February 3, 2014

Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies Newsletter

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Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies

$10,000 Account Traders Comments

There are five open positions:

 

AA February 11 Calls

CLDX Feb 28^th Calls

HD Feb 80 Calls

GRPN March 11 Calls

RPT February 15 Calls

 

Funds in Use $ 2,907

 

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Since I turned positive on the market 5 months ago the Options Only account hasn’t made the progress that it did during the 2 years that I was fairly negative about the fundamentals of

Debt ceiling, Fiscal Cliff, a do nothing administration and legislators, and assorted other issues.

 

During that period stock selection was the issue and the results were excellent.  It now seems like

I need to get back to that mindset.  In my opinion the market is acting 180 degrees opposite its

past 2 years.  We are not “melting up” with lower opens and intermediate tests of support.

 

We have broken down in the S&P500 from a new high and rallied back into what is possibly a

double top and then broken $80 from 1850 to 1770.  My 25 day MA has turned lower and the

200 day is still $90 lower with only nominal support at 1750 and 1720.

 

I’m not ready to abandon hope just yet, but these developments bear watching.  We have

positions that have fared much better than the market during this very tough week. But clearly

stock selection and risk management remain the order of the day.

 

We added a position in HD 2/80 calls and funds in use is $2,907.

 

New trades will be texted.

…CAM

 

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Where To Invest Now Market Strategies

$10,000 Account Trades

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the Subscribers Members Area.

 

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Where To Invest Now

Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits

M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only! 

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Where To Invest Now

New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscriber Members Area.

For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out trades can be seen in each preceding Newsletter issue.

 

We had four closed out stock positions last week.

Our losses for the new year were increased to $ 4,885.

 

For the full year 2013

we had realized gains of $ 53,556.

 

We have open position losses of about $ 6,498 most of which are held over from last year.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American ( NAT ) and JP Morgan.

We have five long options positions:

The Stock table has the following 15 positions:

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated. Each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

We are basing money management on a hypothetical

$ 100,000 and are using

$ 5,454 in five options positions and

$ 67,792 in 15 stock positions

totaling $ 73,246 with
$ 26,754 in cash.

 

These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

 

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Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for theWhere To Invest Now

Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

• All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated

• When the option has doubled sell half the position

• Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade

• The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)

• The options will be followed until closed out.

• Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscriber Members Area.

 

This Weeks’ Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

See this table in the Market Strategies Newsletter in .pdf format

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Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies Economic Data

Even with the worst weather conditions imaginable, Consumer Confidence continued to surge.

The numbers accumulated by the Conference Board in NY showed an increase to 80.7, up from 77.5 in December. The Present Situation Index increased to 79.1 from 75.3 while the Expectations Index gained to 81.8 from 79.0.

 

Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals

Alcoa ( AA: $ 11.44 ) has and remains an undervalued global innovator in lightweight metals, products and solutions so valuable in moving vehicles especially aircraft. With auto and truck sales booming as well as aircraft sales, AA should be in the limelight and a worthwhile fundamental play. Alcoa reached a high on April 12, 2011 at $ 18.06 and should be heading there now. The shares were beaten down for all of 2012 and 2013 and should also be considered a “January Effect ” type trade.  Many new lightweight aluminum aircraft products can be found on Alcoa’s web site. We remain committed to the long side in both options and shares.

 

Terrible weather and fears of the taper helped add to volatility and make it more difficult for retailers.

Consumer Goods was the worst of all Dow Industry Groups falling 1.47%;

Oil and Gas stocks also fared poorly and the second worst sector  off 1.41%.

Consumer Services lost 0.61%;

Technology fell 0.57% influenced by Apple ( AAPL: $ 500.15 ) losing $ 45.92 or 8.4%.

Utilities were a huge winner gaining 2.68%.

Health Care added 0.52% and

Basic Materials 0.35%.

 

Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1765 – 1744

Resistance S&P 500           1797 – 1812

 

Support Levels DOW          15,620

Resistance DOW                 15,984

 

Support Levels QQQ           84.86 – 84.05                  

Resistance QQQ                  87.20

                  

Support Levels Nasdaq      4084 – 4000

Resistance Nasdaq             4167

 

Where To Invest Now

Market Strategies Cycles

If you put any faith in the January barometer, you may have a disappointing outlook for the coming year as the S&P is closed out January losing 2.9% The Dow closed down 5.1%; Nasdaq is off ended in 2013 at 4,176.59, but closed Jan 31^st at 4,109.28, a loss of 1.6%. the Transportation Index was down 1.2% and the Russell is off 2.5%. The Dow also briefly penetrated below its December lows, but closed above. A close below the December  lows is extremely bearish, especially if followed by other indexes.

Like anything else in dealing with uncertainty like with the stock market one can’t put too much faith in the indicator and here’s why. When we look at the last 35 years of data, the S&P followed January’s direction 71% of the time. The likely reason why people even pay attention to the January barometer is that negatively performing years for the S&P 500 tend to be VERY bad, disastrous even. The one year everyone wish they heeded the call of January was of course 2008 when January closed with a -6.1% performance and the year closed with a -38.5% performance, the absolute worst year almost anyone still active in the stock market can remember…

 

At first glance this appears to be a good success rate. But a number of factors skew this information. First, the performance in January is included in the performance for the whole year. So for example, in a year like 1987 the market was up 13% in January, but only closed up 2% for the year. This means that during the eleven months following January, the market dropped by over 10%, yet this year was still counted as a “win” for the indicator.

Here’s the other kicker. The success rate when January is positive is much higher than the success rate of the indicator when January is negative. In the last 12 years during which the market saw declines in January, the market was only negative for the year on four occasions. That amounts to a 33% success rate, far lower than the often quoted 71% success rate. Much of this has to do with the fact that markets generally rise over the long-run, as they’re biased to the upside. This particular year the bearish “January Effect” cycle is aided by the Fed scenario of ‘tapering.” So far the taper has been felt around the world with money running for the exits of emerging markets for safer harbors with comparable interest rates. It has caused tremendous volatility. In addition, the harsh winter has been unmerciful on many sectors such as retail. Going into Spring, however, the trend of the market tells a different story. The key is “ balance” having Both longs and shorts.

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Disclaimer – Rule 17 B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe the two small penny stocks ( REPR and AIVN ) we represent for a total outlay of $ 4,725 is well worth the risk. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.045 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s. Princeton is paid about 500,000 shares of Leo Motors.

 

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King (702) 650-3000

mike@princetonresearch.com

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

Phone: (702) 650-3000

Visit: www.princetonresearch.com

 Where To Invest Your Money Now February 3, 2014