Market Strategies
Covering High Return Balanced Investing Success Strategies For
Stocks ■ Bonds ■ Interest Rates ■
Natural Resources ■ Currencies ■
Venture Capital ■ Gold
Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Bill Chippas, Charles Moskowitz
November 21, 2012
Market Strategies
Guide to Successful Trading
Read Pdf Version CLICK HERE
Special Note: Charles Moskowitz appeared for an interview at StockLegends.com. http://www.stocklegends.com , we urge everyone to listen to the interview now available on our website at:
http://www.princetonresearch.com/princeton-research-featured-on-investment-news-show/
We have been asked to help those who do not wish to make a $100,000 commitment to an account to scale back the initial investment to a $10,000 account.
We are answering this request with an account that will only trade options. However, in order to take full advantage to this new account, you really need to also subscribe to our Texting service. There is no cost involved, but in order to receive all of the trading suggestions, in a high volatility environment, we need to communicate more often than weekly.
To subscribe, simply TEXT the word UPDATES to 69302
and you will automatically be included.
$10,000 OPTIONS ONLY ACCT:
New Trades for this week:
The $10,000 Options Only account lost $1286 last week, its twenty fifth week of trading.
We came into the week with a balance of $12,480.00 and with the loss last week reduced gains to $11,194.00.
One position remains: the AAPL Dec 400 Calls.
The Open position is highlighted in the options table below.
Approximately $ 1240 funds are in use, This was a particularly difficult week. The action was driven by overnight news in the Eurozone…As happened here in 2008, the sellers in Europe are moving from country to country as they moved from bank to bank here…Fundamentally, the news this week was VERY positive but the tail is still wagging the dog. Since this is a short and under-attended week, and the fact that I will be traveling Sunday-Monday, there will be no positions added unless exceptional opportunities present themselves…Text users will be updated. The AAPL stop is $3.10 (50% Down Rule) and I believe it will probably be hit Monday unless we have some positive news. Have a good Thanksgiving…CAM
Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
TEXT MESSAGE TRADE ALERTS SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
TEXT the word UPDATES to 69302 To Get In Now
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in the November 14, November 7, October 31, October 24, October 17, and October 10 issues.
DATE |
TRADE |
PRICE |
COST |
PROCEEDS |
RESULTS |
11/17 |
Sold 4 SPY December 128 Calls (50% Rule) |
1.35 |
|
540 |
(536) |
11/17 |
Sold 10 BAC December 6 Calls (50% Rule) |
.38 |
|
380 |
(370) |
11/15 |
Bought 4 SPY December 128 Calls |
2.69 |
1076 |
|
|
11/14 |
Sold 5 TZA November 30 Calls |
1.78 |
|
890 |
250 |
11/14 |
Bought 2 AAPL December 400 Calls |
6.20 |
1240 |
|
|
11/14 |
Sold 6 JAZZ November 36 Puts (50% Rule gap down) |
.40 |
|
240 |
(630) |
11/11 |
Bought 5 TZA November 30 Calls |
1.28 |
640 |
|
|
11/11 |
Sold 20 ZSL November 13 Calls (50% Rule) |
.15 |
|
300 |
(400) |
11/11 |
Sold 15 IBM November 190 Calls |
.62 |
|
930 |
270 |
11/10 |
Sold 4 JEF December 12 Calls (50 % Rule) |
.90 |
|
360 |
(360) |
11/10 |
Bought 20 ZSL November 13 Calls |
.35 |
700 |
|
|
11/10 |
Sold 20 ZSL November 12 Calls |
.50 |
|
1000 |
300 |
11/9 |
Bought 15 IBM November 190 Calls |
.44 |
660 |
|
|
11/8 |
Bought 20 ZSL November 12 Calls |
.35 |
700 |
|
|
11/8 |
Sold 5 APA November 105 Calls |
2.00 |
|
1000 |
310 |
11/7 |
Bought 5 APA November 105 Calls |
1.38 |
690 |
|
|
11/7 |
Sold 5 TLT November 117 Calls |
2.60 |
|
1300 |
445 |
11/7 |
Sold 4 TZA November 32 Calls |
2.32 |
|
928 |
156 |
11/7 |
Bought 10 BAC December 6 Calls |
.75 |
750 |
|
|
11/7 |
Bought 5 TLT November 117 Calls |
1.71 |
855 |
|
|
11/4 |
Bought 4 TZA November 32 Calls |
1.93 |
772 |
|
|
11/3 |
Bought 4 JEF December 12 Calls |
1.80 |
720 |
|
|
11/2 |
Bought 6 JAZZ November 36 Puts |
1.45 |
870 |
|
|
New trades $ 10,000 account…In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: OPTIONS ONLY: 11 November; 12 December; 1 January:
The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific. For any questions please call 702 650 3000
MArket Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
Dow 11,796.16 -357.52 -2.94% |
Nasdaq 2572.50 -106.25 -3.97% |
S&P 500 1215.65 -48.20 -3.81% |
Transportation 4841.04 -136.94 -2.75% |
Russell 2000 719.42 -25.22 -3.39% |
Nasdaq 100 2253.95 -101.83 -4.32% |
Gold 1725.10 -63.00 -3.52% |
Silver 3241.7 -166.7 -4.89% |
Crude 97.67 -1.32 -1.33% |
Heating Oil 303.25 -13.91 -4.39% |
Unleaded Gas 2.4784 -0.1850 -6.95% |
Natural Gas 3.316 |
VIX 32.00 +1.96 +6.52% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 119/100’s -46/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 80/100
+7/100’s
|
Bonds 142-25 +2-11 3.00% -0.11% |
10 Yr Note 130-10 +0-17 2.01% -0.05% |
Copper 340.20 -6.15 -1.78% |
CRB Inflation Index 312.21 -7.99 -2.5% |
Barron’s Confidence 68.9.% +0.2% |
S&P100 547.80 -19.99 -3.52% |
5 Yr Note 122-30 +0-05 .92% +0.02%
|
Dollar 78.02 +1.11 +1.44% |
DJ Utilities 442.01 -10.90 -2.41% |
AAII Confidence Index |
Bullish 41.9 -2.8% |
Bearish 31.0 +6.5% |
Neutral 27.0% -3.7 %
|
M1 Money Supply +14.6%Nov 7th
|
M-2 Money. Supply +9.6%Nov 7th
|
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2 adds Savings and Money market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
New Stock Recommendations
(A full position is $5,000)
Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.
Stock |
Purchase Price |
Purchase Date |
Stop/Loss |
|
Price/Date Sold |
|
Profit/(Loss) |
USPR * 20,000 |
.13 |
11/09/11 |
|
|
|
||
JVA 500 |
11.13 |
11/7/11 |
9.49X |
9.49 11/10 stopped |
($820) |
||
CDTI 1200 |
3.30 |
11/7/11 |
2.75 sco |
|
|
||
FCH 1300 |
3.41 |
11/711 |
2.79X |
|
|
||
CONN 500 |
8.50 |
10/25/11 |
7.49X |
|
|
||
BBVA 600 |
8.79 |
10/25/11 |
5.50X |
|
|
||
FTWR 5000 |
.96 |
10/24/11 |
.48x |
.48 11/16 stopped |
($2400) |
||
SDS 100 |
25.55 |
10/5/11 |
|
|
|
||
XBOR* |
1.40 |
8/12/11 |
0.70sco |
|
|
||
LEI* |
2.06 |
8/10/11 |
1.03x |
|
|
||
KAJMY |
30.45 |
3/21/11 |
29.60 sco |
|
|
||
LEOM* |
0.30 |
12/17/10 |
0.07sco |
|
|
|
|
Previous closed out positions can be found in the November 7, October 17, October 3, September 19, September 6th, August 15th, August 8th, August 1st and July 18th letters.
Model Portfolio Comments/Changes:
INDEX OPTION RECOMMENDATIONS
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG and SDS, whichgo up when the DOW and S&P 500 go down and down when they go up.
New Stock Option Recommendations
( 1 ) Buy 5 SHLD Dec 65 Puts at $ 3.65
( 2 ) Buy 5 NFLX Dec 70 Puts @ $ 2.00
( 3 ) Buy 10 IBM December 190 Calls @ 2.10
Option and overall Comments
We had a loss last week of $5,335 in a volatile down week. Our gains for the year decreased to
$ 73,295. We have five long options positions remaining, the SPY Calls, ORCL Calls, AAPL Calls,
DD Calls, MMM Calls. The stock table includesten long stock positions: FCH, USPR, CDTI, CONN, BBVA, LEI, KAJMY, LEOM, SDS and XBOR. The SDS is a double inverse SP500 ETF.
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise started, while each stock position requires $ 5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on an hypothetical $ 100,000.00 and are using $12,500 in the options positions and $ 45,000 in the ten long stock positions for a total of $ 57,500 with
$42,500 in cash. This is our 43rd letter for 2011. These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors. If the suggested stocks and options are executed another $ 8,000.00 would be in use.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number…
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the $ 100,000 account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated.
- When the option has doubled sell half the position.
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade.
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic) at the close the previous Friday or at the open on Monday.
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols have changed. We will now use a new terminology. ( stock symbol with expiration month and strike price )
- Subscribers can follow us on Twitter or call 702 650 3000 for up to date information.
Option |
COST |
Date |
Sold |
|
Date |
Profit/(Loss) |
SPYJan 125 10 lots |
Calls 2.50 |
11/17/11 |
|
|
|
|
MMM Jan 85 10 lots |
Calls 2.25 |
11/17/11 |
|
|
|
|
DD Jan 49 14 lots |
Calls 1.75 |
11/17/11 |
|
|
|
|
LULU Dec 55 10 Lots |
Calls 2.50 |
11/16/11 |
1.25 (50% rule) |
11/18/11 |
($ 1250 ) |
|
AAPL Dec 4004 Lots | Calls 6.20 |
11/14/11 |
|
|
|
|
TZA Nov 30 10 Lots |
Calls 1.28 |
11/11/11 |
1.78 |
11/14/11 |
$ 500 |
|
ORCL Dec 32 20 Lots |
Calls 1.25 |
11/10/11 |
|
|
|
|
ZSL Nov 13 40 Lots |
Calls .35 |
11/10/11 |
.15 (50% rule) |
11/11/11 |
($ 800 ) |
|
IBM Nov 190 30 Lots |
Calls .44 |
11/09/11 |
.62 |
11/11/11 |
$ 540 |
|
ZSL Nov 12 40 Lots |
Calls .35 |
11/08/11 |
.50 |
11/10/11 |
$ 600 |
|
APA Nov 105 10 Lots | Calls 1.38 |
11/07/11 |
2.00 |
11/08/11 |
$ 620 |
|
TLT Nov 117 10 lots | Calls 1.71 |
11/07/11 |
2.60 |
11/07/11 |
$ 890 |
|
BA Dec 6 25 lots |
Calls .75 |
11/07/11 |
.38 (50% rule) |
11/17/11 |
( $925 ) |
|
TZA Nov 32 8 lots | Calls 1.93 |
11/04/11 |
2.32 |
11/07/11 |
$ 312 |
|
JEF Dec 12 10 lots |
Calls 1.80 |
11/03/11 |
.90 |
11/10/11 |
( $ 900 ) |
|
JAZZ Nov 36 12 lots |
Puts 1.45 |
11/02/11 |
.40 (50 % rule and gap down) |
11/14/11 |
( $1260 ) |
|
CSCO Jan 20 2012 Put short; longJan20;2013 Call | Put/Call Spread 0.07 |
2/14/11 |
|
|
||
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in the November 7, October 17, October 3, September 19, September 6, August 22, August 8, August 1, July 18, July 11, July 5, June 20, May 16, April 25, April 11, March 21, March 14, March 7, February 21, 2011 February 7, 2011 January 24, 2011, December 20,2010, November 22, 2010, October 11, 2010, September 13, 2010, July 26, 2010, June 14, 2010, May 10, 2010, January 25, 2010, November 23, October 23, August 24, July 20, 2009 newsletters.
This Weeks’ Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday | IMF Board Members discuss the disbursement of Greek aid.Hewlett Packard reports earnings after the close.10:00 hrs Existing Home Sales ( 4.85M vs 4.91M ) |
Tuesday | 08:30 hrs GDP- Second estimate 3rd Qtr ( 2.5% vs Same ) Implicit Price Deflator ( 2.5% vs Same )14:00 hrs FOMC Minutes Nov 2nd meeting |
Wednesday | 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 11/05 ( NA vs -10.0% )08:30 hrs Initial Unemployment Claims 11/19 ( 391K vs 388K ) Continuing Claims 11/12 ( 3620K vs 3608K )
08:30 hrs Oct Personal Income Oct ( 0.3% vs 0.1% ) Personal Spending ( 0.3% vs 0.6% ) PCE Prices ( 0.1% vs 0.1% ) 08:30 hrs Durable Goods Orders Oct ( -1.0% vs -0.6% ) Ex-Transportation ( 0.0% vs 1.8 ) 09:55 hrs Michigan Sentiment Nov 64.2 vs 64.2 ) 10:30 hrs Crude Inventories ( NA vs -1.056Mln bbls ) |
Thursday | THANKSGIVING U.S. Markets Closed |
Friday | Black Friday U.S. Equity Markets close at 1:00PMItaly has auctions of notes and bonds again as traders will be looking at their acceptance. |
Economic Data
Economic numbers were favorable, but dollar strength , weakness in Europe and the budget mess in Washington overtook market sentiment. Unemployment Claims fell to 388K.
Industrial Production soared to +0.7%, well above expectations of +0.4%. Capacity Utilization rose also 77.8% above the 77.7% consensus and more than double September’s meager 77.3%.
Retail Sales continued buoyant, up 0.5%, above the expectations of + 0.4% and without autos factored in gained 0.6%, above September’s revised 0.5%.
Unemployment Claims fell below 390,000 to 388,000 the lowest level of claims since last April. Continuing Claims fell to 3,608 million well below the consensus of 3,658 M. September TIC Flows continue favorable as $ 68.6Billions more of capital ( Treasury notes and bonds as well as corporate stocks and bonds ) flowed into the U.S. up from $ 58 B in August.
October Housing Starts rose to 628K above expectations of 604K , while building Permits increased to 653K vs 589K in September.
Fundamentals ( previous letters may be seen at www.princetonresearch.com)
Stocks collapsed on both dollar strength and Washington uncertainty. Political risk is back in the spotlight on Wall Street as all eyes fall on the Super-committee formed to find solutions to bulging deficits to trim a $ 15 trillion deficit by $ 1.2trillion over the next decade. Answers are due before
Wednesday and looking less likely to the market.
All ten Dow Industrial groups were lower: Basic Materials fell the most, off 6.17%. Oil and Gas lost 5.23% and Financials 5.08%. Technology fell 3.69%; Health Care 3.56% Consumer Services 3.51% and Industrials 3.2%. Telecommunications dropped by 3.14%; Utilities fell 2.08% and Consumer Goods declined 2.01%.
Technical Information
Support Levels: S&P 500 1192; 1169 Resistance S&P 500 1232; 1253
DOW 11,640; 11,500 Resistance DOW 11,920; 12,030
QQQ 5492; 5344 Resistance QQQ 5577; 5653
Nasdaq 2552; 2461 Resistance Nasdaq 2620; 2672
CYCLES
Short term cycles this week suggest a higher market this week, with weakness likely early in the week and strength into the holiday. Historically Early November price levels are maintained or exceeded at the end of November.
Rule 17B requires disclosure of payment for investor relations*
Princeton Research has received about $ 2,500 per month from Lucas ( LEI ) marked with an asterisk. Princeton has been paid for investor relations in the past and has negotiated a contract to be paid 100,000 restricted shares from Leo Motors. Princeton is paid by Baron Energy ( BROE ) to do investor relations in the amount of 300,000 shares. Princeton has also bought separate shares about 327,600 and owns the shares for its own account. USPR paid us 200,000 restricted shares. Cross Border paid us 25,000 restricted shares and we bought and own another 25,000 purchased at higher prices. .
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944
Visit: www.princetonresearch.com
UNSUBSCRIBE
To unsubscribe from this newsletter, please reply to this email with UNSUBSCRIBE in the subject line. We will send you a confirmation upon completing your request.
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.