Options Trading September 2014
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Options Trading Alerts
September 15, 2014
Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
Covering:
Best Stocks To Buy September 2014
Best Stocks To Buy
Options Trading Strategies
Options Trading Alerts
Options Trading Newsletter
Top Stocks To Buy
What To Invest In
Over 284% Gains In 2013
For Free Where To Invest Your Money Now
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In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479
Over 284% Returns
A $10,000 Portfolio would be worth $38,479
The last 3 years our gains have gotten progressively greater year over year.
284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013
171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012
77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)
Balanced Investing Strategies
Options Trading Tops Binary Trading
Market Strategies
$10,000 Trading Account
Traders Comments
There are 3 Open Positions:
AAPL Sept 100 Calls
CRM September 60 Calls
LVLT Oct 45 Calls
Funds in Use $ 1109
Gain for the Week $ 972
Gain for the Year $ 9,526
Over 95% YTD Gains
Week 36 had amazing crosscurrents. As I said last week, I am wary and using smaller positions and a very short trigger. Early in the week I took not 1, but 2 50% Rule liquidations, followed by 4 closing trades for profits in AAPL, FB, and TBT (over 200%).
The gain for the week was $927 bringing the YTD performance up to $9526 or 95% with the funds in use shrinking to $1,109.
I kept half of the AAPL position partially on the technicals but also based on my own personal beliefs about the importance of the new Iphone 6 and 6+ release.
This year has also shown that what has happened in the past will happen again has fallen flat on its face — Sell in May and Go away — August is one of the worst months of the year.
Apple always rallies up to a new release and then sells off. It is my belief that this is release is almost as important as the 2007 event for the original IPhone. For me, it was a no-brainer.
An IPod, a top of the line phone and Internet access all for $200.This new release addresses speed, screen size, battery life and security. But the proof is the fact that I tried 2 short hours after pre-order started and the option to pick the phone up at an Apple store was already sold out — Same with the ATT store.
It would not surprise me to see AAPL make another new high over $105 this coming week.
The weekly came down and touched the 13 week MA and closed higher on the week. A move to $108 – $112 is not out of the question.
While we’ve seen some downside action this week in the S&P500 and the Dow, my work shows both of those indexes are actually oversold…The Russell 2000 is lagging behind but the Transports were barely down. As I said above, lots of geopolitical and economic crosscurrents….I will be staying with lighter positions.
…CAM
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Market Strategies $10,000 Trading Account
Trade Table
New Trades
1) Buy 6 WFM October 39 Calls @ $ 0.52 OB ( Or Better )
2) Buy 6 KR October 52.50 Calls @ $ 0.56 OB
DATE | TRADES | PRICE | COST | PROCEEDS | RESULTS |
09/12 | Sold 2 TBT Sept 57 Calls ( Balance of 5 ) | 2.18 | 436 | 274 Gain | |
09/12 | Sold 3 TBT Sept 57 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule ) |
2.22 | 666 | 423 Gain | |
09/11 | Sold 3 AAPL September 100 Calls | 2.24 | 672 | 189 Gain | |
09/11 | Bought 3 AAPL September 100 Calls | 1.61 | 483 | ||
09/11 | Bought 3 AAPL September 100 Calls | 1.43 | 429 | ||
09/10 | Sold 3 VLO October 52.50 Calls | 0.57 | 171 | 168 Loss | |
09/10 | Sold 3 WFM September 39 Calls | 0.46 | 138 | 141 Loss | |
09/09 | Sold 10 FB September 79 Calls | 0.92 | 920 | 350 Gain | |
09/09 | Bought 3 VLO October 52.50 Calls | 1.13 | 339 | ||
09/08 | Bought 5 CRM September 60 Calls | 0.81 | 405 | ||
09/05 | Bought 10 FB September 79 Calls | 0.57 | 570 | ||
09/05 | Bought 5 TBT September 57 Calls | 0.81 | 405 | ||
08/28 | Bought 5 LVLT October 45 Calls | 0.55 | 275 | ||
08/27 | Sold 3 WFM Sept 39 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule ) |
1.86 | 558 | 279 Gain | |
08/15 | Bought 6 WFM September 39 Calls | 0.93 | 558 |
Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the
Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.
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What To Invest In
MARKET Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect.
Dow
16,987.51 -0.87% |
Nasdaq
4567.60 -15.30 |
S&P 500
1985.54 -22.17 -1.10% |
Transportation
8552.28 -49.52 -0.58% |
Russell 2000
1160.61-9.52 -0.81% |
Nasdaq 100
4069.23 -20.69 -0.51% |
Gold (spot)
1229.90 35.90 -2.8% |
Silver (July)
1860.6 –55.0 -2.9% |
Crude
92.27 -1.02 -1.1% |
Heating Oil
274.05 –7.87 -2.8% |
Unleaded Gas
2.5188 -0.0646 -2.5% |
Natural Gas
3.857 +0.064 +1.7% |
VIX
13.31 +1.22 +10.1% |
Put/Call Ratios
S&P 100 139/100’s -12/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios
CBOE Equity 60/100’s -4/100’s
|
Bonds
135-27 -2-03 3.33% + 0.10% |
10 Yr. Note
123-314 -1 -026 2.59%+0.13% |
Copper
310.65 -6.30 -2.0% |
CRB Inflation
Index 281.90 -6.12 -2.1% |
B9arron’s Confidence
68.7% +0.2% |
S&P100
883.07 -7.41 -0.83% |
5 Yr. Note
117-312 -19 1.80% +0.10% |
Dollar
84.17 +0.41 +0.5% |
DJ Utilities
549.64 -18.50 -3.26% |
AAII
Confidence Index |
Bullish
40.4% -4.3% |
Bearish
26.6% +2.6% |
Neutral
33.0% +1.7%
|
M1 Money Supply
+9.74% Sept 1st |
M-2 Money
Supply +6.31% Sept 1st
|
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
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Options Trading Newsletter
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1970
Resistance S&P 500 1992 – 1997
Support Levels DOW 16,870
Resistance DOW 17,040
Support Levels QQQ 98.90
Resistance QQQ 100.00 – 101.20
Support Levels NASDAQ 4535 – 4450
Resistance NASDAQ 4590
Both 1992 S&P and 17,000 Dow were good support and if the markets can get beyond geopolitical obstacles they will become support once again. However, now they are resistance.
Best Stocks To Buy
New Stock Recommendations $100,000 Portfolio
Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.
Stock | Purchase Price | Purchase Date | Stop/Loss | Price/Date Sold | Profit/(Loss) | |||
FCX 150 | 34.99 | 09/09 | ||||||
AUXL 200 | 18.55 | 08/29 | ||||||
GALE 1500 | 3.05 | 08/11 | ||||||
GRPN 500 | 6.35 | 07/31 | ||||||
BCRH 300 | 19.45 | 07/10 | 17.55sco | |||||
NBG 300 | 2.95 | 05/19 | ||||||
XRGYF 5000* | 0.407 | 03/14 | ||||||
OSIR 300 | 15.94 | 02/13 | 14.12 09/04/14 | ( $ 546 ) | ||||
GRPN 500 | 10.40 | 01/28 | ||||||
RPTP 400 | 15.37 | 01/16 | ||||||
AA 300 | 10.06 | 01/10 | ||||||
WLT 300 | 16.22 | 12/23 | ||||||
GSG 150 | 32.64 | 12/23 | 32.21 sco | |||||
NBG 300 | 4.08 | 8/12 | ||||||
TEXQY* 200 | 6.56 | 7/11 | ||||||
NBG 300 | 12.10 | 5/23 | ||||||
HL 1000 | 4.10 | 3/04 | 2.64 sco | |||||
AAPL 35 | 76.85 | 11/08/12 | ||||||
REPR* 5000 | 0.22 | 10/22/12 | .12 sco |
Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.
Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.
Best Stocks To Buy September 2014
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Recommendations And Overall Comments
New Options Trades:
1) Buy 12 WFM October 39 Calls @ $ 0.52 OB
2) Buy 12 KR October 52.50 Calls @ $ 0.56 OB
Additional trades and stop losses will be texted to paid subscribers.
There were six traded and closed out option positions
last week causing a nice gain of $ 1,850.
Charles has continued a “hot” hand during the torrid month of September including his buying Apple and TBT.
We now have three options positions long.
For the full year now we have gains of $ 27,787.
Over 27% returns
We have open position losses of about $ 9,201.
The weakness in crude oil stocks has had a bearish effect on coal stocks. NBG has been costly but Europe should be roaring back . The earthquake in California has put a damper on BCRH.
We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American (NAT),
BCRH and JP Morgan.
The Stock table has the following 17 positions:
AA, AAPL, AUXL, BCRH, FCX, GALE, GRPN (2) , GSG,
HL, NBG (3), REPR, RPTP, TEXQY, WLT, XRGYF
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical
$ 100,000 and are using
$ 63,677 in 18 stock positions plus
$ 2,218 in three options positions totaling
$ 65,895 with
$ 34,105 in cash.
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.
Options Trading Strategies
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the Market Strategies
$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
- When the option has doubled sell half the position
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
Option | Cost | Date | Sold | Date | Profit/(Loss) |
AAPLSept100
6 lots |
Calls
1.61 |
09/11/14 | 2.24 | 09/11/14 | $ 378.00 |
AAPLSept100
6 lots |
Calls
1.43 |
09/11/14 | |||
VLO Oct 52.50
6 lots |
Calls
1.13 |
09/09/14 | 0.57 | 09/10/14 | ( $ 336.00 ) |
CRM Sept 60
10 lots |
Calls
0.81 |
09/08/14 | |||
FB Sept 79
20 lots |
Calls
0.57 |
09/05/14 | 0.92 | 09/09/14 | $ 700.00 |
TBT Sept 57
10 lots |
Calls
0.81 |
09/05/14 | 2.22 Sold 5 on
100% up Rule
Sold 5 later same day |
09/12/14
|
$ 705.00
$ 685.00 |
LVLT Oct 45
10 lots |
Calls
0.55 |
08/28/14 | |||
WFM Aug 39
12 lots 6 left |
Calls
0.93 |
08/15/14 | 1.86 Sold half on
100% Profit Rule
0.46 Sold Balance at 50% Loss Rule |
08/27/14
09/10/14
|
$ 558.00
( $ 282.00 ) |
Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.
Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
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Top Stocks To Buy
Options Trading Alerts
This Weeks’ Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday | The OECD releases its Economic Outlook
08:30 hrs Empire Manufacturing Sept ( 16.0 vs 14.7 ) 09:15 hrs Industrial Production Aug ( 0.3% vs 0.4% ) Capacity Utilization ( 79.3% up from 79.2% ) |
Tuesday | 08:30 hrs PPI August ( 0.0% vs 0.1% )
CORE PPI August ( 0.1% vs 0.2% ) 16:00 hrs TIC Flows Net Long Term ( NA vs -$18.7Bln ) |
Wednesday | 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 09/13 ( NA vs -7.2% )
08:30 hrs CPI August ( 0.0% vs 0.1% ) 09/06 CORE CPI ( 0.2% vs 0.1% ) 08:30 hrs Current Account Balance 2nd Qtr ( -$114.5Bln vs -$111.2Bln ) 10:00 hrs NAHB Housing Market Index Sept ( 56 vs 55 ) 10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 09/13 ( NA vs -0.972Mln Bbls ) 14:00 hrs FOMC Rate Decision ( 0.25% ) The Fed will offer more insight Into Monetary Policy |
Thursday | Alibaba Group will sell 320 million shares at an average $ 63 a share. If the overallotment is exercised , the sale could set a record for the biggest IPO at some $ 24.3 billion.
08:30 hrs Initial Claims 09/13 ( 305K vs 315K ) 08:30 hrs Continuing Claims 09/06 ( 2945K vs 2487K ) 08:30 hrs Housing Starts Aug ( 1045K vs 1093K ) Building Permits Aug ( 1054K vs 1052K ) 10:00 hrs Philadelphia Fed Sept ( 23.5 vs 28.0 ) 10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 09/13 ( NA vs 92 bcf ) |
Friday |
10:00 hrs Leading Indicators Aug ( 0.4% vs 0.9% ) |
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Top Stocks To Buy
Market Strategies Fundamentals
Second Quarter earnings are all in now and the S&P 500 companies registered 10.3% earnings growth according to Barron’s. Even Top-Line growth gained 5%, the best in two years.
Third Quarter performance is expected to improve 8%, up another 0.5% from July’s estimate. Earnings-Per-Share expectations of $ 118.39 would be an all-time record for the S&P 500.
Market performance is being facilitated by the Technology Sector which shows unprecedented resilience sparked by the Fab Five:
Apple ( AAPL: $ 101.66 ), Intel ( INTC: $ 34.62 ) Microsoft ( MSFT: $ 46.70 )
Hewlett Packard ( HPQ: $ 36.56 ) Yahoo ( YHOO: $ 42.88 ).
They are accelerating, leaving behind other market sectors.
Geopolitical problems as well as the proverbial “Taper Tantrum” a fear of the unknown Fed
imposed restrictions, as there is no shortage of liquidity in the system. Both seem to be the main obstacle to continued upside progress as getting through September is always problematic. This week brings the Fed into close perspective as on Wednesday afternoon there is expected to be decisions on fed policy.
This is of course, more psychological than realistic as the economy is burgeoning with abundant liquidity in spite of unprecedented regulatory pressure from politicians who have never been in business. Housing remains in the doldrums as the result of retarded regulatory pressure on banks to require a net personal income 20% rule on borrowers. In addition, the Fed plans to impose a capital surcharge on the largest banks to protect against the unknown, creating more bureaucracy with a new Financial Stability Group.
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Market Strategies Economic Data
Retail Sales, which had been the most questionable area of economic progress, surprised everyone increasing 0.6% in August, following an upwardly revised 0.3% (from 0.0%) in July.
The overall consensus expected Retail Sales to be flat; instead the overall industry increased 0.6%. Excluding motor vehicles, Retail Sales increased a respectable 0.3% for a second consecutive month and surpassed expectations.
The rebound in retail sales should help support economic growth in the third quarter. The CRB inflation index has plummeted from 338.06 September 2011 to 309.59 September 2012, then 291.16 September 2013 and now 281.90 as seen in the above table.
Category | AUG | JUL | JUN | MAY | APR |
Retail Sales | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
Excluding Autos | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
Durable goods | |||||
Building Materials | 1.4% | -0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
Autos/parts | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Furniture | 0.7% | -0.1% | 0.0% | -0.4% | 0.8% |
Nondurable goods | |||||
General Merchandise | -0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | -0.5% | 1.3% |
Food | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Gasoline stations | -0.8% | 0.0% | -0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% |
Clothing | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | -0.6% | 1.5% |
e*retailing/non-store | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | -0.4 |
Undervalued Small Cap Stocks
Target Energy* ( TEX.AX 0.061 Australia ), In the USA, ( TEXQY: $ 5.50 ) a new ADR
This company has been trading up with volume. Performance is outstanding with positive results accelerating. Management is extremely talented but at the same time very conservative in their disclosures of drilling successes and future opportunity.
Performance value exceeds their market cap. The company could easily earn a nickel a share
(Australian).
It would be logical for a much higher share value, perhaps 10 to15 cents which is very much in the picture this year. Aurora Energy Partners associated with Victory Energy (VYEY) is a believer; they just paid $ 6 million for a 10% interest in its Fairway Project in the Permian.
Cleveland BioLabs, Inc ( CBLI $ 0.40 )*
First in class pharmaceuticals designed to
address diseases with significant medical need.
The company’s lead product candidates are Entolimod, which is being developed as radiation countermeasure and a potential cancer treatment, and Curaxin CBL0137, a lead oncology product candidate.
The company conducts business in the United States and in the Russian Federation through our three operating subsidiaries, Incuron, LLC, BioLabs 612, LLC and Panacela Labs, Inc.
The company maintains strategic relationships with the Cleveland Clinic, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, and the Children’s Cancer Institute Australia.
To learn more about Cleveland BioLabs, Inc., please visit the Company’s website at http://www.cbiolabs.com.
Cleveland BioLabs (CBLI) Announces
Green Light to Submit
Pre-Emergency Use Authorization Application for Entolimod
45%+ Upward Movement Week — See Report
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Market Strategies Cycles
The CRB Commodity Index has continued to fall. The CRB Index has dropped off each year from September 2011 when the Index was 338.06; then in 2012 it fell to 309.59; In 2013 it lost ground to 291.16 and today it is just 281.90. This has all happened, while there is an abundance of money in the system, more people working, and consuming commodities.
Lower crude prices translate to reduced gasoline prices which should boost consumer confidence and spending ability.
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Stocks to buy on a September dip
Symbol | Name | Business Description | PE | P/S | MV mln | Price | Buy Limit | Stop Loss |
APT | Alpha Pro Tech | Medical Disposables | 18 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 2.59 | 2.42 | 2.21 |
IIIN | Insteel industries | Metal fabrication | 29 | 0.7 | 411 | 22.44 | 21.22 | 18.50 |
KR | Kroger | Retail Food | 17 | 0.24 | 24.6K | 50.30 | 48.90 | 46 |
XOM | Exxon Mobil | Energy | 13.4 | 1.1 | 420K | 98.50 | 94.40 | 89 |
UAL | United Cont Hld | Transportation | 16 | 1.2 | 18.1K | 48.46 | 46 | 43 |
CAT | Caterpillar | Construction | 18.24 | 0.46 | 67.4K | 107.31 | 104.60 | 101 |
WFM | Whole Foods | Healthy Foods | 25.7 | 0.98 | 13.9K | 38.55 | 37.15 | 31 |
VLO | Valero | Refining | 10 | 0.20 | 28.4K | 53.81 | 53.30 | 52 |
BELFB | Bell Fuse Inc B | Electronics | 9.5 | 0.74 | 276 | 23.26 | 23 | 21.50 |
SPXU | Ultra Short S&P | Hedge purposes | 44.74 | 43.20 | 41 | |||
VXX | VIX Volatility | Hedge Portfolio | 27.70 | 27.10 | 26 | |||
SAN | Banco Santander | World Banking | 18 | 2.73 | 118.6K | 9.75 | 9.30 | 8.50 |
Highlighted numbers indicate execution
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Rule 17B Attestations and Disclaimers
Princeton Research, Inc. has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for Investor relations. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton has been paid $ 2,500 to write a report on Xinergy. Princeton has signed a contract with CBLI to be paid $ 2500 for July and August. for investor relations. Princeton has been engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. Princeton was paid about 500,000 restricted shares of Leo Motors.
When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities.
We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.05 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 900 U.S. ADR’s.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
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Mike King
(702) 650-3000
Princeton Research
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