September 22, 2014
Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
Options Trading Newsletter Covering:
Options Trading Strategies
How to trade Options
Stock Options Trading Alerts
Best Stocks To Buy September 2014
Top Stocks To Buy
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Over 284% Gains In 2013
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In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479
Over 284% Returns
A $10,000 Portfolio would be worth $38,479
The last 3 years our gains have gotten progressively greater year over year.
284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013
171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012
77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)
Options Trading Newsletter
Options Trading Strategies
$10,000 Trading Account
Traders Comments
There are 3 Open Positions:
FCX October 35 Calls
LVLT October 48 Calls and
WFM October 39 Calls
Funds in Use $ 528
Gain for the Week $ 539
Gain for the Year $ 10,065
Over 100% YTD Return
Options Trading Strategies
$10,000 Trading Account
Traders Comments
WEEK 37 TAKES US OVER 100% YTD
As I’ve mentioned repeatedly, I am wary of this markets ability to continue straight up.
The Alibaba IPO on Friday took an awful lot of buying power away as we traded 272 MILLION shares or roughly $24.5 Billion worth of stock (basis $90/share). Based on the close on Friday @ $93.89 it was up almost 40%. One of the main reasons (in my opinion) is the fact that there are no ETFs that will be big buyers since BABA is not in any of the major indexes at this time.
While that might change in the future, the only way to play Alibaba is to trade the stock.
While the S&P500 was fractionally lower of Friday, it has still closed at another new all-time high on a weekly basis. Followers of Dow Theory get another confirmation with both the Industrials and Transports making new highs. That doesn’t necessarily mean we go higher today, it just confirms the continuing Bull market. A normal and expectable pullback of 2-5% would conform to the way this market has corrected for the last 4 years.
Some of the issues that can change literally overnight are geopolitical. Are we getting involved in several new conflicts? Are we now siding with those who were our enemies 6 months ago?
After listening to the Sunday morning shows I’ve come to the conclusion that the answers to both are yes. When I hear military “advisors” say that we will need much more for much longer to defeat ISIS it doesn’t surprise me…after all, the military is invested in being hawkish….When you are a hammer you’re always looking for a nail….On the other side the politicians say we’re just there to force a “political solution,” and recent history has clearly proven that the terms political and solution are clearly mutually exclusive.
I will continue to look for new positions, but also to utilize less money per position until I see a reason to change that strategy. If we do go higher by another percent or two, I will also buy some “out of the money” S&P and Russell 2000 puts.
…CAM
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Options Trading Strategies
$10,000 Trading Account
Trade Table
New Trades
1) Buy 10 WMT October 77.50 Calls @ $ 0.51
2) Buy 4 HOT October 84.35 Calls @ $ 1.38
| DATE | TRADES | PRICE | COST | PROCEEDS | RESULTS |
| 09/19 | Sold 3 AAPL September 100 Calls | 2.15 | 645 | 216 Gain | |
| 09/19 | Sold 8 JCP October 11 Calls
( 50% Loss Rule ) |
0.28 | 224 | 224 Loss | |
| 09/18 | Sold 6 KR October 52.50 Calls | 0.95 | 570 | 240 Gain | |
| 09/18 | Sold 2 LVLT October 48 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule plus gap up leaving 3 lots long ) |
1.15 | 220 | 120 Gain | |
| 09/17 | Sold 3 WFM October 39 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule plus gap up leaving 3 lots long ) |
1.10 | 330 | 177 Gain | |
| 09/16 | Sold 5 FCX October 35 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule Leaves 5 lots long ) |
0.84 | 420 | 210 Gain | |
| 09/16 | Bought 10 FCX October 35 Calls | 0.42 | 420 | ||
| 09/16 | Bought 8 JCP October 11 Calls | 0.56 | 448 | ||
| 09/15 | Bought 6 KR October 52.50 Calls | 0.55 | 330 | ||
| 09/15 | Bought 6 WFM October 39 Calls | 0.51 | 306 | ||
| 09/15 | Sold 5 CRM September 60 Calls | 0.41 | 205 | 200 Loss | |
| 09/11 | Bought 3 AAPL September 100 Calls | 1.43 | 429 | ||
| 09/10 | Sold 3 WFM September 39 Calls | 0.46 | 138 | 141 Loss | |
| 09/08 | Bought 5 CRM September 60 Calls | 0.81 | 405 | ||
| 08/28 | Bought 5 LVLT October 45 Calls | 0.55 | 275 | ||
| 08/27 | Sold 3 WFM Sept 39 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule ) |
1.86 | 558 | 279 Gain | |
| 08/15 | Bought 6 WFM September 39 Calls | 0.93 | 558 |
Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the
Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.
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MARKET Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect.
| Dow
17,279.74 +1.72% |
Nasdaq
4579.79 +12.19 |
S&P 500
2010.40 +24.86 +1.25% |
Transportation
8633.83 +81.55 +0.95% |
Russell 2000
1146.92 -1.18% |
Nasdaq 100
4100.09 +30.76 +0.76% |
| Gold (spot)
1215.30 -14.6 -1.2% |
Silver (July)
1784.4 -76.2 -4.1% |
Crude
92.41 +0.14 +0.07% |
Heating Oil
271.66 -2.39 -0.9% |
Unleaded Gas
2.5270 +0.0539 +2.1% |
Natural Gas
3.837 -0.020 -0.5% |
| VIX
12.11 -1.20 -0.09% |
Put/Call Ratios
S&P 100 89/100’s -50/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios
CBOE Equity 60/100’s 0/100’s |
Bonds
136-19 + 24 3.28% -0.05% |
10 Yr. Note
124-00 + 002 2.58% -0.01% |
Copper
309.15 -1.50 -0.3% |
| CRB Inflation
Index 279.40 –2.50 -0.9% |
B9arron’s Confidence
69.7% +1.0% |
S&P100
897.09 14.02 +1.59% |
5 Yr. Note
117-297 -015 1.81% +0.01%
|
Dollar
84.74 +0.57 +0.7% |
DJ Utilities
556.91 +7.27 +1.32% |
| AAII
Confidence Index |
Bullish
42.2% +1.8% |
Bearish
23.0% -3.6% |
Neutral
34.8% +1.8%
|
M1 Money Supply
+11.90% Sept. 8th |
M-2 Money
Supply +6.56% Sept. 8th |
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1998
Resistance S&P 500 2020
Support Levels DOW 16,870
Resistance DOW 17,040
Support Levels QQQ 98.95
Resistance QQQ 101.20
Support Levels NASDAQ 4565
Resistance NASDAQ 4690
The S&P returned to fill a gap from the ebullient opening of August 19th recovered to 2011, retraced to 1980 and then rallied to new record highs at 2019.26 before closing at 2010.40. The DJ Transportation has been the strongest of all indexes leading the way to a new all-time high of 8714.94. The Dow also made new all-time highs at 17,350.
Technical Indicators are lagging behind indicating an overbought condition.
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New Stock Recommendations $100,000 Portfolio
Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.
| Stock | Purchase Price | Purchase Date | Stop/Loss | Price/Date Sold | Profit/(Loss) | ||||
| FCX 150 | 34.99 | 09/09 | |||||||
| AUXL 200 | 18.55 | 08/29 | |||||||
| GALE 1500 | 3.05 | 08/11 | |||||||
| GRPN 500 | 6.35 | 07/31 | |||||||
| BCRH 300 | 19.45 | 07/10 | 17.55 sco | ||||||
| NBG 300 | 2.95 | 05/19 | |||||||
| XRGYF 5000* | 0.407 | 03/14 | |||||||
| OSIR 300 | 15.94 | 02/13 | 14.12 09/04/14 | ( $ 546 ) | |||||
| GRPN 500 | 10.40 | 01/28 | |||||||
| RPTP 400 | 15.37 | 01/16 | |||||||
| AA 300 | 10.06 | 01/10 | |||||||
| WLT 300 | 16.22 | 12/23 | 4.09 09/15/14 | ( $ 3,639 ) | |||||
| GSG 150 | 32.64 | 12/23 | 32.21 sco | ||||||
| NBG 300 | 4.08 | 8/12 | |||||||
| TEXQY* 200 | 6.56 | 7/11 | |||||||
| NBG 300 | 12.10 | 5/23 | |||||||
| HL 1000 | 4.10 | 3/04 | 2.64 sco | ||||||
| AAPL 35 | 76.85 | 11/08/12 | |||||||
| REPR* 5000 | 0.22 | 10/22/12 | .12 sco | ||||||
Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.
Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Recommendations And Overall Comments
New Options Trades:
1) Buy 20 WMT October 77.50 Calls @ $ 0.51
2) Buy 8 HOT October 84.35 Calls @ $ 1.38
There were seven traded and closed out option positions last week
causing a nice gain of $ 1,138
Charles has continued a “hot” hand during the difficult months of August and September.
He has done very well with Apple, LVLT, WFM, the TBT and Kroger.
A stock purchase of Auxilium Pharmceuticals was bought at $ 18.55 and now resides at $ 31.14.a gain of 66%.
He took a bad loss in WLT, a beleaguered coal stock during this dismal period of dollar strength and commodity weakness.
We now have three options positions long.
For the full year now we have gains of $ 25,306.
Open position losses have been reduced to $ 5,174.
NBG has been costly but hopefully, Europe will get beyond geopolitical headwinds and will be roaring back . The earthquake in California has put a damper on BCRH.
We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American (NAT), BCRH and JP Morgan.
The Stock table has the following 17 positions:
AA, AAPL, AUXL, BCRH, FCX, GALE, GRPN (2) , GSG,
HL, NBG (3), REPR, RPTP, TEXQY, XRGYF
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated. Each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical
$ 100,000 and are using
$ 58,811 in 17 stock positions plus
$ 1001 in three options positions totaling
$ 59,812 with
$ 40,188 in cash.
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
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Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the Market Strategies
$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
- When the option has doubled sell half the position
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
| Option | Cost | Date | Sold | Date | Profit/(Loss) |
| JCP Oct 11
16 lots |
Calls
0.56 |
09/16/14 | 0.28
( 50% Loss Rule ) |
09/19/14 | ( $ 448 ) |
| FCX Oct 35
20 lots 10 lots remain |
Calls
0.42 |
09/16/14 | 0.84
Sold Half on 100% Profit Rule |
09/16/14 | $ 420 |
| WFM Oct 39
12 lots 6 lots open |
Calls | 09/15/14 | 1.10
Sold half on 100% Profit Rule plus Gap |
09/17/14 | $ 354 |
| KR Oct 52.50
12 lots |
Calls
0.55 |
09/15/14 | 0.95 | 09/18/14 | $ 480 |
| AAPLSept100
6 lots |
Calls
1.43 |
09/11/14 | 2.15 | 09/19/14 | $ 432 |
| CRM Sept 60
10 lots |
Calls
0.81 |
09/08/14 | 0.41
( 50% Loss Rule ) |
09/15/14 | ( $ 400 ) |
| LVLT Oct 45
10 lots 5 lots remain |
Calls
0.55 |
08/28/14 | 1.15
Sold half on 100% Profit Rule plus Gap |
09/18/14 | $ 300 |
Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.
Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
This Weeks’ Economic Numbers and Media Data
| Monday | 10:00 hrs Existing Home Sales August ( 5.2 Mln vs 5.15 Mln )
Jason Furman, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers heads to NYC to NY University to talk about business-tax reform. |
| Tuesday | 09:00 hrs FHFA Housing Price Index July ( NA vs 0.4% )
Prez Obama visits NYC for two days. |
| Wednesday | 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 09/20 ( NA vs +7.9% )
10:00 hrs New Home Sales Aug ( 435K vs 412K ) 10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 09/20 ( NA vs +3.67Mln Bbls ) Rosh Hashanah, Jewish New Year begins in the evening. |
| Thursday | 08:30 hrs Initial Claims 09/20 ( 300K vs 280K )
08:30 hrs Continuing Claims 09/13 ( 2470K vs 2429K ) 08:30 hrs Durable Goods Orders Aug ( -16.3% vs 22.6% ) Durable Goods –exTransportation ( 0.7% vs -0.7% from-0.8% ) 10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 09/20 ( NA vs 90 bcf ) |
| Friday | 08:30 hrs GDP-Third Estimate
10:00 hrs Leading Indicators Aug ( 0.4% vs1.1% revised from 0.9% ) |
Market Strategies Fundamentals
It was an exciting week with two major events:
1) The Fed Policy Discussion and not to be outdone
2) Alibaba ( BABA: $ 93.89 ) which had a very successful debut.
The Fed remained accommodative which is what the markets expected and created further advances for large capitalization stocks which have easy access to commercial paper and large amounts of funds at low rates. The Dow, which of course houses the best named largest cap stocks rose 292 points or 1.7% to 17,279.74, a new record-high close.
Next in line was the Dow Jones Transportation average ( DJT: 8633.83 ) + 81.55 or 0.95% followed by the S&P 500 ( SPY: 2010.40 ) + 24.86 or 1.25%. which was actually lower on the day closing below Thursday’s record close by 0.96th of a point.
The events are somewhat the result of the accessibility to capital, far easier and much cheaper for the big companies. Mid Cap stocks represented by the MidCap 400 Index Fund ( IJH: 141.96 ) -0.29 was down for he week. The thirteen day moving average remains well above at roughly 143 which is the resistance level.
Market Strategies Economic Data
Leading Indicators rose for August just 0.2% below expectations of a 0.4% increase following the upwardly revised 1.1% reading for July. Building Permits for August were a disappointment
The difference between what was expected and what was reported can be traced directly to the building permits contribution, which subtracted 0.18 percentage points in August. The biggest contributions in August came from the ISM New Orders Index and the interest rate spread.
They added 0.23 and 0.26 points, respectively.
Other measures were little changed, including nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft and new orders for consumer goods and materials, which were estimated by the Conference Board. Upward revisions to nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft and new orders for consumer goods and materials accounted for the bulk of the upward revision to the July reading.
The Coincident Index increased 0.2% in August after a 0.1% increase in July. Coincident Indicators are a simultaneous measure of business activity indicating the current state of the economy.
There are four categories:
1) Nonagricultural Employment
2) Personal Income
3) Industrial production and
4) Manufacturing and Trade Sales in constant dollars.
There are 10 leading Indicators which are listed in the table below and 7 Lagging Indicators.
Lagging Indicators are:
- Prime rate
- CPI
- Loans outstanding
- Ratio of Inventory to Sales
- Duration of Unemployment
- Labor Cost increases
- The ratio of Consumer Installment credit to personal income.
Coincident Indicators gaining on Lagging is of course positive going forward.
The Conference Board indicated the current behavior of the composite indexes and their components suggest the expansion in economic activity should continue, but that the pace of growth may moderate in the near-term.
| Category Leading Indicators | AUG | JUL | JUN | MAY | APR |
| Total Index | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Manufacturing Workweek | 0.00 | -0.06% | -0.06% | 0.19% | -0.06% |
| Initial Claims | -0.11% | 0.24% | -0.05% | 0.016% | -0.04% |
| Consumer. Goods Orders | 0.00% | 0.14% | 0.07% | 0.08% | -0.02% |
| ISM New Orders | 0.23 | 0.16% | 0.07% | 0.03% | -0.01% |
| Nondef. Cap Gds Orders, exc. Aircraft | -0.01% | -0.03% | 0.21% | -0.06% | -0.04% |
| Building Permits | -0.18% | 0.26% | -0.10% | -0.16% | 0.18% |
| Stock Prices | -0.02% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.00% |
| Leading Credit Index | 0.11% | 0.11% | 0.17% | 0.11% | 0.08% |
| Interest Rate Spread | 0.26% | 0.27% | 0.28% | 0.27% | 0.29% |
| Consumer Expectations | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00 |
Market Strategies Economic Cycles
Business performs best when there is little or no government involvement. We are over regulated as it is. Many in the government have never worked a private job with capitalist pressures. There is something to be said for limiting government activity in the private sector. The reality is over the years the market has performed best under Republican Congresses and even better with a Democratic President.
As you can see in the chart below, since 1949 DJIA has averaged 16.8% when Republicans control Congress and 19.5% when they have to work with a Democratic President. So, if the early handicapping holds, there is a good chance the Republicans will take back the Senate and firm up control in the House, creating the best potential political alignment.
The market’s resilience in the face of mounting geopolitical concerns throughout the “Worst Months” this year is impressive and suggests that the upcoming “Best Months” could also be above average. But, before the Best Months begin the market still has to navigate weak end-of-Q3 seasonal factors and the frequently troublesome end of September plus the month of October. With solid fundamental data and an accommodative Fed at its back, any market dips between now and the end of October are likely to be a great entry point for the next “Best Six Months” cycle.
Undervalued Small Cap Stocks
Target Energy* ( TEX.AX 0.061 Australia ), In the USA, ( TEXQY: $ 5.50 ) a new ADR
This company trading at a nickel could earn more than where it is now trading. Perhaps 7 to 10 cents is in the cards. Their business valuation exceeds market cap.
Leo Motors ( LEOM $ 0.06 )*
Has merged with LGM, a potential to be the Tesla of Asia. We like it now, above its 13-day moving average.
See more about the company at www.leomotors.com ( English Version )
Risk is 2 cents. You will be hearing about a new short- circuit technology very soon. Many new breakthroughs in electric energy are coming!
Cleveland BioLabs, Inc ( CBLI $ 0.40 )*
Just imagine the catastrophe if radioactive material falls into the wrong hands. The Russians have invested heavily in this. CBLI is involved in the development of Entolimod, which is being developed as radiation countermeasure and a potential cancer treatment, and Curaxin CBL0137, the lead oncology product candidate.
The company conducts business in the United States and in the Russian Federation through our three operating subsidiaries, Incuron, LLC, BioLabs 612, LLC and Panacela Labs, Inc. The company maintains strategic relationships with the Cleveland Clinic, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, and the Children’s Cancer Institute Australia.
To learn more about Cleveland BioLabs, Inc., please visit the Company’s website at http://www.cbiolabs.com.
Cleveland BioLabs (CBLI) Announces
Green Light to Submit
Pre-Emergency Use Authorization Application for Entolimod
45%+ Upward Movement Week — See Report
Labor Smart ( LTNC: $ 0.15 ) Buy on a stop close only at $ 0.18 cents.
We need a close above the 13 day moving average to generate a buy signal. The company is growing fast having operated for less than three years and projecting $ 25-27 million in revenues. August revenue was a whopping $ 2.6 million. The company added 289 customers in the last quarter.
Stocks to buy on a September dip:
| Symbol | Name | Business Description | PE | P/S | MV mln | Price | Buy Limit | Stop Loss |
| APT | Alpha Pro Tech | Medical Disposables | 18 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 2.59 | 2.42 | 2.21 |
| IIIN | Insteel industries | Metal fabrication | 29 | 0.7 | 411 | 22.44 | 21.22 | 18.50 |
| KR | Kroger | Retail Food | 17 | 0.24 | 24.6K | 50.30 | 48.90 | 46 |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil | Energy | 13.4 | 1.1 | 420K | 98.50 | 94.40 | 89 |
| UAL | United Cont Hld | Transportation | 16 | 1.2 | 18.1K | 48.46 | 46 | 43 |
| CAT | Caterpillar | Construction | 18.24 | 0.46 | 67.4K | 107.31 | 104.60 | 101 |
| WFM | Whole Foods | Healthy Foods | 25.7 | 0.98 | 13.9K | 38.55 | 37.15 | 31 |
| BELFB | Bell Fuse Inc B | Electronics | 9.5 | 0.74 | 276 | 23.26 | 23 | 21.50 |
| SPXU | Ultra Short S&P | Hedge purposes | 44.74 | 43.20 | 41 | |||
| VXX | VIX Volatility | Hedge Portfolio | 27.70 | 27.10 | 26 | |||
| SAN | Banco Santander | World Banking | 18 | 2.73 | 118.6K | 9.75 | 9.30 | 8.50 |
Highlighted numbers indicate execution
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Rule 17B Attestations and Disclaimers
Princeton Research, Inc. has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for Investor relations. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton has been paid $ 2,500 to write a report on Xinergy. Princeton has signed a contract with CBLI to be paid $ 2500 for July and August. for investor relations. Princeton has been engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. Princeton was paid about 500,000 restricted shares of Leo Motors.
When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities.
We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.05 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 900 U.S. ADR’s.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King
(702) 650-3000
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street,
Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Fax: (702) 697-8944
Visit: www.PrincetonResearch.com
how to trade options