Where To Invest Your Money Now August 2014

Where To Invest your money now

August 4, 2014

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue

 Where To Invest Your Money

August 2014

Where To Invest $10000

where to invest $10000

Covering High Return Balanced Stock Market

Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

 

Over 284% Gains In 2013

 

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In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479

Over 284% Returns

A $10,000 Portfolio would be worth $38,479

 

The last 3 years our gains have gotten progressively greater year over year.

 

284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013

171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012

77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)

 

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What Should I Invest In

How To Invest 10000

 

Market Strategies

$10,000 Trading Account

Traders Comments

There are no Open Positions

Gain for the week $ 287

 

Gain for the Year $ 3,212

Over 32% Returns

 

Week 30 saw a gain of $287 bringing YTD gains to $3.212. 

 

We closed the week with no open positions.  This is due to the defensive nature I discussed in last week’s letter.

The action for the week, and in fact the month in the S & P500 was abysmal.  For the first time this year we saw a new all-time high followed by a move to a new low for the month. Technically, this is a disaster. Remarkably, on the monthly chart we are still slightly overbought.

The weekly is a bit better, but also not great.  It is oversold and has some support around 1900 (the 13 week moving average) as well as a dozen closes around 1880-85. The daily is dramatically oversold and is quickly approaching the last major break to the upside at 1902 back in May.

Disappointment abounds from Washington. The stock market reflects their management inabilities.

Now it is vacation time and all the money we pay in salaries and expenses seems for naught. Instead of finding ways to work with the administration, they (the House) made a colossal circus of suing or impeaching Obama. Frightfully, they can trade on inside information. Perhaps they know something we don’t.

As far as the market goes, I’m still defensive but looking for opportunities.  I may go back into Pandora (P) or AAPL.  BA looks so bad it’s probably a buy for a bounce to 125-127.

The SPY @ $186 deserves a look, and the metals also have some merit based upon the Mideast and Russian situations.

Last, but not least, The great economic numbers that came out last week were not that great when you consider Housing is off 7.5% and inventory build-ups were a large part of the 4% GDP growth. With Retail very weak it may be a long time before inventories are absorbed.. The GDP will be revised 3 times before final.

Markets move on the forward look and political uncertainty,  the inability of the Washington machine to function is apparent and finally having had  its effect on the markets at a time when we remain over-regulated from the financial disasters  in the past. 95% of the people in Washington have never worked in private industry.

The “EASY” money has been made…..now we will have to be much more careful.

…CAM

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Investing Strategies

Market Strategies $10,000 Trading Account

Trade Table

New Trades

1) Buy 6 BA August 121 Calls @ $ 1.26 O.B.  (O.B. means or better)

2) Buy 4 FB August $ 72.50 Calls @ $ 1.64 O.B.

DATE

TRADES

PRICE COST PROCEEDS RESULTS
08/01 Sold 4 P August 44 Calls 0.72 288 152 Loss
07/31 Sold 6 IWM August 112 Puts  Two Prices 3 @The remaining 3 @ 1.852.06 555618 183 Gain256 Gain
07/28 Bought 4 P Calls 1.10 440
07/25 Bought 6 IWM August 112 Puts 1.24
07/25 Sold 4 IWM August 113 Puts 1.73 692 228 Gain
07/25 Sold 3 V August 210 Puts( 100% Up Rule + Gap ) 3.35 1005 585 Gain
07/24 Sold 10 COP August 90 Calls 0.46 460 30 Gain
07/24 Bought 4 IWM August 113 Puts 1.16 464
07/22 Bought 3 V August 210 Puts 1.40 420
07/16 Bought 10 COP August 90 Calls 0.43 430

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

 

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

 

Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

Dow16,493.37
-467.20

-2.75%

Nasdaq4352.64

-96.92
-2.18%

S&P 5001925.15

-53.19

-2.69%

Transportation8120.86

-307.29

-3.65%

Russell 20001114.86
-29.86

-2.61%

Nasdaq 1003879.67

-85.49

-2.16%

Gold (spot)1293.60

-9.50

-0.7%

Silver (July)2037.1

-26.5

-1.3%

Crude97.88

-4.21

–4.1%

Heating Oil286.61

-5.74

-2.0%

Unleaded Gas2.7443

-0.0959

-3.4%

Natural Gas3.798

+0.011

+0.3%

VIX17.03

+4.34

+34.2%

Put/Call RatiosS&P 100

128/100’s

-11/100’s

Put/Call RatiosCBOE Equity

68/100’s

+8/100’s

Bonds137-30  -23

3.31% +0.07%

10 Yr. Note125-08 -0-02

2.54% +0.05%

Copper321.45

-2.60

-0.8%

CRB InflationIndex

292.48

-5.86

-2.0%

B9arron’s Confidence70.2%

+0.3%

S&P100855.46

-24.43

-2.78%

5 Yr. Note119 -008

1.73% +0.06%

Dollar8131

+0.28

+0.35%

DJ Utilities540.69

-15.82

-2.84%

AAIIConfidence

Index

Bullish31.1%

+1.5%

Bearish31.1%

+1.2%

Neutral37.8%

-2.7%

 

M1 Money  Supply+11.89%

July 21st

M-2 MoneySupply

+6.75%

July 21st

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

 

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Good Stocks To Invest In


New Stock Recommendations $100,000 Portfolio

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

Stock Purchase Price Purchase Date Stop/Loss   Price/Date Sold   Profit/(Loss)
GRPN  500 6.35      07/31
WFM  150 37.08      07/24
MBI   500 9.54      07/14 7/25 10.02 $ 240
BCRH 300 19.45      07/10 17.55sco
MVIS 2000 2.02      06/30 1.87sco 07/15 2.40 $ 760
NBG 300   2.95      05/19
GLXZ 5000 0.46      05/12
XRGYF 5000* 0.407      03/14
OSIR 300 15.94      02/13
GRPN 500 10.40      01/28
RPTP 400 15.37      01/16
AA 300  100Sold  200 10.06      01/10 6/26 14.87 $ 854
WLT 300 16.22 12/23
GSG 150 32.64 12/23 32.21 sco
NBG 300 4.08 8/12
TEXQY* 200 6.56 7/11
NBG 300 12.10 5/23
HL 1000 4.10 3/04 2.64 sco
AAPL 35 76.85 11/08/12
REPR* 5000 0.22 10/22/12 .12 sco

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

    Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.


For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

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Where To Invest Your Money Now March 2014 Market Strategies
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

New Trades:

1) Buy 12 BA August $ 121.00 Calls @ $ 1.26  O.B.

2) Buy  8 FB August $ 72.50 Calls @  $ 1.64 O.B.

 

There were two closed out option positions last week:

 

IWM Puts making a gain of $ 878 and the

Pandora (P ) August 44 Calls which lost $ 304

making a net Gain of $ 574 in the Options account.

 

There were no closed out stock positions.

 

For the full year 2013 we had realized gains of $ 53,556.

 

We have open position losses now of about $10,499 some of which are in coal stocks, NBG and small cap bio-med stocks held over from last year.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American (NAT), BCRH and JP Morgan.

We have no long option positions:

The Stock table has the following 18 positions:

AA, AAPL, BCRH, GRPN (2), GLXZ; GSG, HL, NBG (3), OSIR, REPR, RPTP, TEXQY, (WFM long against short Calls)  WLT, XRGYF

 

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

We are basing money management on a hypothetical

$ 100,000 and are using

$ 60,488 in 18 stock positions with

$ 39,512 in cash.

 

These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

 

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

 

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
Option Cost Date Sold Date Profit/(Loss)
WFM  Aug 392 lots

$ 186 Credit

Calls0.93 07/24/13 ( Short against Long Position )
P August 448 lots Calls1.10 07/25/14 0.72 08/01/14 ( $ 304.00 )
IWM Aug 11312 lots Puts1.24 07/25 14 1.85 Sold 42.06 Sold 4 Later same day 07/31/14 

 

$ 366.00 

$ 512.00

 

$ 256.00

IWM Aug 1138 lots Puts1.16 07/24/14 1.73 07/25/14 $ 456.00
V August 2106 lots Puts1.40 07/22/14 3.35( 100% profit Rule plus upside Gap ) 07/25/14 $ 1170.00

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

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This Weeks’ Economic Numbers and Media Data

Monday Cardinal Health ( 0.81 vs 0.79 )Loews ( 0.67 vs 0.69 )

Michael Kors ( 0.81 vs0.61)

 

10:00 hrs Pending Home Sales June ( -0.8% vs 6.1% )

 

Avis ( 0.61 vs 0.50 )

Dresser ( 0.39 vs 0.69 )

Tenet Health  ( 0.01 vs 0.66 )

 

Tuesday ADM ( 0.73 vs 0.46 )IT ( 0.59 vs 0.50 )

Office Depot ODP ( -0.02 vs -0.10 )

Weastlake Chemicals WLK ( 1.48 vs 2.17 )

Zoetis ZTS ( 0.38 vs 0.35 )

 

10:00 hrs Factory Orders June ( 0.5% vs -0.5% )

 

10:00 hrs ISM Services July ( 56.5 vs 56.0 )

 

DRYS ( -0.05 vs -0.05 )

FSLR ( -0.33 vs -0.39 )

Groupon ( 0.01 vs 0.02 )

Hertz HTZ ( 0.07 vs 0.21 )

Ocean Rig  ORIG ( 0.34 vs 0.29 )

DIS ( 1.16 vs 1.03 )

Tutor Perini TPC ( 0.48 vs 0.32 )

Zillow Z ( -0.04 vs 0.01 )

 

Wednesday Alpha Natural Resources ANR ( -0.75 vs -0.59 )CHK ( 0.44 vs 0.51 )

Denbury Resources DNR ( 0.27 vs 0.41 )

Devon ( 1.39 vs 1.21 )

HFC ( 0.97 vs 1.40 )

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 08/02 ( NA vs -2.2% )

 

08:30 hrs Trade Balance June ( -45.2Bln vs -$44.4Bln )

 

10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 08/02 ( NA vs -3.687 Mln Bbls )

 

CLDX ( -0.26 vs -0.24 )

CDE ( -0.31 vs -0.35 )

Coupons COUP  ( -0.03 )

 

Thursday Canadian  Nat Res CNQ ( 0.98 vs 0.42 )Cooper Tire CTB ( 0.80 vs 0.55 )

Duke Energy  DUK ( 0.98 vs 0.87 )

Foster Wheeler FWLT ( 0.47 vs 0.54 )

PLUG ( -0.04 )

Rangold ( GOLD 0.31 vs 0.16 )

Royal Gold  RGLD  ( 0.31vs  0.16 )

 

07:30 hrs Challenger Job Cuts July ( NA vs -20.2% )

 

08:30 hrs  Initial Claims 08/02 ( 308K vs 302K )

 

08:30 hrs  Continuing Claims 07/26  ( 2525K  vs 2539K )

 

10:30 hrs  Natural Gas Inventories 08/02 ( NA vs 88 bcf )

 

15:00 hrs Consumer Credit June ( $ 15.8Bln vs $19.6Bln )

 

NWSA ( 0.03 )

RPTP ( -0.21 )

Sprouts (0.18)

Zynga ( 0.00 vs -0.01 )

 

 

Friday Enerplus ERF ( 0.31 )Magna ( MGA 2.22 vs 1.78 )

Magnum Hunter( -0.17 vs -0.18 )

 

08:30 hrs Porductivity Preliminary 2nd Qtr ( +1.4% vs -3.2%

Unit Labor Costs 2ns Qtr ( +2.0% vs + 5.7% )

 

10:00 hrs Wholesale Inventories June ( 0.4% vs 0.5% )

 

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Market Strategies Fundamentals

2nd Quarter GDP rebounded to + 4% following a minus  2.1% contraction in the first quarter. That pushed to 10-yr treasury to a yield of 2.61%, prior to the market sell-off that retreated yields to 2.49%.

 

Stocks sold off despite the Best Consumer Confidence report since 2007. The S&P lost 49.47 points for the week.  Pundits scurried to find a reason why this occurred. The fact that there are no real reasons makes the decline that much more disconcerting and realistic.

 

The S&P 500 at 1925.15, off  53.19 points for the week or 2.9% , had its worst  weekly loss in two years. For the entire month of July, the loss was  49.47 points or 2.5%.  Not since the end of May 2012 when the S&P broke to 1313.32 from a previous close of 1397.91, a loss of  84.59 points or 6.1% has there been such a steep monthly loss. The Dow lost all of its yearly gains losing 83.29 points since the 2013  year end or for the week a whopping 467.20 points or 2.75%. The Dow had made a new all-time high on July 17th at 17,151.56 and has now corrected  658.19 points or 3.8%.

 

The losses were strictly technical with no particular fundamental news that had not been around for days and weeks on end. The Russell 2000 Index and its IWM ETF formed a double top on the charts between the March and the end of June and has been consistently the weakest of all  indexes.

At 1,114.86,  it is exactly at its 50 week moving average. The Russell is now down 50 points for the year following its 2013 close at 1164. The Russell had enjoyed continuous strength from its low of 601.71,  October 2011 to its recent high of 1213.55 , more than a double to the right side of its double top.

 

The technical picture of the markets has never looked so bleak coming at a time of virtual prosperity at least among big cap stocks, where total economic recovery is supposed to begin and pass down.

 

Next Friday, the productivity Report is likely to show gains in productivity even at a time when wages and benefits spiked. New technologies have taken away lower skilled jobs adding to the less employed and huge number of participants in part-time, less skilled jobs. The labor force participation rate has remained at a three-decade low, which keeps the Fed on a low interest rate policy.

 

The Fed has commented on the huge number of part-timers and under-utilization of the work force, but productivity increases have diminished the need for a large number of semi-skilled people.

 

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Market Strategies Economic Data

July Consumer Confidence Highlights

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index spiked to 90.9 in July from an upwardly revised 86.4 (from 85.2) in June. The Briefing.com consensus pegged the Consumer Confidence Index at 85.6.

 

Consumer confidence is now at its highest level since October 2007.The Present Situation Index increased to 88.3 in July from 86.3 in June. The Expectations Index rose to 92.7 in July from 86.4 in June. Historically high equity prices, a reduction in gasoline costs, and improvements in labor conditions all worked in conjunction to boost confidence. However, there was some concern that confidence levels could remain stagnant because the similarly measured University of Michigan

 

Consumer Sentiment Index declined slightly in its preliminary reading.

 

The strong confidence reading does not necessarily mean that an acceleration in consumption growth is forthcoming. Consumption gains rely on income growth. As long as the improvements in overall labor conditions translate into increased wages, consumption growth will follow. Income gains are the main catalyst for spending, yet rising levels of confidence over time tend to help on the margin.

Category JUL JUN MAY APR MAR
Conference Board 90.9 86.4 82.2 81.7 83.9
  Expectations 92.7 96.4 83.5 83.9 84.8
  Present Situation 88.3 86.3 80.3 78.5 82.5
Employment (‘plentiful’ less ‘hard to get’) -14.8 -16.1 -18.0 -19.8 -17.6
1 yr inflation expectations 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.5% 5.5%

Institute of Supply Management Report   Most of the important economic news last week was very good. The ISM Index was quite impressive increasing to 57.1 in July up from 55.3 in June. This was the best reading since April 2011.

Every regional center of the Federal Reserve System showed gains. Production levels improved to 61.2 in July from 60.0 in June. New orders rose to 63.4 from 58.9. The Employment Index increased to 58.2 in July from 52.8 in June. Some bad news in the report was that Expectations and backlogs of new orders decreased from 96.4 in June to 92.7 in July.

Market Strategies Technical Information

 

Support Levels S&P 500    1900

Resistance S&P 500           1955

 

Support Levels DOW          16,372

Resistance DOW                 16,660

 

Support Levels QQQ           93.78                  

Resistance QQQ                  96.20

                  

Support Levels NASDAQ      4280

Resistance NASDAQ             4445

 

New Penny Stock Recommendations

Cleveland BioLabs ( CBLI $ 0.46x )*  Buy above the 13 day M.A.

See Money Info Show CBLI Feature and Interview – Click Here

About Cleveland BioLabs, Inc.

Cleveland BioLabs, Inc. is an innovative biopharmaceutical company seeking to develop first-in-class pharmaceuticals designed to address diseases with significant medical need. The company’s lead product candidates are Entolimod, which is being developed as radiation countermeasure and a potential cancer treatment, and Curaxin CBL0137, our lead oncology product candidate.

The company conducts business in the United States and in the Russian Federation through our three operating subsidiaries, Incuron, LLC, BioLabs 612, LLC and Panacela Labs, Inc. The company maintains strategic relationships with the Cleveland Clinic, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, and the Children’s Cancer Institute Australia.

To learn more about Cleveland BioLabs, Inc., please visit the Company’s website at http://www.cbiolabs.com

 

Leo Motors ( LEOM $ 0.04 )*  

Has a potential to be the Tesla of Asia. We like it now, above its 13-day moving average.

 

Please go to LeoMotors.com ( English Version )

 

Risk is 2 cents.

 

Market Strategies Cycles

Cycle low ideally this coming week or could come as late as the following week.  Momentum oscillators are very oversold on a short term basis so a 1-3 day rally is possible and then very likely more selling into the cycle low. If it does down from here for a few more days then the low will be earlier. I am doing no buying of stocks until the low is in. I did buy some ENZ yesterday at $4.65-4.70. Barry Weiner, CEO,  is giving presentations this week.

Wait for MRTX to pull back before buying. I am holding a core position DIA and QQQ puts and FAZ and VXX calls. If there is a rally then I will buy more puts. It is very unlikely that the selling is over. The put/call ratio is no where near the levels seen at bottoms and way too many commentators/analysts/fund managers on CNBC were telling viewers to buy the dip.

— From Jan Vandersande

 

Seasonal:Bearish

August is the worst DJIA and S&P 500 month since 1987 with average declines of 1.3% and 1.0% respectively. August also ranks last for NASDAQ (–0.3%) and Russell 2000 (–0.7%) over the same time period. In midterm years since 1950, Augusts’ rankings improve slightly: #10 DJIA, #9 S&P 500, #12 NASDAQ (since 1974), #8 Russell 1000 and #11 Russell 2000 (since 1982). Average losses range from 0.6% for Russell 1000 to 2.8% for Russell 2000.

 

Fundamentals: Strong

Economic indications are very good across the  nation. The Institute of Supply Management reported excellent growth in manufacturing. Employment numbers are constructive. Productivity remains buoyant. even though many of the job gains continue to come in the form of low-wage and part-time.. Housing is the weakest area hampered by banking regulations which restrict private individuals from borrowing. New home sales and housing starts are very weak even though existing home sales have held up. Employment costs rose 0.7% for the month. The chart above shows the relationship of wages and benefits for the last 8 years. The benefits part may have been alarming, but are not yet obstructive to profits..

 

Technical:

Breaking down. DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ all ran into resistance in July. Russell 2000 made its high at the end of June and was first to break in early July. It has already fallen below  its 50- and 200-day moving averages. DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ have all broken down below support at their respective 50-day moving


Rule 17B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton Research has been paid $ 2,500 to write a report on Xinergy.

Princeton has been engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities.

We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.045 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s. Princeton was paid about 500,000 shares of Leo Motors.

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

 

Mike King

(702) 650-3000

mike@princetonresearch.com

 

Charles Moskowitz

 (781) 826-8882

CAM@MoneyInfo-LLC.com

 

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street,

Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

 

Fax: (702) 697-8944

 

Visit: www.PrincetonResearch.com

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

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THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

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Where To Invest Now

Where To Invest Your Money August 2014