Options Trading
May 6, 2013
Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
Covering High Return
Balanced Investing Strategies To
Make Money In Up Or Down Markets
A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz
Market Strategies
$10,000 Options Trading Account
There are seven open positions:
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Funds in Use: $ 3,845.00
Options Trading Strategies Comments
Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
VIP Subscriber Members Only
TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
This week we gained $1,259
bringing the YTD performance to
a new high return of $18,854
This betters our last years’
total return of $17,174
While the market continues to “climb wall of worry” the sentiment indicators remain in neutral ground with the Bullish slightly below its average, the Bearish slightly above and neutral stuck @ 33%.
While everyone is talking about the new ALL TIME HIGHS, several sectors are growing tired.
We will continue to concentrate on stocks that have been consolidating above their 200 day moving averages. Buying breakouts in a tired market is not a good strategy since they are generally uncomfortably above support and can pull back without changing outlooks.
The continued escalation in the Mideast conflict is troubling, with Israel claiming that they are targeting missiles imported from Iran. We all know that this is a long-term issue that will not get better anytime soon, and we can expect negative effects without warning.
We will continue to seek new positions that meet our risk profile with limited downside to maintain performance.
…CAM
Where To Invest Now
Options Trading Strategies Table
DATE |
STOCK OPTIONS |
PRICE |
COST |
PROCEEDS |
RESULTS |
5/03 |
This Information Is For Subscribers Only |
0.94 0.91 |
564 546 |
216 Gain 198 Gain |
|
5/01 |
4.05 |
405 |
145 Gain |
||
4/30 |
1.61 |
805 |
480 Gain |
||
4/30 |
2.60 |
780 |
|||
4/29 |
1.09 |
545 |
220 Gain |
||
4/26 |
0.65 |
650 |
|||
4/25 |
0.10 |
60 |
|||
4/24 |
0.68 |
680 |
|||
4/23 |
1.20 |
600 |
300 Gain |
||
4/23 |
1.55 |
775 |
600 Gain |
||
4/19 |
1.00 |
1000 |
650 Gain |
||
4/18 |
0.60 |
600 |
|||
4/15 |
0.58 |
696 |
|||
4/15 |
0.35 |
700 |
|||
4/01 |
0.73 |
1460 |
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area
Options Trading Strategies Notes:
In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.
For any questions please call (702) 650 3000.
Market Strategies Where To Invest Now
Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
Dow 14,973.96 +261.41 +1.78% |
Nasdaq 3378.63 +99.37 +3.03% |
S&P 500 1614.42 +32.18 +2.03% |
Transportation 6,218.90 +103.01 +1.68% |
Russell 2000 954.42 +19.17 +2.05% |
Nasdaq 100 2944.59 104.04 +3.66% |
Gold (spot) 1464.30 +10.70 +0.7% |
Silver (Dec ) 2401.4 +22.6 +0.96% |
Crude 95.61 +2.61 +2.8% |
Heating Oil 288.44 +1.83 +0.6% |
Unleaded Gas 2.8254 -0.0019 -0.067% |
Natural Gas 4.041 -4.3% |
VIX 13.61 -1.36 -9.1% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 164/100’s +30/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 63/100’s -13/100’s
|
Bonds 147.02 -1-26 2.97% +0.11% |
10 Yr Note 132-274-186 1.75% +0.09%
|
Copper 331.45 +12.85 +4.0% |
CRB Inflation Index 290.17 +4.77 +1.7% |
Barron’s Confidence 67.3% -0.3% |
S&P100 725.65 +13.25 +1.86% |
5 Yr Note 124-132 -065 0.73% +0.049%
|
Dollar 82.13 -0.37 -0.45% |
DJ Utilities 529.30 -2.73 -0.51% |
AAII Confidence Index |
Bullish 31.0% +2.7% |
Bearish 35.9% -2.9% |
Neutral 33.1% +0.2%
|
M1 Money Supply +13.02% Apr22nd
|
M-2 Money Supply +7.00% Apr22nd
|
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2 adds Savings and Money market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
New Stock Recommendations
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.
Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.
Stock |
Purchase Price |
Purchase Date |
Stop Loss |
Price/ Date Sold |
Profit (Loss) |
This Information Is For Subscribers Only |
0.89 |
4/30 |
|||
41.25 |
4/29 |
||||
6.49 |
4/24 |
||||
22.20 |
4/22 |
||||
2.40 |
4/22 |
||||
2.20 |
4/09 |
2.81 4/30 |
$ 1098 |
||
0.73 |
4/01 |
||||
2.71 |
3/13 |
||||
5.10 |
4/09 |
||||
9.55 |
3/07 |
||||
4.10 |
3/04 |
||||
48.60 |
11/26 |
||||
538 |
11/08 |
||||
636 |
10/9/12 |
||||
662.00 |
9/27/12 |
||||
35.27 |
8/31/12 |
||||
35.29 |
6/28/12 |
45.34sco |
47.60 5/03 |
$ 1131 |
|
.25 |
3/12/12 |
.10 sco |
|||
0.22 |
10/22/12 |
12 sco |
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.
$100,000 Trading Portfolio
Options Trading Strategies
Recommendations And Overall Comments
We made $ 4,747
in closed out positions last week
expanding our profits for the year to
a new plateau, a hypothetical $ 36,229
We have one long BAC warrant position and six long options positions:
The Stock table includes the following seventeen positions:
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
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THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY
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We are basing money management on a hypothetical $100,000 and are using $4,770
for the six options positions, $63,142.00 in the17 stock positions plus the BAC Warrants ,
a total of $67,912 with $32,088 in cash.
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the
$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated.
- When the option has doubled sell half the position.
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade.
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
Option |
COST |
Date |
Sold |
Date |
Profit (Loss) |
This Information Is For Subscribers Only |
Calls 0.65 |
5/01/13 |
|||
Puts 2.60 |
4/30/13 |
4.05 ( sold 2 lots leaves 4 ) |
5/01/13 |
$ 290 |
|
Calls 0.65 |
4/26/13 |
1.09 (sold 10 leaves 10 lots) 1.61 Sold remaining 10 lots |
4/29/13 4/30/13 |
$ 440 $ 960 |
|
Calls 0.10 |
4/25/13 |
||||
Calls 0.68 |
4/24/13 |
||||
Calls 2.32 |
4/23/13 |
4.20 sold 2 3.45 sold 2 |
4/23/13 |
$ 376 $ 226 |
|
Calls 0.67 |
4/19/13 |
0.67 (sold against long stock position ) |
4/19/13 |
||
Calls 0.60 |
|||||
Calls 0.58 |
4/15/13 |
0.94 (Sold 10 lots ) 0.91 ( sold 10 lots remaining balance ) |
5/03/13 5/03/13 |
$ 432 $ 396 |
|
Calls 0.35 |
4/15/13 |
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
This Weeks’ Market Strategies
Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday |
Sysco, Tyson Foods, PetMed Express andWestlake Chemical report before the Opening:
A Comprehensive Picture of Commercial Bank Lending is released by the Federal Reserve.
After the close: Apollo Residential Mortgage; Anadarko, EOG, Goodrich Petroleum, Legacy Reserves, Plains All Amer Pipeline, Nat Resource Partners, Northern Oil and Gas, PAA Nat Gas Storage (PNG) Mindray Medical, Tesco all report earnings. |
Tuesday |
Broadridge Financial ( BR); Fossil ( FOSL );First Energy ( FE ) report
The Labor Dept reports March Job Openings and Labor Turnover aka ( JOLTS )
15:00 hrs Mar Consumer Credit ( $ 16.3B vs $18.1B )
SEC Chairman Mary Jo White testifies to a House Budget Committee.
Kinross Gold, Marathon Oil, McKesson, Symantec (SYMC ) and Whole Foods ( WFM ) after close
|
Wednesday |
Maidenform Brands ( MFB ) Navidea Biopharma,Vitacost and Wendys report before the open
10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 05/04 ( NA vs 6.696 mln bbls )
Corrections Corp CXW; Century Link; Groupon, Transocean and Tesla report earnings after the close.
|
Thursday |
Apache (APA) Cooper Tire Teekay Shipping ( TK )
08:30 hrs Initial Claims 05/04 ( 336K vs 324K ) Continuing Claims 04/27 ( 3019K vs 3019K )
10:00 hrs Wholesale Inventories Mar ( 0.3% vs -0.3% )
10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 5/04 ( NA vs 43 bcf ) |
Friday |
14:00 hrs Treasury Budget Apr( NA vs +$ 59.1B ) |
Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals
For the first four months the Dow is up 13.2% and the S&P 500 12%.
The top performers in April were Telecomm, + 6.9%, Biotech/ Pharmaceutical + 5.5%, Real estate + 5.4%, Utilities + 4.6%, Dividend Stocks + 3.2%.
All five sectors show a strong bias toward dividend paying and defensive type stocks. Apple became more of a conservative stock and actually gained 21.07 points from its March 31st close of 428.91 to 449.98 at the end of April.
The worst performer was Gold followed by Natural Resources. GLDX was the worst leveraged ETF fund in April down 28% for the month. For the year so far it is down a whopping 45.4%.
Market Strategies Cycles
The trade Balance surprised with a drop to -$38.8B, almost $ 5B better than expected, all of which is a positive addition to GDP numbers.
Payrolls exceeded expectations, increasing by 165,000 . That was 10,000 more than the 155,000 expected by the Briefing.com consensus. Revisions in March, to 138,000 from 88,000, and February, to 332,000 from 268,000, were strongly positive. It showed another 114,000 workers already in the workforce, missed in past reports. The unemployment rate ticked down to 7.5% in April from 7.6% in March. The consensus expected the unemployment rate to remain at 7.6%. However, the average workweek dropped from 34.6 to 34.4 hours, and the chart shows wages to be very weak.
Market Strategies Economic Data
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, has been ripping this year leading the major broad stock market averages to big gains in the first four months of the year and new all-time highs except for NASDAQ. Thanks to continued massive stock buyback programs and cost-cutting measures, many of the blue chips large caps that make up the DJIA and the S&P 500 have met or exceeded earnings projections for Q1 2013. Revenues have not been so robust.
Weakness in the middle of the week might be a buying opportunity because the Friday May 10th, before Mother’s Day the DJIA has gained ground eleven of the last eighteen years and on the Monday after the blue-chip average has risen in fourteen of those years.
Sell in May and go away has not worked in post-election years. Only 1981 and 2001 post-election years had down markets from May1st to Dec 1st. 2009, 2005, 1997, 1993, 1989, 1985 were all positive.
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1553 – 1557
Resistance S&P 500 1638 – 1644
Support Levels DOW 14,475 – 14,495
Resistance DOW 15,120 – 15,180
Support Levels QQQ 69.80 – 70.00
Resistance QQQ 74.40
Support Levels Nasdaq 3260
Resistance Nasdaq 3526
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND
THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY
MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES
Visit:
www.princetonresearch.com/investment-strategies.htm
To Lock In Your SPECIAL Low Subscription Rate
Rule 17 B Attestations:
Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe the three small penny stocks we represent for a total outlay of $ 9,725 is well worth the risk.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King (702) 650-3000
Or
Charles Moskowitz (781) 826-8882
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944
Visit: www.princetonresearch.com