September 30, 2013
Market Strategies Newsletter
Sample Issue
Covering High Return
Balanced Investing Strategies To
Make Money In Up Or Down Markets
A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)
Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz
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Market Strategies Stock Options Trading
$10,000 Account
There are 3 open positions:
4 WTW Oct 37.50 Calls,
10 DSX Oct 12 Calls and
15 XCO Oct 7 Calls
Funds in Use $ 1,660
Market Strategies Stock Options Trading
$10,000 Account Traders Comments
We had a gain of $1,030 this week
bringing YTD performance up to $26,844
A YTD of Over 268%
and total equity of our $10,000
account to $36,844
The government’s total dysfunction continues to spell trouble again for the coming week…It amazes me that the “voice of the people” means absolutely nothing to our legislators. The lack of willingness to compromise is disgraceful. Their continued fight about Obamacare seems disingenuous since they have already exempted themselves from the program. This behavior is exactly why our debt was downgraded last time around.
To be clear, my comments bear no specific political bent…They all stink…
The markets have done a great job of looking at the taper, interest rates and lack of topline growth and have come to the conclusion that most of it is simply noise. We are at or near highs in the important indexes and the AAII consensus numbers are all around their long term averages.
However, the market has some dubious leadership. The momentum stocks continue to rule the headlines, both up and down…AMZN, PCLN, and TSLA on the upside and with the basic materials, mining, industrial production and financials on the downside. This will have to change in order to see a strong and healthy market again.
…….CAM
Market Strategies Stock Options Trading Chart
$10,000 Account
DATE |
TRADE |
PRICE |
COST |
PROCEEDS |
RESULTS |
9/27 |
This Information Is For Members Only |
0.30 |
|
240 |
280 Loss |
9/26 |
2.90 |
|
870 |
390 Gain |
|
9/26 |
3.20 |
|
960 |
480 Gain |
|
9/26 |
0.13 |
|
260 |
260 Loss |
|
9/26 |
0.65 |
520 |
|
|
|
9/25 |
1.79 |
|
716 |
336 Gain |
|
9/25 |
1.90 |
|
760 |
380 Gain |
|
9/25 |
0.26 |
520 |
|
|
|
9/24 |
1.76 |
|
704 |
216 Loss |
|
9/24 |
0.65 |
650 |
|
|
|
9/23 |
0.30 |
450 |
|
|
|
9/23 |
2.30 |
920 |
|
|
|
9/23 |
0.95 |
760 |
|
|
|
9/20 |
0.90 |
|
900 |
200 Gain |
|
9/17 |
0.70 |
700 |
|
|
|
9/16 |
1.60 |
960 |
|
|
|
9/09 |
1.40 |
560 |
|
|
Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the
Subscriber Members Only
TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.
Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.
We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.
For any questions please call (702) 650 3000.
Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes
Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect
Dow 15,258.24 -192.85 -1.25% |
Nasdaq 3781.59 +6.87 +0.18% |
S&P 500 1691.75 -18.16 -1.06% |
Transportation 6597.59 -1.41% |
Russell 2000 1074.19 +1.36 +0.13% |
Nasdaq 100 3230.30 +5.57 +0.17% |
Gold (spot) 1338.40 +5.90 +0.44% |
Silver (Dec ) 2183.1 -9.6 -0.4% |
Crude 102.87 -1.80 -1.7% |
Heating Oil 298.48 -1.85 -0.6% |
Unleaded Gas 2.6602 -0.0072 -0.3% |
Natural Gas 3.562 -.201 -5.3% |
VIX 15.46 +2.34 +17.8% |
Put/Call Ratios S&P 100 158/100’s +58/100’s |
Put/Call Ratios CBOE Equity 61/100’s +4/100’s
|
Bonds 133-14 +1-24 3.68% -0.08% |
10 Yr Note 126-11 +1-016 2.62% -0.09%
|
Copper 332.95 +0.90 +0.3% |
CRB Inflation Index 286.98 -0.46 -0.2% |
Barron’s Confidence 73.1% -1.1% |
S&P100 753.51 -9.72 -1.27% |
5 Yr Note 120-312 +0-182 1.37% -0.10%
|
Dollar 80.27 -0.16 -0.2% |
DJ Utilities 482.19 -0.65% |
AAII Confidence Index |
Bullish 36.1% -9% |
Bearish 30.6% +0.9% |
Neutral 33.3 +8.1%
|
M1 Money Supply +7.71% September 16th
|
M-2 Money Supply +6.47% September 16th
|
M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits
M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.
New Stock Recommendations
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.
We were stopped last week on ETAK and bought SOHO using a TEXT.
Stock |
Purchase Price |
Purchase Date |
Stop/Loss |
Price/ Date Sold |
Profit/ (Loss) |
This Information Is For Members Only |
4.71 |
9/26 |
|
|
|
15.40 |
9/19 |
|
|
|
|
0.72 |
9/18 |
0.67 STOP |
.67 9/27/13 |
( $ 200 ) |
|
5.09 |
9/17 |
4.60 SCO |
|
|
|
16.20 |
9/13 |
|
|
|
|
1.40 |
9/10 |
1.32 SCO |
|
|
|
10.80 |
9/4 |
|
|
|
|
14.41 |
8/28 |
|
|
|
|
13.37 |
8/23 |
|
|
|
|
14.55 |
8/23 |
|
|
|
|
19.52 |
8/19 |
|
|
|
|
15.05 |
8/19 |
|
|
|
|
6.21 |
8/14 |
|
|
|
|
4.08 |
8/12 |
|
|
|
|
6.56 |
7/11 |
|
|
|
|
12.10 |
5/23 |
|
|
|
|
20.35 |
5/09 |
|
|
|
|
22.20 |
4/22 |
|
|
|
|
4.10 |
3/04 |
|
|
|
|
48.60 |
11/26/12 |
|
|
|
|
538 |
11/08/12 |
|
|
|
|
636 |
10/9/12 |
|
|
|
|
35.27 |
8/31/12 |
|
|
|
|
.25 |
3/12/12 |
.08 sco |
|
|
|
0.22 |
10/22/12 |
.12 sco |
|
|
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past
Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when
gold goes down.
Market Strategies $100,000 Trading Portfolio
Recommendations And Overall Comments
New Trades:
1) BUY 20 GRPN October 11 CALLS @ $ .52 OB
2) BUY 16 AUXL October 17.50 CALLS @ $ .70 OB
3) BUY 12 HOG October 65 PUTS @ $1.50 OB
We Gained $ 1,860 in closed out positions last week*
increasing our profits for the year to a hypothetical $ 58,600
not counting open positions losses of about $ 11,907.
We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple.
* Last week had a mistake and did not include the TEXT sale on Friday Sept 20 of DSX Calls, the option tables have been updated to include that sale and today’s totals include that sale.
We have three long options positions:
The Stock table has the following 25 positions
The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.
We are basing money management on a hypothetical $ 100,000
and are using $ 3,320 in three options positions and
$ 82,766 in 25 stock positions
totaling $ 86,086 with
$ 13,914 in cash
These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.
Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers. For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower. This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.
Previous Week’s Recommendations and
Rules for the Market Strategies
$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account
- All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
- When the option has doubled sell half the position
- Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
- The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
- The options will be followed until closed out.
- Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price
Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.
NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!
TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND
THE COMPLETE VIP MEMBERS ONLY
MARKET STRATEGIES NEWSLETTER ISSUES
Visit:
PrincetonResearch.com/investment-strategies.htm
To Lock In Your SPECIAL Low Subscription Rate
This Weeks’ Market Strategies
Economic Numbers and Media Data
Monday | Congress continues the shutdown debate until midnight.
Euro-zone Inflation data is released.
09:45 hrs Chicago PMI Sep ( 53.7vs. 53.0 )
|
Tuesday | Obamacare opens health-care exchanges for enrollment.
Germany releases jobless numbers. 10:00 hrs ISM Index Sep ( 55.1 vs 55.7 ) 10:00 hrs Construction Spending Aug ( 0.4% vs. 0.6% ) 14:00 hrs Auto Sales Sep ( NA vs 5.6M ) 14:00 hrs Truck Sales Sep ( NA vs 7.0M )
|
Wednesday | Bernanke speaks at a banking conference in St. Louis.
ECB rate announcement and press conference 07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 09/28 ( NA vs 5.5 % ) 08:15 hrs ADP Employment Change Sep ( 170K vs 176K )
10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 09/28 ( NA vs 2.635M ) Monsanto reports earnings.
|
Thursday | 07:30 hrs Challenger Job Cuts Sep ( NA vs 56.5% )
08:30 hrs Initial Claims 09/28 ( 315K vs 305K ) 08:30 hrs Continuing Claims 09/21 ( 2850K vs 2823K ) 10:00 hrs Factory Orders Aug ( 0.3% vs -2.4% ) 10:00 hrs ISM Services Sep ( 57.4 vs 58.6 )
10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 09/28 ( NA vs 87bcf ) Bank of Japan holds two day policy meeting.
|
Friday | 08:30 hrs Nonfarm Payrolls Sep ( 183K vs 169K )
08:30 hrs Nonfarm Private Payrolls Sep ( 180K vs 152K ) 08:30 hrs Unemployment Rate Sep ( 7.3% vs 7.3% )
08:30 hrs Hourly Earnings Sep ( 0.2% vs 0.2% ) 08:30 hrs Average Workweek Sep ( 34.5 vs 34.5 )
|
Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals
The Stock Market had below-average volume throughout the week as congress battled with itself and the President over budgets and the Affordable Care Act. Dow component Nike (NKE) traded to record highs after reporting better-than-expected earnings and above-consensus worldwide expected orders.
Siemens Europe’s biggest engineering firm whose products range from hearing aids to gas turbines announced it will cut 15,000 jobs over the next year, a third of them in Germany.
Microsoft firmed amid reports Ford Chief Executive Officer Alan Mulally may become Microsoft’s next CEO.
Accenture (ACN) fell after the company’s cautious first-quarter revenue guidance outweighed its mixed earnings. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) climbed to a record contributing to the strength of the health care sector. Transportation-related names were pressured by airlines with United Continental (UAL) giving up its gains over the last two weeks.
The Dow Jones Transportation Average fell 1.4 % even as crude oil fell modestly.
Market Strategies Economic Data
U.S. home prices increased by their best pace in more than seven years in July, sales of new homes in August gained. However pending sales of existing homes in August came in slower than expected.
The benchmark U.S. Treasury bond yield fell for the third week.
The final reading of the September University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was revised up to 77.5 from 76.8 in the advance report, but well below the final August reading of 82.1.
August personal income increased 0.4% after increasing an upwardly revised 0.2% in July.
The August weakness in Equities reduced personal income receipts on assets by 0.2%.
Gains in the equity market in July were likely why income growth was positive in July.
Consumer sentiment levels normally follow trends in equity prices, gasoline prices, media reports, and unemployment trends.
The initial claims level is showing improvement in labor conditions nevertheless consumers still are in doubt about improvement in the labor market.
Market Strategies Technical Information
Support Levels S&P 500 1672 and 1655
Resistance S&P 500 1696 and 1713
Support Levels DOW 15,125 and 14,960
Resistance DOW 15340 and 15,530
Support Levels QQQ 7836 and 77.63
Resistance QQQ 7939 and 8029
Support Levels Nasdaq 3734 and 3682
Resistance Nasdaq 3806 and 3867
Market Strategies Cycles
October Seasonalities; Debt Ceiling and up-coming earnings provide resistance to the Market
October has a dreadful history of market crashes such as in 1929, 1987, the 554-point drop on October 27, 1997, back-to-back massacres in 1978 and 1979, Friday the 13th in 1989 and the 733-point drop on October 15, 2008. During the week ending October 10, 2008, Dow lost 1,874.19 points (18.2%), the worst weekly decline in our database going back to 1901, in point and percentage terms. It is no wonder that the term “Octoberphobia” has been used to describe the phenomenon of major market drops occurring during the month. (Stock Market Almanac)
But October has also been a turnaround month—a “bear killer”. Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011. However, eight were midterm bottoms. This year is neither a midterm year nor is a bear market in progress, thus October’s performance in past post-election years is of greater importance.
Post-election year October’s are neither good nor bad since 1953, ranking mid-pack across DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 1000 with gains averaging from 0.3% (Russell 1000) to 0.9% (NASDAQ). Only Russell 2000 has a negative average return (since 1981). DJIA has the best historical odds for gains having advanced in 10 of the last 15 post-election year Octobers. Despite the best average gain, NASDAQ actually has the worst record, declining in 6 of the last 10 post-election year Octobers. A 12.8% gain in 2001 boosts its average. Should a meaningful decline materialize in October it is likely to be an excellent buying opportunity, especially for any depressed technology and small-cap shares.
Rule 17 B Attestations:
Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe the two small penny stocks ( REPR and AIVN ) we represent for a total outlay of $ 4,725 is well worth the risk. The Target ADR trades at about $ 5.90 in U.S. vs 0.065 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s.
Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.
CONTACT
Please Direct All Inquiries To:
Mike King (702) 650-3000
Or
Charles Moskowitz (781) 826-8882
Princeton Research
3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121
Phone: (702) 650-3000
Fax: (702) 697-8944