Options Trading Strategies
Where To Invest Now
Market Strategies Newsletter
Covering High Return Balanced Investing Success Strategies For
Stocks ■ Bonds ■ Interest Rates ■ Natural Resources ■ Currencies ■ Venture Capital ■ Gold
A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Bill Chippas, Charles Moskowitz
July 2, 2012 Market Strategies Newsletter
Where To Invest Now, Stocks To Buy And
Options Trading Strategies
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Options Trading Strategies
$10,000 Options Trading Portfolio
The $10,000 Options Only account had a Gain last week of $1,110
increasing our gains for the year from $4,658 to $5,768.
The $10,000 Where to Invest Portfolio has produced a
Year To Date Gain Of 57%.
This is in a market (S&P 500) that is up only 8% for the year.
Currently Approximately only $1577 funds are in use.
A full $10,000 trading portfolio is not necessary since
only portions of the portfolio are used for each trade.
The Market Strategies Newsletter features our
balanced investing options trading strategies.
We enable our trade alert and newsletter subscribers to
avoid extreme moves in either direction.
We can produce high returns in up or down markets.
Go To www.PrincetonResearch.com To Subscribe
Traders Commentary:
We were in the SPY puts for the Supreme Court announcement, but when there was no follow-thru on Thursday, we sold them for a small profit. However, we were protected on the downside. The overnight headlines that have driven this market are still here. For this reason we have only small positions at weeks end. The only reliable action from the Eurozone to date is that they have not been reliable in following through on promises so I’m still a cynic on their performance. Even if they do, in fact make real headway it will still take time to implement. Iran, Syria, and the China slowdown are all still out there and weekends, and a very short week coming up are all reasons for caution….CAM
Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
Dow 12880.09 +239.31 +1.89% |
Nasdaq 2935.05 +42.63 +1.47% |
S&P 500 1362.16 +27.14 +2.03% |
Transportation 5209.18 +125.96 +2.48% |
Russell 2000 798.49 +23.33 +3.01% |
Nasdaq 100 2615.72 +30.19 +1.17% |
Gold 1604.20 +37.30 +2.4% |
Silver 2761.2 +88.8 +3.3% |
Crude 84.96 +5.20 +6.5% |
Heating Oil 270.99 +17.79 +7.0% |
Unleaded Gas 2.6318 +.1642 +6.7% |
Natural Gas 2.824 |
VIX 17.08 -1.03 -5.9% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 117/100’s -95/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 72/100’s +8/100’s
|
Bonds 147-31 -0-04 2.76% +0.00% |
10 Yr Note 133-12 +0-12 1.66% -0.01% |
Copper 349.65 +18.15 +5.5% |
CRB Inflation Index 284.19 +16.22 +6.1% |
Barron’s Confidence 67.1.% -0.5% |
S&P100 623.82 +12.09 +1.98% |
5 Yr Note 123-31 +0-63 0.73% -0.02% |
Dollar 81.75 -0.69 -0.84% |
DJ Utilities 481.36 +9.30 +1.97% |
AAII Confidence Index |
||
Bullish 28.7 -4.2% |
Bearish 44.3% +8.4% |
Neutral 27.0% -4.2 % |
M1 Money Supply +15.0%June18th |
M-2 Money Supply +9.27%June18th |
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2 adds Savings and Money market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
New Stock Recommendations
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INDEX OPTION RECOMMENDATIONS
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, SDS and RWM, whichgo up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.
New Stock Option Recommendations
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Option and Overall Comments
The $100,000 Portfolio Trading Account had a Gain last week of $3,714.
This increases our gains for the year from $15,263.85 to $18,977.85
The $100,000 Where to Invest Portfolio Trading Account has
produced a Year To Date Gain Of 18.97%.
This is in a market (S&P 500) that is up only 8% for the year.
The Market Strategies Newsletter features our balanced investing
stock and options trading strategies.
We enable our trade alert and newsletter subscribers to
avoid extreme moves in either direction.
We can produce high returns in up or down markets.
Go To www.PrincetonResearch.com To Subscribe
We have Two long options position remaining.
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise started, while each stock position requires $ 5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000.00 and are using $1984 in the options position and $ 81,294 in the 15 long stock positions for a total of $ 83,278 with $ 16,722 in cash.
These figures are approximate.
We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Previous Week’s Recommendations
and Rules for the $100,000 account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated.
- When the option has doubled sell half the position.
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade.
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
- Call 702 650-3000 for up to date information.
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This Weeks’ Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday | Investors will assess the domestic and overseas weekend comments and events. 10:00 hrs ISM Index Jun ( 52.2 vs 53.5 ) 10:00 hrs Construction Spending May ( 0.2% vs 0.3% ) |
Tuesday | 10:00 hrs Factory Orders May ( 0.4% vs -0.6% )
14:00 hrs Auto Sales Jun ( NA vs 4.7M ) |
Wednesday | Independence Day Holiday US Markets Closed |
Thursday | 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 06/30 ( NA vs -7.1% )
07:30 hrs Challenger Job Cuts Jun ( NA vs 66.7% ) |
Friday | 08:30 hrs Nonfarm Payrolls Jun ( 100K vs 69K ) 08:30 hrs Nonfarm Private Payrolls Jun ( 105K vs 82K ) 08:30 hrs Unemployment Rate Jun ( 8.2% vs 8.2% ) 08:30 hrs Hourly Earnings Jun ( 0.2% vs 0.1% ) 08:30 hrs Average Workweek Jun ( 34.4 vs 34.4 ) |
Fundamentals
A minor miracle has occurred. Germany has signaled that it may be willing to do what it takes to save the euro.
In negotiations that lasted through last Thursday night, German Chancellor agreed to allow Europe’s permanent bailout fund — the European Stability Mechanism — to provide capital directly to troubled banks anywhere in the euro area. The growth package is worth at least 120 billion euros with the door open for more contingencies. The dollar collapsed falling from 83 to 81.50 from Thursday late to Friday’s close. Angela Merkel surprised everyone and caught the market very short. They are still too short. The Greenback 50-day m.a. will be tested at 81.25.
If the deal sticks, Germany and the other governments of the currency union will accept joint liability for rescuing one another’s banks — an option that, on the eve of the meeting, Merkel had vowed not to consider. In return, as part of a broader banking union, governments will cede to European authorities, probably including the European Central Bank, the power to oversee, punish and dismantle banks. The agreement also eases austerity measures and allows for direct bond purchases to reduce the borrowing costs of struggling governments, including Spain and Italy. This is much better for the euro nations than the creation of a bond.
The rally caused the Dow to recover 487 points of the 886 lost in May, about 55%. Transports catapulted the way up 144 pts or 2.48% to 5182.75, reversing serious losses, which when considering Thursday’s low of 4967, made a complete turn-around leaving both the 200 day moving average, the 50 day m.a. as well as the bears in its wake. The Transports are just 100 points shy of the May highs which could be easily taken out.
All ten Dow Industrial Groups were higher led by Oil and Gas, up 4.99%.
Industrials gained 2.68% and Basic Materials 2.68%.
Financials followed suit plus 2.15%;
Utilities gained 1.92%;
Health Care 1.74%;
Consumer Services 1.70%;
Consumer Goods 1.56%;
Telecommunications 1.39% and
Technology 1.02%.
The CRB Commodity Index rallies 4.6% for its best single-session gain in three years. Crude was one of the main primary drivers after making a new intra-day low at $ 77.28 to close the week at $ 84.96.
Economic Data
Pending Home Sales were unbelievable increasing 5.5%, a huge and welcome surprise to the beleaguered housing industry which of late is showing signs of life.
Durable Goods scored an increase of 1.1% for May much better that expectations of 0.5% gain and the previous month decline of 0.2%. Initial Unemployment Claims at 386K were an improvement, 6,000 less than last week. Personal Income for May rose 0.2% the same as in April while Core pricing was exactly the same increasing 0.1%.
May Personal Income increased 0.2% a little better than the 0.1% consensus and the June PCE reading of +0.1% was exactly in line with expectations and last month. The Chicago PMI Report at 52.9 was near the consensus of 53.0. but the market was relieved that it was no lower and stocks galloped ahead.
Technical Information
Support Levels:
S&P 500 1346; 1322
Resistance S&P 500 1383; 1415
DOW 12,740; 12,680
Resistance DOW 13,040; 13,100
QQQ 6350; 6270
Resistance QQQ 6483; 6591
Nasdaq 2883; 2829
Resistance Nasdaq 2972; 3036
CYCLES
Cycles suggest a steady to firm market early in the week, a mid-week high and a soft to weak end of week.
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Rule 17B requires disclosure of payment for investor relations*
Princeton Research has received about $ 2,500 per month from Lucas ( LEI ) marked with an asterisk. Princeton has been paid for investor relations in the past and has negotiated a contract to be paid 100,000 restricted shares from Leo Motors ( LEOM ). In addition Princeton has bought shares. Cross Border paid us 25,000 restricted shares several months ago. We do not currently represent Cross Border but we like the company. We own about 3,000 shares. Princeton has 2,281,578 shares of AIVN.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944
Visit: www.princetonresearch.com
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