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May 15, 2017

Report on Options Trade Alerts Subscription Service Performance

 

Options Trade Alerts Subscription Service

Charles Moskowitz Discussion

 

We have only 2 open positions in HL 6/6 calls and SJM 6/130 calls with a total of $900 of funds in use. Over the last several weeks I have mentioned that the VIX has continued to move lower to historic lows seen only 4 times in the last several decades and that with these low values the prices on “protection” has become remarkably cheap.  I also said that this has created an opportunity for us to trade short-dated SPY options that are close to or “at the money” since the premiums have become almost non-existent.  This week’s trades took advantage of this situation.  Of the 6 trades we made this week, 5 were short-dated SPY’s and one was a 50% down rule liquidation (AKAM).  These were very short-term (overnight or day-trade) and all were net gains.

Retail has clearly been decimated over the past several months and although it looks as if these stocks are getting cheap, I’m not so sure it’s over.  Macy’s (M) is down 18% this week and 48% since just before Xmas shopping season and it’s hard to argue how oversold it is, but while it may bounce here, the fundamental side of it looks more like a classic “value trap.”  All the talk about the value of its real estate is, in my opinion, a bogus argument.  The main point of contention for me is the shift away from mall shopping and how the value of a mall based piece of property can be used if not for another mall based business.  It’s not like they can sell off the properties and build luxury condos on the footprint of an anchor tenant.

 

The other area of interest for me is the metals.  Gold is down 6.2% from its recent highs near $1,300/oz. while silver (down 16 days in a row) is down a whopping 13% from its recent highs near $18.75.  Both went solidly through the lower Bollinger Bands (2 standard deviations below historic price movement) and were oversold, but the silver obviously much more.  We have a position in AGQ (3X ETF) but I will be looking for a place to add exposure to this trade with either more HL or the silver ETF SLV or USLV.  We have an order in tonight’s letter for the SLV and you’ll have to watch the texting service to get additional adds…CAM

 

  

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Investing Trade Alerts Summary

$10,000 Trading Account Trade Table

 

DATE	TRADES	PRICE	COST	PROCEEDS	RESULTS
05/12	Sold 10 SPY May 12th 238.50 Calls	0.19		190	40 Gain
05/12	Sold 10 SPY May 12th 239 Calls  ( 100% up Rule )	0.30		300	150 Gain
05/12	Bought 20 SPY May 12th 239 Calls	0.15	300
05/11	Sold 10 SPY May 12th $237 Puts	0.24		240	200 Gain
05/11	Bought 10 SPY May 12th $237 Puts	0.04	40
05/11	Sold 5 SPY May 12th $238.50 Puts	0.62		310	210 Gain
05/11	Sold 5 SPY May 12th $238.50 Puts  ( 100% up rule + Gap )	0.48		240	135 Gain
05/10	Bought 10 SPY May 12th $238.50 Puts	0.21
05/10	Sold 5 SPY May 12th $239 Puts	0.32		260	5  Loss
05/09	Sold 10 SPY May 10th $238.50 Puts expired worthless	0.19		190	190 Gain
05/09	Sold 5 SPY May 12th  $239 Puts	0.66		330	165 Gain
05/09	Bought 10 SPY May 12th $239 Puts	0.33	330
05/08	Sold 6 AKAM June $55 Calls	0.35		210	210 Loss
05/05	Bought 6 AKAM June $ 55 Calls	0.70	420
05/01	Bought 2 SJM June $ 170 Calls	1.70	340
05/01	Bought 2 SJM June $ 130 Calls	1.60	320
04/21	Bought 10 HL June 6th $ 6 Calls	0.24	240

                                                                                                                                                                

3rd Week expiration when the month is listed without a date

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the

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8% Loss on SPY Puts in 1 Day

100% Loss On VRX Calls in 30 Days

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105% Profits on XOM Calls in 3 Days

50% Loss on NUGT Calls in 10 Days

50% Loss on SJM Calls in 7 Days

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50% Loss on GLD Calls in 20 days

62% Profits on XOM Calls in 20 days

50% Loss on HL Calls in 2 Days

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50% Loss on SPY Puts in 2 Days

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