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Long 6 VRX April 12.50 Calls
Long 3 XOM April
Funds in Use $ 1,796
Week 13 had a small gain of $14, although it was generated by our XOM 4/82 calls position which also has an additional open gain. We have 4 open positions including the XOM, GS, VRX, and OIH. Total funds in use are $1,796 and YTD gains are $2,695.
The week was a series of gains, but divergent in itself. While the Transports had a gain of just over 2%, the Industrials were only up 0.32%. While the S&P was higher by only 0.80% the Russell was 2.3% higher. As discussed last month, this represents the continuing rotation in the appetite of investors that change not quarter to quarter or even month to month, but almost weekly. While the market bounced off its Monday low and rallied to close over 250 higher, the A.A.I.I. sentiment numbers continued to fall on the bullish side and are now back down (page 3) by 5.1% and are again 22% under long term average while the bearish number grew by 6.9% and is over 20% the average. These are not absolute predictors, but it is rare to have a major correction in either direction without excessive numbers. Right now we continue to have sharp (generally news related) selloffs and after a short consolidation, returns to new highs. As long as we don’t get excessively bullish (high 40’s) it’s unlikely to happen.
Beyond that, the geopolitical environment seems to be under control. Just after the election I said that Trump would make mistakes on the unintended consequences of his actions and that has happened to some extent. However, the upside is that any even minor gains he makes or accomplishments reinvigorates both his base and the markets. While Trump is at best naïve, and definitely out of his depth in the ways of Washington, he has been successful in several distinctly different and diverse areas of business, and frankly the D.C. learning curve is a lot steeper than anything he has encountered. To dismiss his ability to learn and even excel would be a huge mistake, and it seems like this market is still leaning towards the positive at every turn.
My humble opinion is that with or without the “nuclear option” in the Senate rules, he will get his Supreme Court approval for Gorsuch and will focus on winnable, bipartisan issues in the near future. If so, the market could roar ahead.
If the current stabilization in oil continues and the US$ and 10yr treasuries remain in their current trading ranges this only adds fuel to the fire…CAM
Investing Trade Alerts Summary
$10,000 Trading Account Trade Table
|03/31||Bought 10 OIH April 31.50 Calls||0.43||430|
|03/30||Sold 3 XOM April 82 Calls
( 100% Profit Rule )
|03/27||Bought 4 GS April 232.50 Calls||1.51||604|
|03/27||Bought 6 XOM April 82 Calls||0.74||444|
|03/27||Sold 10 NUGT March 31st 9.50 Calls
( 50% Loss Rule )
|03/17||Bought 10 NUGT March 31st 9.50 Calls||0.45||450|
|03/13||Bought 6 VRX April 12.50 Calls||0.90||540|
3rd Week expiration when the month is listed without a date
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the
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Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
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Results From Our Recent Trade Alerts:
105% Profits on XOM Calls in 3 Days
50% Loss on NUGT Calls in 10 Days
50% Loss on SJM Calls in 7 Days
117% Profits on GLD Calls in 3 days
50% Loss on GLD Calls in 20 days
62% Profits on XOM Calls in 20 days
50% Loss on HL Calls in 2 Days
50% Profits on PFE Calls in 2 Days
50% Loss on SPY Puts in 2 Days
50% Loss on TWTR Calls in 8 Days
31% Profits TWTR Calls in 2 Days
316% Profits on MOS Calls in 13 Days
154% Profits on MOS Calls in 11 Days
100% Profits on MOS Calls in 8 Days
50% Loss on FB Puts in 3 Days
47% Loss on K Calls in 2 Days
87% Profits on AMZN Calls in 2 Days
96% Profits on K Calls in 17 Days
16% Profits on HOG Calls in 8 Days
108% Profits on MOS Calls in 16 Days
91% Profits on MOS Calls in 15 Days
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