5B 34.17 30.30

Suggested buy

28.50x

 

ENZ Enzo Biochem Life Sciences NA 1.35 134M  4.52 4.15

Suggested buy

3.98x
BAC Bank of America Commercial Bank 10 2.02 165.3B 13.68 11.86 10.90x
HDGE Advisor Shares Ranger Bear ETF 11.08 Buy 10.96 10.68x

 

 

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Rule 17B Attestations and Disclaimers

 

Princeton Research, Inc. has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for Investor relations. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton was paid $ 2,500 to write a report on Xinergy. Princeton has signed a contract with CBLI to be paid $ 2500 for July and August for investor relations. Princeton has been engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. Princeton was paid about 500,000 restricted shares of Leo Motors.

 

When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities.

 

We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.05 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 900 U.S. ADR’s.

 

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

 

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