Market Strategies Newsletter
Where To Invest Now News Reports
Read the .pdf format December 9, 2013
Market Strategies Investing Newsletter
Balanced Investing Strategies Where To Invest Now Newsletter
December 9, 2013
Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To
Make Money In Up Or Down Markets
A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz
Market Strategies Stock Options Trading
$10,000 Account
There are four open positions:
CSCO Dec $24 Calls;
EMC Jan $23 Calls;
NBG Jan 2015, $7 Calls
WTW Dec $32.50 Calls
Funds in Use $ 2,362
Market Strategies Stock Options Trading
$10,000 Account Traders Comments
We had a loss this week of $633 on positions in XCO and FDO based on getting stopped out on 50% down rules prior to the strong rally that came with the “Goldilocks” good jobs number Friday morning.
Unfortunately for us, XCO, which is primarily a natural gas play didn’t participate since it is doing a rights offering and so it fell to just below $5, the strike price on the deal.
This brings our
YTD performance back down to $29,636
Returns of over 296%
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
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The move up breaks the market out of a well needed (but very short term) rest from this great rally we have had since early October. What I found to be very interesting is that Friday’s moves ignored many of the momentum stocks, including but not limited to social media.
Real bull markets feature rotation of groups and this really fills the bill on that issue.
Transports held the lows of early November even in the face of strong oil and the basic materials showed some recovery even though housing stocks were soft. While financials had some negative news about further cash settlements, this lynchpin industry looks technically ready to resume its participation.
There only one new position tonight, but I will be watching for continued strength to add trades as the opportunities arise
…CAM
Market Strategies Stock Options Trading Chart
$10,000 Account
New Trades
Buy 4 Jan 18th, 2014 TBT 79 Calls @ 2.05 OB ( or better )
DATE |
TRADES |
PRICE | COST | PROCEEDS | RESULTS |
12/06 |
This Information Is For Members Only |
1.23 |
|
738 |
192 Gain |
12/06 |
1.32 |
792 |
|
|
|
12/06 |
0.17 |
|
255 |
$ 525 Loss |
|
12/05 |
0.91 |
546 |
|
|
|
12/03 |
0.60 |
|
240 |
$ 300 Loss |
|
11/25 |
0.90 |
|
|
|
|
11/22 |
0.52 |
780 |
|
|
|
11/18 |
1.35 |
540 |
|
|
|
11/11 |
0.58 |
1160 |
|
|
|
10/18 |
0.45 |
450 |
|
|
Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
Subscriber Members Only
TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.
Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
Dow 16,020.20 -66.21 -0.41% |
Nasdaq 4062.52 +2.63 +0.06% |
S&P 500 1805.09 -0.72 -0.04% |
Transportation 7200.41 -0.49% |
Russell 2000 1131.38 -11.51 -1.01% |
Nasdaq 100 3504.26 16.44 +0.47% |
Gold (spot) 1230.30 -20.30 -1.6% |
Silver (Dec ) 1952.3 -51.0 -2.6% |
Crude 97.65 +4.93 +5.3% |
Heating Oil 305.65 2.57 +0.8% |
Unleaded Gas 2.7269 +0.0641 +2.4% |
Natural Gas 4.114 +.16 +4.0% |
VIX 13.79 +0.09 +0.7% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 113/100’s +29/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 55/100’s 1/100’s
|
Bonds 128-29 -1-27 3.917% +0.21% |
10 Yr Note 124-07 -1-05 2.88% +0.13
|
Copper 324.85 +4.35 +1.4% |
CRB Inflation Index 278.66 +3.69 -1.3% |
Barron’s Confidence 73.3% +0.6% |
S&P100 805.75 -0.61 -0.08% |
5 Yr Note 120-067 -227 1.505% +0.16 |
Dollar 80.26 -0.42 -0.05% |
DJ Utilities 490.29 +3.16 +0.65% |
AAII Confidence Index |
Bullish 42.6% -4.7% |
Bearish 27.6% -0.7% |
Neutral 29.8 +5.4% |
M1 Money Supply +10.69% November 25th |
M-2 Money Supply +6.53% November 25th |
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
New Stock Recommendations
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.
Stock | Purchase Price | Purchase Date | Stop/Loss | Price/Date Sold | Profit/(Loss) | |||
This Information Is For Members Only |
12.14 |
11/20 |
12.71sco |
sco= stop close only |
|
|||
2.55 |
11/18 |
2.51sco |
|
|
||||
1.58 |
11/04 |
1.18X |
X= stop |
|
||||
15.40 |
9/19 |
15.42sco |
|
|
||||
16.20 |
9/13 |
|
$ 17.32 12/03 |
$ 224.00 |
||||
14.41 |
8/28 |
15.42sco |
|
|
||||
13.37 |
8/23 |
15.42sco |
|
|
||||
19.52 |
8/19 |
|
|
|
||||
15.05 |
8/19 |
|
|
|
||||
4.08 |
8/12 |
|
|
|
||||
6.56 |
7/11 |
|
|
|
||||
12.10 |
5/23 |
|
|
|
||||
20.35 |
5/09 |
|
|
|
||||
22.20 |
4/22 |
|
|
|
||||
4.10 |
3/04 |
2.64sco |
|
|
||||
48.60 |
11/26/12 |
|
|
|
||||
538 |
11/08/12 |
|
|
|
||||
636 |
10/9/12 |
|
|
|
||||
.25 |
3/12/12 |
.08 sco |
|
|
||||
0.22 |
10/22/12 |
.12 sco |
|
|
||||
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscribers Members Area.
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
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THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY
MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES
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To Lock In Your SPECIAL Low Subscription Rate
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Recommendations And Overall Comments
New Trades:
1) Buy 8 Jan 18th TBT 79 Calls @ 2.05
We lost $ 1266 in closed out positions last week
decreasing our profits for the year to a hypothetical $ 60,537
Returns of Over 60%
not counting open positions losses of about $ 11,146.
We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple and JP Morgan.
We have four long options positions:
The Stock table has the following 20 positions:
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000
and are using $ 4,724 in four options positions and
$ 75,344 in 20 stock positions
totaling $ 80,098 with
$ 19,902 in cash.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the Market Strategies
$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
- When the option has doubled sell half the position
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
Option |
COST |
Date |
Sold |
Date |
Profit/(Loss) |
This Information Is For Members Only |
Calls 1.32 |
12/06/13 |
|
|
|
Calls 0.91 |
12/ 05/13 |
1.23 |
12/06/13 |
$ 384 |
|
Calls 0.90 |
11/25/13 |
|
|
|
|
Puts 5.20 |
11/25/13 |
2.30 |
11/29/13 |
( $ 1160 ) |
|
Calls 0.52 |
11/22/13 |
0.17 |
12/06/13 |
( $ 1050 ) |
|
Calls 1.35 |
11/18/13 |
0.60 |
12/03/13 |
( $ 600 ) |
|
Calls 0.58 |
11/11/13 |
|
|
|
|
Calls 0.45 |
10/18/13 |
|
|
|
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
This Weeks’ Market Strategies
Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday | NO Major Economic Reports
James Bullard of the St Louis Fed will discuss U.S. monetary policy and the economy. |
Tuesday | 10:00 hrs Wholesale Inventories Oct ( 0.3% vs 0.4% )
10:00 hrs JOLTS Job Openings Oct ( NA vs 3.913Mln ) |
Wednesday | 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 12/07 ( NA vs -12.8% )
10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 12/07 ( NA vs -5.585Mln Bbls ) 14:00 hrs Treasury Budget Nov ( NA vs -$172.1B ) |
Thursday | KB Homes ( 0.47 vs 0.10 ) Worthington ( 0.54 vs 0.45 )
08:30 hrs Initial Unemployment Claims 12/07 ( 315K vs 298K ) Continuing Claims 11/30 ( 2750K vs 2744K ) 08:30 hrs Retail Sales Nov ( 0.6% vs 0.4% ) Ex-Auto ( 0.3% vs 0.2% ) 08:30 hrs Export Prices Ex – Oil ( NA vs -0.0% ) Import Prices Ex- Ag ( NA vs -0.4% ) 10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 12/07 ( No Estimates ) |
Friday | Blackberry ( BBRY -0.42 ) NiKE ( NKE 0.58 vs 1.14 ) and Walgreens ( .73 vs 0.58 ) Report earnings before the opening
08:30 hrs PPI Nov ( -0.1% vs -0.2% ) CORE PPI ( 0.1% vs 0.2% )
|
Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals
The very strong employment report wasn’t enough to reverse a sharply lower Dow and S&P to remain lower for the first week out of nine. The Transportation and Russell Indexes also suffered small losses while the technology loaded Nasdaq made a new weekly high at 4,069.86 slightly higher than the previous week’s high of 4,069.70 but closed at 4,062.52 vs 4,059.89 the previous week, a new yearly high. The all-time high was 4,698.46, Feb 29th 2000.
Last week, Utilities were the best Dow performer up a modest 0.86% while the worst was Consumer Services, off 0.96%. technology was up 0.83%; Consumer Goods gained a smallish 0.38%. Telecommunications fell 0.88%. The remaining five groups Oil and Gas, Basic Materials, Financials, Industrials and Health Care were relatively unchanged.
Health Care is the number one sector this year up 38%. Nearly 40,000 Americans turn 65 every week. Health care was basically unchanged last week but should close strong going into the new year.
Market Strategies Economic Data
The Institute of Supply Management Report increased to 57.3 in November from 56.4 in October, the best reading since April 2011. Exports are up, imports modest to down while costs have been modest to lower igniting the best profit opportunities in years. Production levels accelerated as the rekated index increased to 62.8 in November from 60.8 in October. New Orders skyrocketed 3.0 points to 63.6. Baclogs remain at elevated levels increasing to 54.0 from 51.5 in October. The Employment Index increased to 56.5 in November from 53.2 in October.
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1778
Resistance S&P 500 1821
Support Levels DOW 15,764
Resistance DOW 16,194
Support Levels QQQ 84.36
Resistance QQQ 86.85
Support Levels Nasdaq 3964
Resistance Nasdaq 4097
Market Strategies Cycles
Tax loss selling is a major factor for December trading which often causes stocks to be weaker the first half of the month. Last Monday’s DJIA decline triggered the seventh Down Friday/Down Monday (DF/DM) warning of 2013. Since 2000, DJIA has registered 149 DF/DM occurrences, in all but three occasions; DJIA was lower sometime in the next 90 calendar days. Declines have begun immediately in some cases and later in others. Declines have been greatest during bear markets while being milder in bull markets. Fed QE has also mitigated declines this year.
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND
THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY
MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES
Visit:
PrincetonResearch.com/investment-strategies.htm
To Lock In Your SPECIAL Low Subscription Rate
Disclaimer – Rule 17 B Attestations
Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe the two small penny stocks ( REPR and AIVN ) we represent for a total outlay of $ 4,725 is well worth the risk. The Target ADR trades at about $ 5.90 in U.S. vs 0.065 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King (702) 650-3000
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944