Market Strategies Investing Newsletter – December 9, 2013

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Read the .pdf format December 9, 2013 

Market Strategies Investing Newsletter 

Balanced Investing Strategies Where To Invest Now Newsletter

Options Trading Investing Strategies

December 9, 2013

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue 

Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

 

Market Strategies Stock Options Trading

$10,000 Account

There are four open positions:

 

CSCO Dec $24 Calls;

EMC Jan $23 Calls;

NBG Jan 2015, $7 Calls

WTW Dec $32.50 Calls

 

Funds in Use $ 2,362

Market Strategies Stock Options Trading

$10,000 Account Traders Comments

We had a loss this week of $633 on positions in XCO and FDO based on getting stopped out on 50% down rules prior to the strong rally that came with the “Goldilocks” good jobs number Friday morning.

Unfortunately for us, XCO, which is primarily a natural gas play didn’t participate since it is doing a rights offering and so it fell to just below $5, the strike price on the deal. 

This brings our

YTD performance back down to $29,636

Returns of over 296%

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only! 

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The move up breaks the market out of a well needed (but very short term) rest from this great rally we have had since early October.  What I found to be very interesting is that Friday’s moves ignored many of the momentum stocks, including but not limited to social media.

Real bull markets feature rotation of groups and this really fills the bill on that issue.

Transports held the lows of early November even in the face of strong oil and the basic materials showed some recovery even though housing stocks were soft.  While financials had some negative news about further cash settlements, this lynchpin industry looks technically ready to resume its participation.

There only one new position tonight, but I will be watching for continued strength to add trades as the opportunities arise

…CAM

Market Strategies Stock Options Trading Chart

$10,000 Account

New Trades

Buy 4 Jan 18th, 2014 TBT 79 Calls @ 2.05 OB  ( or better )

DATE

TRADES

PRICE COST PROCEEDS RESULTS
12/06

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Special Subscribers Offer

Click Here

      1.23

738

192 Gain

12/06  

      1.32

792

12/06  

      0.17

255

$ 525 Loss

12/05  

      0.91

546

12/03  

      0.60

240

$ 300 Loss

11/25  

      0.90

11/22  

      0.52

780

11/18  

      1.35

540

11/11  

      0.58

1160

10/18  

      0.45

450

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

Dow

16,020.20

-66.21

-0.41%

Nasdaq

4062.52

+2.63

+0.06%

S&P 500

1805.09

-0.72

-0.04%

Transportation

7200.41
-35.28

-0.49%

Russell 2000

1131.38

-11.51

        -1.01%

Nasdaq 100

3504.26

16.44

+0.47%

Gold (spot)

1230.30

-20.30

          -1.6%

Silver (Dec )

  1952.3

 -51.0

  -2.6%

Crude

  97.65

+4.93

  +5.3%

Heating Oil

305.65

2.57

+0.8%

Unleaded Gas

  2.7269

+0.0641

  +2.4%

Natural Gas

  4.114

 +.16

   +4.0%

VIX

 13.79

+0.09

   +0.7%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

113/100’s

 +29/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

 55/100’s

 1/100’s

Bonds

128-29 -1-27

 3.917% +0.21%

10 Yr Note

124-07 -1-05

  2.88% +0.13

Copper

324.85

+4.35

  +1.4%

CRB Inflation

Index

 278.66

 +3.69

 -1.3%

Barron’s Confidence

 73.3%

 +0.6%

S&P100

805.75

-0.61

 -0.08%

5 Yr Note

120-067

-227

1.505%

+0.16

Dollar

80.26

-0.42

 -0.05%

DJ Utilities

490.29

+3.16

+0.65%

AAII

Confidence

Index

Bullish

  42.6%

-4.7%

Bearish

 27.6%

 -0.7%

Neutral

29.8

 +5.4%

M1 Money  Supply

+10.69%

November 25th

M-2 Money

Supply

+6.53%

November 25th

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

 New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated. 

Stock Purchase Price Purchase Date Stop/Loss   Price/Date Sold   Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Special Subscribers Offer

Click Here

12.14

11/20

12.71sco

sco= stop close only

 
 

2.55

11/18

2.51sco

 
 

1.58

11/04

1.18X

X= stop

 
 

15.40

9/19

15.42sco

 
 

16.20

9/13

$ 17.32 12/03

$ 224.00

 
 

14.41

8/28

15.42sco

 
 

13.37

8/23

15.42sco

 
 

19.52

8/19

 
 

15.05

8/19

 
 

4.08

8/12

 
 

6.56

7/11

 
 

12.10

5/23

 
 

20.35

5/09

 
 

22.20

4/22

 
 

4.10

3/04

2.64sco

 
 

48.60

11/26/12

 
 

538

11/08/12

 
 

636

10/9/12

 
 

.25
.225

3/12/12
3/12/12

.08 sco
.08 sco

 
 

0.22

10/22/12

.12 sco

 

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscribers Members Area.

For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

New Trades:

1) Buy 8 Jan 18th TBT 79 Calls @ 2.05

 

We lost $ 1266 in closed out positions last week

decreasing our profits for the year to a hypothetical $ 60,537

 

Returns of Over 60%

 

not counting open positions losses of about $ 11,146.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple and JP Morgan.

We have four long options positions:

The Stock table has the following 20 positions:

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

 

We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000

and are using $ 4,724 in four options positions and

$ 75,344 in 20 stock positions

totaling $ 80,098 with
$ 19,902 in cash.

 

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

 

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out.
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

Option

COST

Date

Sold

Date

Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Special Subscribers Offer

Click Here

Calls        1.32

12/06/13

 

Calls        0.91

12/ 05/13

1.23

12/06/13

$ 384

 

Calls        0.90

11/25/13

 

Puts         5.20

11/25/13

2.30

11/29/13

( $ 1160 )

 

Calls        0.52

11/22/13

0.17

12/06/13

( $ 1050 )

 

Calls        1.35

11/18/13

0.60

12/03/13

( $ 600 )

 

Calls        0.58

11/11/13

 

Calls        0.45

10/18/13

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

This Weeks’ Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

Monday NO Major Economic Reports

James Bullard of the St Louis Fed will discuss U.S. monetary policy and the economy.

Tuesday 10:00 hrs Wholesale Inventories Oct ( 0.3% vs 0.4% )

10:00 hrs JOLTS Job Openings Oct ( NA vs 3.913Mln )

Wednesday 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 12/07 ( NA vs -12.8% )

10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 12/07 ( NA vs -5.585Mln Bbls )

14:00 hrs Treasury Budget Nov ( NA vs -$172.1B )

Thursday KB Homes ( 0.47 vs 0.10 ) Worthington ( 0.54 vs 0.45 )

08:30 hrs Initial Unemployment Claims 12/07 ( 315K vs 298K )

Continuing Claims 11/30 ( 2750K vs 2744K )

08:30 hrs Retail Sales Nov ( 0.6% vs 0.4% )

Ex-Auto ( 0.3% vs 0.2% )

08:30 hrs Export Prices Ex – Oil  ( NA vs -0.0% )

Import Prices Ex- Ag   ( NA vs -0.4% )

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 12/07 ( No Estimates )

Friday Blackberry ( BBRY -0.42 ) NiKE ( NKE 0.58 vs 1.14 )  and Walgreens ( .73 vs 0.58 ) Report earnings before the opening

08:30 hrs PPI Nov ( -0.1% vs -0.2% )

CORE PPI ( 0.1% vs 0.2% )

 

 

Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals

The very strong employment report wasn’t enough to reverse a sharply lower Dow and S&P to remain lower for the first week out of nine. The Transportation and Russell Indexes also suffered small losses while the technology loaded Nasdaq made a new weekly high at 4,069.86 slightly higher than the previous week’s high of 4,069.70 but closed at 4,062.52 vs 4,059.89 the previous week, a new yearly high. The all-time high was 4,698.46, Feb 29th 2000.

 

Last week, Utilities were the best Dow performer up a modest 0.86% while the worst was Consumer Services, off 0.96%. technology was up 0.83%; Consumer Goods gained a smallish 0.38%. Telecommunications fell 0.88%. The remaining five groups Oil and Gas, Basic Materials, Financials, Industrials and Health Care were relatively unchanged.

 

Health Care is the number one sector this year up 38%. Nearly 40,000 Americans turn 65 every week. Health care was basically unchanged last week but should close strong going into the new year.

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

The Institute of Supply Management Report increased to 57.3 in November from 56.4 in October, the best reading since April 2011. Exports are up, imports modest to down while costs have been modest to lower igniting the best profit opportunities in years. Production levels accelerated as the rekated index increased to 62.8 in November from 60.8 in October. New Orders skyrocketed 3.0 points to 63.6. Baclogs remain at elevated levels increasing to 54.0 from 51.5 in October. The Employment Index increased to 56.5 in November from 53.2 in October.

Market Strategies Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1778

Resistance S&P 500           1821

 

Support Levels DOW          15,764

Resistance DOW                 16,194

 

Support Levels QQQ           84.36                  

Resistance QQQ                  86.85

                  

Support Levels Nasdaq      3964

Resistance Nasdaq             4097

                              

Market Strategies Cycles

Tax loss selling is a major factor for December trading which often causes stocks to be weaker the first half of the month. Last Monday’s DJIA decline triggered the seventh Down Friday/Down Monday (DF/DM) warning of 2013. Since 2000, DJIA has registered 149 DF/DM occurrences, in all but three occasions; DJIA was lower sometime in the next 90 calendar days. Declines have begun immediately in some cases and later in others. Declines have been greatest during bear markets while being milder in bull markets. Fed QE has also mitigated declines this year.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY

MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES

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Disclaimer – Rule 17 B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe the two small penny stocks ( REPR and AIVN ) we represent for a total outlay of $ 4,725 is well worth the risk. The Target ADR trades at about $ 5.90 in U.S. vs 0.065 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s.

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King (702) 650-3000

mike@princetonresearch.com

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

 

Phone: (702) 650-3000

 

Fax: (702) 697-8944

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