Balanced Investment Strategies

how to invest $10000

April 14, 2014

Market Strategies Newsletter

Balanced Investment Strategies

Sample Issue

Investing Strategies

Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

 

Over 284% Gains In 2013

A $10,000 portfolio would be

worth $38,479

For Free Where To Invest Your Money Now

High Return Investments Trade Alerts

CLICK HERE

PrincetonResearch.com/alerts.htm

 

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

$10,000 Trading Account

Traders Comments

There are two open positions:

BAC May 16 Calls

MSFT May $ 40 Calls

Funds in Use $ 1220

 

Profit for the week $ 489

Last week we had only one closing transaction that resulted

in a gain of $489,

bringing the YTD loss back down to $1,773.

 

In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479

Over 284% Returns

A $10,000 Portfolio would be

worth $38,479

The last 3 years our gains have gotten progressively greater year over year.

284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013

171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012

77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)

 

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These are for two new positions on the long side of both MSFT and BAC. The new purchases have had pullbacks to recent breakouts and have good support just below the closes.

BAC broke to the upside from this level at year-end that took it first to $17.50 in less than 10 days and after a consolidation up from $15.50 to just over $18.  This puts BAC just 5% over Its 200 day MA, down from 20% over just 3 weeks ago. MSFT has support between $38 and $38.50 and both are oversold.

If we have a pullback like the last several then we’re almost there. We are down 8% from the recent high and we’ve also cut the distance above the 200 day MA by half.  We could go lower and pass expectations, but I would be surprised if we broke support at $1,750-1760 in the S & P 500.

Bullish sentiment has also collapsed to just 28.5% well below the historic average of 39%.

This is a good “contrary” indicator, and those numbers are from Thursday before the big sell off.

One other issue that didn’t get much play during the week was the fact that there were several new taxes this year that may have been forgotten until the filing deadline Tuesday.  For money to be available there may have been some unexpected add-on selling.  Nothing like wanting to nail down available funds in an already falling market……..Have a good week.

…Charles

 

Market Strategies $10,000 Trading Account Trade Table

DATE

TRADES

PRICE

COST

PROCEEDS

RESULTS

04/11

Bought 10 BAC May 16 Calls

0.46

460

04/11

Sold 3 TLT April 108 Calls

2.60

780

489 Gain

04/10

Bought 8 MSFT May 40 Calls

0.95

760

03/27

Sold 3 TLT March 108 Calls

( 100% Profit  Rule )

1.94

582

291 Gain

03/24

Bought 6 TLT March 108 Calls

 0.97

582

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

Over 284% Gains In 2013

A $10,000 portfolio would be

worth $38,479

 

For Free Where To Invest Your Money Now

High Return Investments Trade Alerts

CLICK HERE

PrincetonResearch.com/alerts.htm

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

Market Laboratory

Weekly Changes For market Indicators

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

Dow

16,026.75

-385.96

 -2.35%

Nasdaq

3999.73

127.99

 -3.10%

S&P 500

1815.69

-49.40

 -2.65%

Transportation

7362.39

-208.37

-2.75%

Russell 2000

1111.44

-41.94

       -3.64%

Nasdaq 100

3446.85

-92.53

 -2.61%

Gold (spot)

1318.70

+14.50

           +1.1%

Silver (Dec )

  1994.6

No Chg

  0.00%

Crude

  103.74

 +2.60

 +2.6%

Heating Oil

293.32

+2.53

  +0.9%

Unleaded Gas

  3.0144

+0.0831

 +2.8%

Natural Gas

4.62

+0.181

+4.1%

VIX

 17.03

 +3.07

   +22.0%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

124/100’s

-4/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

 61/100’s

 +5/100’s

Bonds

134-25 +1-26

  3.485% -0.165%

10 Yr Note

123-254 +1-04

 2.62% -0.10%

Copper

304.15

+1.90

  +0.6%

CRB Inflation

Index

 309.39

+4.55

  +1.5%

Barron’s Confidence

 71.4%

-1.1%

S&P100

804.90

-19.68

-2.39%

5 Yr Note

119-25 +23

1.567% -0.009%

Dollar

79.45

-0.97

 -1.2%

DJ Utilities

534.32

+2.71

 +0.51%

AAII

Confidence

Index

Bullish

28.5%

-6.9%

Bearish

 34.1%

+7.3%

Neutral

  37.4%

 -0.4%

M1 Money  Supply

+8.87%

March 31st

M-2 Money

Supply

+6.02%

March 31st

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits

M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

New Stock Recommendations

$ 100,000 account

Buy 15,000 shares AIVN* at $ 0.03

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

Stock

Purchase Price

Purchase Date

Stop/Loss

 

Price/Date Sold

 

Profit/(Loss)

SPXU 100

58.01

     03/17

$ 60.24 04/11

$ 233

XRGYF 5000*

0.407

     03/14

OSIR 300

15.94

     02/13

INSM 300

15.37

     01/29

GRPN 500

10.40

     01/28

AA 300

11.79

     01/28

RPTP 400

15.37

     01/16

AA 500

10.06

     01/10

WLT 300

16.22

12/23

GSG 150

32.64

12/23

NBG 300

4.08

8/12

TEXQY* 200

6.56

7/11

NBG 300

12.10

5/23

HL 1000

4.10

3/04

2.64sco

AAPL 10

538

11/08/12

AAPL 5

636

10/9/12

REPR* 5000

0.22

10/22/12

.12 sco

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscriber Members Area.


For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

Over 284% Gains In 2013

A $10,000 portfolio would be worth $38,479

For Free Where To Invest Your Money Now

High Return Investments Trade Alerts

CLICK HERE

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

 

We had two closed out positions last week,

one stock position the SPXU and the remaining TLT Calls

gaining a total of $ 1467.

 

Our losses for the new year were reduced to $ 5,432.

For the full year 2013 we had realized gains of $ 53,556.

We have open position losses now of about $ 11,939 most of which are in small cap bio-med stocks held over from last year.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American ( NAT ) and JP Morgan.

We have one long option position:

TLT April 108 Calls

The Stock table has the following 16 positions:

AA(2), AAPL (2), DSX, GRPN, GSG, HL, INSM,

NBG (2), REPR, RPTP, TEXQY, WLT,XRGYF

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

We are basing money management on a hypothetical

$ 100,000 and are using

$ 2,440 in two options position and

$ 64,833 in 16 stock positions

totaling $ 67,273 with

$ 32,727 in cash.

These figures are approximate.

We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Balanced Investment

Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out.
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

Option

Cost

Date

Sold

Date

Profit/(Loss)

BAC May 16

20 lots

Calls       0.46

04/11/14

MSFT May 40

8 lots

 Calls      0.95

04/10/14

TLT April 108

12 lots

Leaves 6 lots

 Calls      0.97

03/24/14

1.94

 ( Sold half on 100% Profit Rule)

2.60

( Sold Balance TLT Calls

03/27/14

04/11/14

$ 582

$ 978

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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This Weeks’ Balanced Investment

Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

Monday Citigroup release quarterly results

before the opening ( 1.15 vs 1.29 )

JB Hunt ( 0.61 vs 0.61)

M&T Bank 1.63 vs 2.06

 

08:30 hrs Retail Sales March ( 1.0% vs 0.3% )

Ex-Auto ( 0.5% vs 0.3% )

 

10:00 hrs Business Inventories Feb ( 0.6% vs 0.4% )

 

Under Armour splits 2 for 1

 

Tuesday 08:30 hrs CPI Mar ( 0.1% vs 0.1% )

CORE  ( 0.1% vs 0.1% )

 

08:30 hrs Empire Manufacturing Apr ( 7.5 vs 5.6 )

 

09:00 hrs Net Long Term TIC Flows Feb ( NA vs $7.3Bln )

 

10:00 hrs NAHB Housing Mkt Index Apr ( 50 vs 47 )

 

Intel ( 0.37 vs 0.40 )

U.S. Bancorp ( 0.73 vs Same )

 

Wednesday Before the Open

Constellation Brands ( STZ 0.76 vs 0.47 )

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 04/05 ( NA vs   -1.6% )

 

08:30 hrs Housing Starts March ( 955K vs 907K )

Building Permits ( 1003K vs 1018K )

 

09:15 hrs Industrial Production Mar ( 0.5% vs 0.6% )

 

Fed Chair Janet Yellen speaks via teleconference at

the Federal Reserve Bank in Atlanta.

 

10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 04/12 ( NA vs 4.030Mln bbls )

 

14:00 hrs Fed’s Beige Book ( NA )

 

Amer Exp ( 1.30 vs 1.15 )

Cap One (1.70 vs 1.79 )

Google ( 12.33 vs 11.58 )

IBM 2.55 vs 3.00

URI ( 0.77 vs 0.19 )

 

Thursday Baker Hughes ( .79 vs .65 )

DuPont (1.59 vs 1.56 )

GE (32 vs 39)

BLK (4.14 vs 3.65 )

CMG 2.85 vs 2.45

 

08:30 hrs Initial Claims 04/12 ( 312K rising from 300K )

Continuing Claims 04/05 ( 2800K vs 2776K )

 

10:00 hrs Philadelphia Fed Apr ( 8.6 vs 9.0 )

 

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 04/12 ( NA vs 4.0 bcf )

 

Union Pacific ( 2.37 vs 2.03 )

United Health ( 1.09 vs 1.16 )

 

Friday All markets are closed in the U.S. and

all other major global markets for Good Friday.

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

Economic Data

Expectations for the coming week are for good economic numbers: Retail Sales on Monday should be well above expectations of + 1.0%. On Tuesday the April Homebuilder survey should rise to at least 50 from the ridiculous low numbers of 47 last month. Empire State Manufacturing should be back on the mend following weather obstructions. March Housing Starts on Wednesday should be above expectations and March Industrial Production is expected to rise a lofty 0.5% above last month’s reading. The numbers should offer competition to the bears who have had the upper hand. The greenback is weak again.

The dollar broke below its strong uptrend at about 81 last year, but not much happened as a result. Now we have a new trendline, and a new support level around 79. One supposes that a break below this trendline could send the dollar tumbling, but let’s remember just how many times the US dollar has been declared dead, only to frustrate the bears by regaining life….in any case, the pressure’s on it again.

Earnings are looking to fare better this week as well. Please look at the table: There are over 200 companies reporting.

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

Trading Fundamentals

Stocks collapsed last week led by the Russell, off 3.64%. Nasdaq lost 3.10% followed by the Transportation Averages, off 2.75%, the S&P off 2.65% and the Dow 2.35%.

The second and third quarters have been the worst out of the 16 quarters of a presidential cycle.

We are already in the “sell in May and go away” which began early this year. We continue to want to buy severe weakness as we look for much higher prices by year-end.

Meanwhile one needs to be flexible hedging by selling rallies in QQQ’s and S&P’s down to support levels provided in the technical section below. The S&P 200 day moving average comes in at about 1760. We could get close if volatility continues. Both earnings and economics will be better this week than last week.  Alcoa, JPM and Wells did nothing to encourage investors.        

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1798 – 1770

Resistance S&P 500           1837

 

Support Levels DOW          15,870 – 16,000

Resistance DOW                 16,170

 

Support Levels QQQ           81.90 – 82.65                  

Resistance QQQ                  84.40

                  

Support Levels NASDAQ      3920

Resistance NASDAQ             4075

 

Balanced Investment Market Strategies

Cycles

If the market continues to track past midterm years reasonably closely, as they have done for the past three months, then a mid-April top and a rough, down May and June are likely. Earnings (real and Q2 estimates), economic data and monetary policy will need to remain supportive in order to stave off typical Q2 & Q3 midterm year weakness. Thus far, economic data has been soft and monetary policy is less supportive each month as the Fed continues to trim QE at each meeting. Then, October has often begun a resumption of the bull trend as in the chart below.

After gold peaked in mid-March, its steady decline through month-end also pulled down mining ETFs. The worst was Market Vectors Jr Gold Miners (GLDX), off 12.4% in March. However, GLDX is up 28% year-to-date. If gold holds support in the $1280-1300 per ounce price range, new long positions in gold-related ETFs should be considered.

Margin debt had climbed to a new all-time high well over $ 450Billions. The chart below illustrates the relationship between prices and debt. There is an uncertain relationship between high prices and margin debt.

The only certainty is that high margin debt contributes to high volatility and that tax time may be having an effect. The following chart shows the failure of the market to make new highs at a time when the dollar is weak.

American International Ventures Looks like a new low cost opportunity ( AIVN $ 0.0275 ). We will bid $ 0.03 for some shares. We were stopped out at $ 0.08. We have a new research report available for the asking. I am already a large shareholder about 4 million shares. I am not currently paid for I.R.

 

Over 284% Gains In 2013

A $10,000 portfolio would be worth $38,479

 

For Free Where To Invest Your Money Now

High Return Investments Trade Alerts

CLICK HERE

PrincetonResearch.com/alerts.htm

 

 

Rule 17B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton Research has been paid $ 2,500 to write a report on Xinergy.

Princeton has been engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities.

We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.045 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s. Princeton is paid about 500,000 shares of Leo Motors.

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King

(702) 650-3000

mike@princetonresearch.com

 

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street,

Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

Where To Invest Your Money Now

Balanced Investment Strategies