Investing Strategies

July 15, 2013

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue

Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

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$10,000 Trading Account

There are five long open positions:

Funds in use $ 3,740

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Traders Comments

 

We had a small gain of $70 this week

bringing YTD gains to $19,348

 

Over 193% Returns

 

The markets went ballistic with the Fed chairman’s clarification that “taper” is not a dirty word and that we are well away from fed-induced rate hikes.

Market indexes made new closing highs with the SP-500 closing in on its intraday high of 1687.

The Nasdaq has a long way to go, but also acts very well.  One of the contrary indicators that causes me some concern is the Bullish/Bearish consensus.  Bulls, as listed in the statistics below, are now 49.8% … a high but not necessary extreme condition — Just something to be aware of, since overbought is a “relative” statistic and markets can go higher while overbought.

The Fed and the markets are starting to disengage.  Earnings are driving stock prices higher.  Personally, I’m not convinced that the quality is great (you can’t cut jobs to create bottom line forever) until top line grows.  But the market is the best predictor of future growth and asset values, so I won’t fight the tape.

Options Trade Alerts Conference Call

Our Wednesday morning “open conference call” continues to gain traction. Participation is growing weekly and if it continues we will be adding a Friday afternoon call.

Remember that the call-in is free and the numbers are:

712-432-0075 with the pin

# 614426.

 There is a replay at 712-432-1085 using the same pin……….CAM

 

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Economic Data

Consumer Credit increased by $ 19.6 Billion in May, after gaining $ 10.9 Billion in April, which was the largest monthly increase since May 2012. Revolving credit increased by $ 6.6 Billion in May. Non-revolving increased by $ 13.0 Bln to 1,982 Bln. Credit is on a solid expansionary track.

The producer price Index rose 0.8% in June mostly due to seasonal adjustments, the largest jump in prices since September 2012 and will be higher in July as a result of the increase in energy prices. CORE pricing remains muted increasing 0.1% in June indicating inflation pressures remained mild.

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Trading Fundamentals

Both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo beat estimates kicking off bank earnings season. Financials as a group rose 2.54%. Utilities gained the most up 4.50%. Consumer Services added 3.62%; Health Care 3.56%; Consumer Goods 3.28% and Basic Materials 3.17%. Industrials rose 2.90% and Technology 2.75%. Oil and Gas rose by 2.46%. telecommunications was up the least, 0.26%.

 

Basic Material stocks finally made a recovery. The Fab Five, none of which are American: Posco ( PKX: $ 69.14 ) + 5.12 or 8%. BHP Billiton ( BHP: $ 60.68 ) added  $ 4.36 or 7.7%. Rio Tinto ( RIO: $ 42.16 ) + 2.26 or 5.7%. Cliff Natural Res ( CLF: $ 16.86 ) + 1.18 or 7.3%; Vale ( VALE: $ 13.29 ) + 0.66 or 5.2%.

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Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1635

Resistance S&P 500           1684-1695

 

Support Levels DOW          15,110

Resistance DOW                 15,495 – 15,545

 

Support Levels QQQ           73.20                  

Resistance QQQ                  75.95

                  

Support Levels Nasdaq      3389

Resistance Nasdaq             3655

 

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Market Strategies Cycles

According to the Stock trader’s Almanac, the Monday before July options expiration has been up 7 of the last 9 years.

For the week as a whole, Corporate earnings will continue in earnest with most expectations having been already lowered. Rallies are expected to continue, but very modestly as gains will be muted by the reality of the past and present low top line including very modest earnings performance.

Since 1953, DJIA and S&P 500 have both averaged full-month July gains of 2% in post-election years. In 15 years, DJIA has declined just three times in July while S&P 500 has fallen six times. With just nine of twenty-two trading days complete this July, DJIA and S&P 500 have already eclipsed the average gains of the past 15 post-election year Julys.

Whether or not these gains will expand or evaporate will depend heavily on how well corporate earnings were in the second quarter which is something we will know soon now that earnings season has officially begun.

Gold begins a seasonal rally which tends to last through October. Phil Baker, CEO of Hecla, will be our guest on the Money Info Show Tuesday morning at 10AM Eastern Time.

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

 

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MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Investing Strategies