Market Investing Strategies For High Returns February 17, 2014 Newsletter

February 17, 2014

High Return Investments

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue

Market Investing Strategies

For High Returns

Options Trading Investing Strategies

For Free High Return Investments Trade Alerts

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Covering High Return

Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

To Read The Market Strategies

Newsletter in .pdf format — CLICK HERE

 Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$10,000 Trading Account

Traders Comments

There are 2 open positions

AIG Mar 49 Calls

PM March 80 Calls

Funds in Use $ 1,118

In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479

Over 284% Returns

A $10,000 Portfolio

would be worth $38,479

The last 3 years our gains have gotten progressively greater year over year.

 284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013

171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012

77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)

 

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We had a profit of $582 this week erasing part of the YTD loss.

We now stand at ($2029)

The turnaround in stocks has been nothing less than amazing.  We turned on a dime and are now within $10 of the high close for the S&P 500. Using the backdrop of an 8 day $100 move it the S&P it is easy to see how we went from oversold to overbought.  Support should be evident between 1795-1810 if we get the normal and expectable pullback.

There are still problems in the world, with no shortage within our borders.  While we worry about currencies the price of gold has exploded from under $1200 to close at $1,318.  Rallies in gold are not usually based on positive developments.

As I’ve said in this space in the past, when we have sharp one way moves and go vertical, I need some horizontal movement to define risk.  As mentioned above any move back toward 1800 or even some sideways consolidation would help me with reasonable risk parameters…….CAM

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Market Strategies High Return Investments

$10,000 Trading Account

Trade Table

New Trades:

Buy 8 GRPN March 11 Calls @ $ 0.68 (or better)

Buy 10 LUV March $ 22 Calls @ $ 0.35

DATE

TRADES

PRICE

COST

PROCEEDS

RESULTS

02/14

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Free Trade Alerts

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$1.16

464

02/14

1.09

654

02/12

      1.32

792

234 Gain

02/12

      1.97

788

308 Gain

02/12

      0.83

664

40 Gain

02/10

      0.93

558

02/07

      1.20

480

01/28

      0.78

624

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

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Market Strategies

High Return Investments

Market Laboratory

Weekly Changes For Market Indicators

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

Dow

16,154.39

+360.31

 +2.28%

Nasdaq

4244.03

+118.16

 +2.86%

S&P 500

1838.63

+41.61

 +2.32%

Transportation

7306.69

+64.36

+0.89%

Russell 2000

1149.21

+32.66

       +2.92%

Nasdaq 100

3663.88

+101.97

+2.86%

Gold (spot)

1319.0

+55.70

           +4.4%

Silver (Dec )

  2142.1

+148.5

  +7.5%

Crude

  100.30

 +0.42

  +0.4%

Heating Oil

307.82

+2.79

+0.9%

Unleaded Gas

  2.8053

+0.0564

+2.1%

Natural Gas

  5.214

-0.439

 -3.4%

VIX

 13.57

 -1.72

   -11.3%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

103/100’s

-27/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

 60/100’s

 -1/100’s

Bonds

132-29  -13

3.70% +0.03%

10 Yr Note

125-204 -106

2.75%

+0.08%

Copper

326.45

+2.85

  +9.2%

CRB Inflation

Index

 293.24

+3.47

  +1.2%

Barron’s Confidence

 71.9%

-0.01%

S&P100

812.57

+17.28

 +2.17%

5 Yr Note

120-207 -085

      1.52%+0.06%

Dollar

80.15

-0.52

 -0.7%

DJ Utilities

519.51

+15.66

+3.11%

AAII

Confidence

Index

Bullish

  40.2%

+12.3%

Bearish

 27.3%

-9.1%

Neutral

  32.5%

 -3.2%

M1 Money  Supply

+12.17%

February 3rd

M-2 Money

Supply

+6.11%

February 3rd

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits

M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

 

New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

Stock

Purchase Price

Purchase Date

Stop/Loss

Price/Date Sold

Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Free Trade Alerts

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61.48

     02/12

61.29 02/13

( $ 19 )

65.06

     02/10

64.39 02/10

( $ 67 )

12.52

     02/07

80.52

     02/05

86.64 02/07

$ 428

15.37

     01/29

10.40

     01/28

11.79

     01/28

15.37

     01/16

10.06

     01/10

7.85

12/30

0.78

12/30

16.22

12/23

32.64

12/23

4.31

12/23

4.08

8/12

6.56

7/11

12.10

5/23

4.10

3/04

2.64sco

538

11/08/12

636

10/9/12

0.22

10/22/12

.12 sco

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscriber Members Area.


For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

We had two closed out stock positions last week losing a total of $ 86.

The SPXU’s ( a negative ETF ) were bought for balance.

Our losses for the new year were reduced to $ 5,677.

For the full year 2013 we had realized gains of $ 53,556.

We have open position losses of about $ 6,022 most of which are held over from last year.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American ( NAT ) and JP Morgan.

We have two long options positions:

The Stock table has the following 18 positions

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000

and are using $ 2,236 in two options positions and

$ 77,583 in 18 stock positions

totaling $ 79,819 with
$ 20,181 in cash.

 

These figures are approximate.

We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

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Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out.
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

Option

Cost

Date

Sold

Date

Profit/

(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Free Trade Alerts

CLICK HERE

Calls        1.09

02/14/14

Calls        1.16

02/14/14

Calls        0.93

02/10/14

1.32

02/12/14

$ 468

Calls        1.20

02/07/14

1.97

02/12/14

$ 616

Calls        0.78

01/28/14

0.83

02/12/14

$ 80

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

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This Weeks’ Market Strategies

High Return Investments

Economic Numbers and Media Data

Monday President’s Day U.S. Markets Closed

 

Tuesday Diana Shipping ( DSX -0.06 )

DUK ( 0.95 vs 0.70 )

KO ( .46 vs .45 )

Medtronic ( MDT 0.91 vs 0.93 )

 

08:30 hrs Empire Manufacturing Feb ( 7.5 vs 12.5 )

 

09:00 hrs TIC Flows Net Long-Term Dec

( NA vs -$29.3Bln)

 

10:00 hrs NAHB Feb ( 56 vs 56 )

 

CF ( 4.49 vs 7.40 )

PNRA ( 1.94 vs 1.75 )

SM (1.43 vs 0.45 )

 

Wednesday Carlyle CG ( 0.89 vs 0.47 )

Garmin GRMN ( .62 vs .68 )

DVN ( 1.08 vs 0.78 )

Hecla ( 00 vs 0.04 )

Spirit Air SAVE  0.50 vs 0.27

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 02/08 ( NA vs -2.0% )

 

08:30 hrs Housing Starts Jan ( 964K vs 999K )

Building Permits ( 980K vs 966K )

 

08:30 hrs PPI Jan ( 0.2% vs 0.4% )

CORE PPI ( 0.1% vs 0.3% )

 

14:00 hrs FOMC Minutes 1/29

 

Avis CAR ( 0.12 vs -0.07 )

DENN ( 0.08 vs 0.07 )

GDP -0.48

 

Thursday CWEI ( 0.87 vs 0.14 )

Denbury Resources( 0.32 vs 0.36 )

NuSkin( NUS 1.97 vs 0.97 )

WMT ( 1.59 vs 1.67 )

Walter Energy ( WLT -0.79 vs -1.13 )

 

08:30 hrs Initial Claims 02/15 ( 335K vs 339K )

Continuing Claims 02/08 ( 2973K vs 2953K

 

08:30 hrs CPI Jan ( 0.1% vs 0.3% )

 

08:30 hrs CORE CPI ( 0.1% vs 0.1% )

 

10:00 hrs Philadelphia Fed Feb ( 7.4 vs 9.4 )

 

10:00 hrs Leading Economic Indicators Jan

( 0.4% vs 0.1% )

 

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 02/15

( NA vs -237bcf )

 

11:00 hrs Crude Inventories 02/15

( NA vs 3.267 mln bbls )

 

ED ( .66 vs .69 )

HPQ ( 84 vs 82 )

WBMD ( 0.38 vs -0.12 )

 

Friday LNG ( -0.36 vs -0.19 )

DISH .41 vs.46

STRA ( 0.98 vs 1.47 )

 

10:00 hrs Existing Home Sales Jan

( 4.70M vs 4.87M )

 

Agilent ( 0.66 vs 0.63 )

Health Mgmt ( HMA 0.25 vs 0.12 )

 

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

Retail Sales plummeted 0.4% in January following a downwardly revised 0.1% from 0.2% in December. The report was discouraging mostly due to the lack of auto sales. Sales excluding autos were unchanged following a downwardly revised December to 0.3% from 0.7%. The report was discouraging and due to extreme weather conditions. Core Sales, which exclude motor vehicle dealers, gasoline stations, building materials and supply stores, fell 0.3% in January following a huge downward revision to December ( 0.1% from 0.7% ). This was the first decline in Core Sales since February 2013.

 

Market Strategies

Trading Fundamentals

As economic output grows, the quantity of money supporting that output must also grow. As money is created to finance expansion, then there is also more debt, and that’s what happened as commercial banks created money by extending loans. As credit creation outpaced loan paybacks and defaults, the amount of deposits in the banking system increased, and reserves had to be expanded to back these deposits. The growth in the monetary base seen below (up until 2008) represents the Fed slowly adding reserves to the system to back the commercial bank money that was being created as our economy expanded.

The game changed in 2008 when the US economy was introduced to quantitative easing.

This venture into uncharted territory has become one of the largest financial experiments in modern time, and only history will be able to judge the value of this policy.

Up until the point that QE was introduced, there were never any excess reserves in the system, yet if you notice, the monetary base kept slowly increasing. Why is that? During this period, as the population and the economy continued to grow, the quantity of money needed to support the growth in goods and services also had to grow.
In principle, QE operates in similar fashion to normal open-market operations which have been with us for nearly a century. The major difference is the size of the bond purchases, and the types of bonds.

 

Market Strategies Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1818

Resistance S&P 500           1853

 

Support Levels DOW          16,080

Resistance DOW                16,440

 

Support Levels QQQ           86.86                  

Resistance QQQ                  90.700

                  

Support Levels NASDAQ      4084

Resistance NASDAQ             4297

    

Market Strategies Cycles

The Cloud is already a major component of Microsoft server products and tools with Azure playing an important role in the growth of Microsoft’s enterprise suite of products. This is a growth area in Microsoft adding $1 billion in revenue in each of 2012 and 2013. By 2015 it should be $20 billion business with margins of $18 to $19 billion. The cloud will go well with Office. For those retail investors who have heard of the Cloud, most are aware in a very limited way but do see the value in applications like Dropbox, SkyDrive, iCloud, GoogleDrive or Amazon Cloud Drive which many now use having typically been introduced with the latest smartphone or tablet or on every Windows 8 desktop. Satya Nadella, the newly elected president ran Microsoft’s Cloud and Enterprise Group of businesses which included 12 businesses with revenues over $1 billion that play a key role in the information technology used by thousands of businesses.

 

Cisco Systems forecasts that data storage on those Cloud services will grow at a staggering 63% annually through 2017. MSFT ( $ 37.62 ) has great support at $ 36.85 and should easily take out $ 38 on a rally sometime before mid-March.                                   

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only! 

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Stock Options Investing Strategies

Disclaimer – Rule 17 B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.045 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s. Princeton is paid about 500,000 shares of Leo Motors.

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King

 mike@princetonresearch.com

(702) 650 3000

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

 Fax: (702) 697-8944

 

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High Return Investments

 Market Investing Strategies

For High Returns