Options Trading Strategies – Market Strategies Newsletter

Options Trading Strategies

February 11, 2013

Market Strategies Newsletter

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Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

 

Market Strategies

$10,000 Options Trading Account

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Options Trading Strategies Comments

 

We had another great week last week with a

gain of $1,752

 

Bringing our YTD total to $12,045

in just 6 weeks

 

It’s not easy to report or look for trades when it is 16 degrees and you’ve had no heat or electricity since Friday night  – Tough to work out of a Starbucks.

When the market gets into a trend – Life is a lot simpler. You find the ones that look good but haven’t moved very far away from support and wait for the technicals to catch up.

I believe that now that everyone hates Apple we can start to trade that one again as soon as we get a little better definition of support, based on some horizontal action.

We are going into the week with a short-term position in VMW, and since I don’t know when I will have power again, I would watch for a break over $80 and a fast run to 83-84.  If it doesn’t occur by Wednesday, and you don’t get a text with specific instructions, make sure to watch the 50% down rule to eliminate the position.

Hopefully I will be back on the air well before that………..CAM

 

Where To Invest Now

Options Trading Strategies Table

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

VIP Subscriber Members Only TEXTING SERVICE TO

RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

 NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

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THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

Options Trading Strategies

Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

 

The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

 

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

For any questions please call (702) 650 3000.

 

Market Strategies Where To Invest Now

Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

 

Dow

13,992.97

-16.82

 -0.12%

Nasdaq

3193.87

+14.77

 +0.46%

S&P 500

1517.93

+4.76

 +0.31%

Transportation

5,911.33

+54.10

+0.92%

Russell 2000

913.67

+2.47

+0.27%

Nasdaq 100

2775.56

+11.60

+0.4%

Gold (spot)

1666.0

-3.40

 -0.2%

Silver (Dec )

3144.1

-51.7

 -1.6%

Crude

 95.72

-2.05

 -2.1%

Heating Oil

323.84

+7.78

 +2.5%

Unleaded Gas

  3.0588

+0.0052

 +0.17%

Natural Gas

  3.272
-.029

 -0.9%

VIX

13.02

+0.12

 +0.9%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

157/100’s

+11/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

 62/100’s

 -6/100’s

Bonds

143-22 +27

 3.167% -0.043%

10 Yr Note

131-234+194   1.954 -0.056%

Copper

375.95

-2.50

 -0.66%

CRB Inflation

Index

301.06

-4.01

 -1.3%

Barron’s Confidence

 68.2%

 -0.5%

S&P100

683.04

+1.30

 +0.42%

5 Yr Note

124-00 +076                                                   0.828% -0.49%

Dollar

80.21

+1.08

 +1.4%

DJ Utilities

474.46

-0.07

 -0.01%

AAII

Confidence

Index

Bullish

42.8%

-5.2%

Bearish

29.6%

+5.3%

Neutral

27.6%

-0.1%

M1 Money  Supply

+11.43%

Jan28th

M-2 Money

Supply

+6.48%

Jan 28th

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits

M2 adds Savings and Money market Accounts both compared with the previous year.                                                                                                                                         

                                                  

New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio

 

No new recommendations

No New Stock Trades for the coming Week unless they are Texted to you.

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

 

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THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members. Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.


For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Options Trading Strategies

Recommendations And Overall Comments

 

We gained $ 3,414.00 in closed out positions last week.

Our profits for the year rose to $ 26,197

 

We have four options positions:

 

The Stock table includes the following fifteen positions:

 

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise started, while each stock position requires $ 5,000 unless specifically stated.

 

We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000.00 and are using $ 7,760  in four options positions and $ 61,422.00 in the15 stock positions a total of       $ 69,182. 00 with 30,818.00  in cash.

 

These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

 

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

 

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the $100,000 Portfolio

Trading Account

 

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated.
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position.
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade.
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out.
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

This Weeks’ Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

 

Monday Vote by AMR bankruptcy creditors on the proposed merger between US Air and AMR likely today.

 

Chinese markets remain closed through Thursday  for New Year

Tuesday 14:00 hrs Treasury Budget Jan

( -$2.0B vs -27.0B )

 

Prez Obama to deliver

State of the Union at 9PM EDT

Wednesday Deere, Dr Pepper (Snapple) and Duke Energy

report before the open

 

Agnico Eagle, Cisco and Tesla Motors report after the close.

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 2/02

( NA vs 3.4% )

 

08:30 hrs Retail Sales Jan ( 0.1% vs 0.5% )

Retail Sls less Autos & Trucks

( 0.1% vs 0.3% )

 

08:30 hrs Export and Import Prices

Jan ( -0.2%(exports) and -0.1% (imports)

 

10:00 hrs Business Inventories

Dec ( 0.3% vs Same )

 

10:30 hrs Crude inventories

02/09 ( NA vs 2.623Mln bbls )

 

Thursday 08:30 hrs Initial Claims

02/09 ( 365K vs 364K )

 

Continuing Claims

02/02 ( 3200K vs 3224K )

 

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories ( NA )

 

Apache, Barrick Gold, Borg Warner

Report before the open

 

VCA Antech and Weingarten Realty

after the close

Friday 08:30 hrs Empire Manufacturing

Feb ( 0.0 vs -7.8 )

 

09:00 hrs Net Long Term Tic

Flows ( NA vs $ 52.3B )

 

09:15 hrs Industrial Production

Jan ( 0.2% vs 0.3% )

Capacity Utilization ( 78.9% vs 78.8% )

 

09:55 hrs Michigan Sentiment

( 73.5 vs 73.8 )

 

Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals

Dollar strength created headwinds for the markets last week as the Dow fell below the 14,000 benchmark to close slightly lower at 13,992.97. Basic Materials, off 0.05% and Telecommunications down 0.35% still were the only two losers out of the Ten Dow Industrial Groups. Consumer Goods rose 0.91%; Technology, buoyed by Apple gained 0.61%. Industrials continued positive up 0.47%; Consumer Services added 0.31%; Financials 0.24%; Oil and Gas gained 0.19%. Both Health Care and Utilities gained 0.18%.

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

The Trade deficit narrowed to -$38.5Bln in December from -$48.6Bln in November, the lowest deficit since December 2010. U.S. Petroleum exports soared to $ 11.63 Bln, up 1,0565% from December 1999.Petroleum imports fell 11% to $ 30.3 Bln down 21% from a year earlier. Hydraulic fracturing or fracking has unlocked more deep oil reserves as well as more natural gas, which is a cheap source of energy reducing demand for foreign supplies. Total imports fell $6.2Bln to $ 224.9Bln in December from $231.1Bln November.

Productivity fell 2.0% in the 4th Qtr after having increased to an upwardly revised 3.2% from 2.9% in the third quarter. This was the first decline in productivity since the first Qtr 2012. Unit Labor costs catapulted 4.5% in the 4th Qtr after having declined 2.3% in the 3rd Qtr.

 

Market Strategies Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1498-1505                 

Resistance S&P 500           1528-1535

 

Support Levels DOW        13815-13895            

Resistance DOW               14150-14198

 

Support Levels QQQ           6700-6740

Resistance QQQ                  6889-69-20                  

                   

Support Levels Nasdaq      3157                           

Resistance Nasdaq             3438                                    

 

Market Strategies Cycles

The S&P 500 has rallied from 1398.11 Dec 31st to 1513.1 ( +8.2% ) and the Dow from 13,104.14 to 14,009.49 for the week ended February 1st  ( +6.9% ) and the first five weeks of the year.

Devised by Yale Hirsch in 1972, the January Barometer has registered only seven major errors since 1950 for an 88.9% accuracy ratio. This indicator adheres to propensity that as the S&P 500 goes in January, so goes the year. Of the seven major errors Vietnam affected 1966 and 1968. 1982 saw the start of a major bull market in August. Two January rate cuts and 9/11 affected 2001.The market in January 2003 was held down by the anticipation of military action in Iraq. The second worst bear market since 1900 ended in March of 2009 and Federal Reserve intervention influenced 2010. Including the eight flat years yields a .762 batting average.

 

Once again, technical indicators and sentiment readings are at similar levels to about this time last year and in 2011 and 2010. Markets were struggling at resistance following sizeable gains in a relatively short period of time and sentiment was either excessively bullish or awfully close to it. In each of those years, the market eventually took a breather to overcome the excesses that had built up. In 2010 and 2011 the pullback was more pronounced than the brief dip in 2012 (blue arrows). Shortly thereafter, the market quickly recovered and marched onward and upward to a new recovery high.

 

Barring some truly disastrous event, we still expect a brief pullback from resistance followed by a rally over the next 2-4 months, perhaps to marginally new all-time highs for the DJIA and S&P 500 and NASDAQ 3300. Then debt ceiling, spending cut and sequester politicking are likely to exacerbate bearish seasonal and cyclical forces, conspiring to knock this bull market down off its high horse. If a major debacle is avoided in Washington and the geopolitical environment remains sanguine, then 2013 is likely to be bear free.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

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Rule 17 B Attestations:

*Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought  81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believ the three small penny stocks we represent for a total outlay of $ 9,725 is well worth the risk.

 

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

Phone: (702) 650-3000

Fax: (702) 697-8944

mike@princetonresearch.com

Visit: www.princetonresearch.com

Options Trading Strategies

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