Where To Invest Your Money Now January 20, 2014

Stock Market News Today

January 20, 2014

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue

Investing Strategies

 Where To Invest

Your Money Now

Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

 

Market Strategies

Stock Options Trading

$10,000 Account

There are three open positions

CLDX Feb 28th Calls

NBG Jan 2015, $7 Calls

RPT February 15 Calls

Funds in Use $ 1,665

 

Market Strategies Stock Options Trading

$10,000 Account Traders Comments

Traders Comments will be added tomorrow morning.

In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479

Over 284% Returns

The $10,000 Portfolio was worth $38,479

This is an excellent return, and makes the last 3 years gains progressively greater year over year.

 284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013

171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012

77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)

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DATE

TRADES

PRICE

COST

PROCEEDS

RESULTS

01/17

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Special Subscribers Offer

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     1.15

920

640 Gain

01/16  

      1.80

720

01/15  

      0.70

490

245 Gain

01/14  

      1.65

495

01/13  

      0.43

430

420 Loss

01/13  

      0.85

850

01/10  

      0.35

525

10/18  

      0.45

450

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

 

Market Laboratory – Weekly Changes

Dow

16,458.56

+21.51

 +0.13%

Nasdaq

4197.58

+22.92

 +0.55%

S&P 500

1838.70

-3.67

-0.20%

Transportation

7427.46

-38.57

-0.52%

Russell 2000

1168.43

+3.90

        +0.34%

Nasdaq 100

3591.25

+26.16

 +0.73%

Gold (spot)

1251.70

+5.00

          +0.4%

Silver (Dec )

  2030.4

+8.1

 +0.4%

Crude

  94.37

 +1.65

  +1.8%

Heating Oil

302.37

+8.30

 +2.8%

Unleaded Gas

  2.6204

-0.0487

-1.8%

Natural Gas

  4.326

 +0.273

   +6.7%

VIX

 12.44

 +0.30

   +2.5%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

112/100’s

-12/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

 54/100’s

 +3/100’s

Bonds

131-10

+19

  3.76%

-0.04%

10 Yr Note

124-134 +04

 2.83%-0.03

Copper

334.45

+0.30

  +0.08%

CRB Inflation

Index

 278.41

+2.99

  +0.13%

Barron’s Confidence

 73.0%

 -0.5%

S&P100

817.33

-0.62

 -0.08%

5 Yr Note

119-264 -008

1.63%+0.01%

Dollar

81.18

+0.52

 +0.7%

DJ Utilities

492.70

-1.17

  -0.24%

AAII

Confidence

Index

Bullish

  39.0%

 -4.6%

Bearish

 21.5%

-3.5%

Neutral

  39.5%

 +8.1%

M1 Money  Supply

+9.27%

January 6th

M-2 Money

Supply

+5.05%

January 6th

Prices are copied from Barron’s Weekly and Yahoo Finance and may be incorrect

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits

M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year.

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New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

Stock

Purchase Price

Purchase Date

Stop/Loss

 

Price/Date Sold

 

Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

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15.37

     01/16

 
 

10.06

     01/10

 
 

7.85

12/30

 
 

0.78

12/30

 
 

16.22

12/23

 
 

32.64

12/23

 
 

4.31

12/23

 
 

13.12

12/19

13.62 01/07

250

 
 

12.14

11/20

12.71sco

13.00 01/17

344

 
 

8.94

11/18

9.26x

 
 

19.52

8/19

 
 

4.08

8/12

 
 

6.56

7/11

 
 

12.10

5/23

 
 

22.20

4/22

 
 

4.10

3/04

2.64sco

 
 

538

11/08/12

 
 

636

10/9/12

 
 

.25
.225

3/12/12
3/12/12

.08 sco
.08 sco

 
 

0.22

10/22/12

.12 sco

 

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscribers Members Area.

For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

Market Strategies

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

We had two closed out options positions last week and one stock position.

Our losses for the new year were reduced to $ 2,435. 

For the full year 2013 we had realized gains of $ 53,556.

 

We have open position losses of about $ 5,647 most of which are held over from last year.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American ( NAT ) and JP Morgan.

We have three long options positions:

The Stock table has the following 19 positions:

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

 

We are basing money management on a

hypothetical $ 100,000 and are

Using $ 2,970 in three options positions and

$ 67,570 in 19 stock positions

totaling $ 70,540 with
$ 29,460 in cash.

These figures are approximate. We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

 

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out.
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

Option

Cost

Date

Sold

Date

Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

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Click Here

Calls        1.80

01/16/14

 

Calls        1.65

01/14/14

 

Calls        0.85

01/13/14

0.43

( 50% Loss Rule)

01/13/14

( $ 840 )

 

Calls        0.35

01/10/14

0.70

( 100% Profit Rule Half

1.15 Sold Balance

01/15/14

01/17/14

$ 525

$ 1200

 

Calls        0.45

10/18/13

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

This Weeks’ Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

Monday Martin Luther King Day Markets closed

 

Tuesday Baker Hughes and Delta Airlines ( 0.64 vs 0.28 ) report

before the open

Followed by JNJ, Forrest Labs, Halliburton

After the close:

ADTN ( .16 vs.12 )

Cree ( 0.39 vs 0.32 )

IBM ( 6.01 vs 5.39 )

TXN (.50 vs .36 ) and

XLNX ( .54 vs .38 )

 

Master Card splits 10 for 1

 

Wednesday Before the open:

MSI ( 1.62 vs 1.10 )

GD ( 1.76 vs 1.39 )

Molex ( 46 vs 39 )

Norfolk and Southern (1.51 vs 1.30 )

USB ( 0.75 vs 0.75 )

UTX ( 1.53 vs 1.04

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 01/18 ( NA vs 11.9% )

 

After the close:

JEC ( 73 vs 76 )

FBC ( 0.21 vs 1.21 )

RFJ ( 73 vs 69 )

URI ( 1.48 vs 1.27 )

 

Thursday ALK ( 1.01 vs 0.70 )

Baxter ( 1.25 flat )

UNP ( 2.49 vs 2.19 )

MCD ( 1.39 vs 1.38 )

 

08:30 hrs Initial Claims 01/18 ( 327K vs 326K )

Continuing Claims 01/1 ( 2900K vs 3030K

 

09:00 hrs FHFA Housing Price Index Nov ( NA vs 0.5% )

 

10:00 hrs Existing Home Sales Dec ( 4.90 vs Same )

 

10:00 hrs Leading Economic Indicators Dec ( 0.2% vs 0.8% )

 

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 1/18 ( NA vs -287bcf )

 

11:00 hrs Crude Inventories 1/18  ( NS vs -7.658Mln bbls )

 

After the close

MSFT ( .68 vs .76 )

SBUX (.69 vs .57 )

Discover Financial Services (DFS 1.19 )

JNPR ( .37 vs.28 )

 

Friday Bristol-Myers Squibb,

Kimberly Clark and

Procter & Gamble report earnings

 

Energy Transfer Equity splits 2 for 1

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

Most of the economics reports were positive: The Treasury Budget showed a surplus of  $ 53.2 bln in December after showing a deficit of $ 1.2 bln in December 2012. The consensus expected a surplus of $ 44.0 bln. It was unusual that there was surplus beyond what was expected by the Congressional Budget Office. ( CBO ). Total revenues increased by $ 13.7 bln from $ 269 bln in December 2012.

Outlays fell to $ 230 bln from $ 270.7 bln in December 2012. Retail Sales grew well above expectations 0.2% better vs flat expectations. Retail Sales ex-auto advances 0.7% vs expectations of + 0.4%.

Business inventories advanced 0.4% vs expectations of 0.3%.

Both the NY and Phila Fed reports excelled. Empire Manufacturing was 12.5 for January vs just 3.5 December. The Phily Fed rose slightly to 9.4 from 8.0.

JOLTs ( new job openings ) increased again to 4 .001 Mln. Industrial Production was about flat even though Capacity Utilization rose to 79.2%, the very best reading for the year.

 

Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals

Markets were flat yet again for the week. The market digested the poor Intel earnings and Nasdaq led the with a small 0.55% gain for the week. The S&P was slightly higher; the Dow was a little lower. The best performing stocks included Alcoa, up 12.3%, JNPR up 10.4%;

We texted to buy the Alcoa, took some option profits and remain long some AA shares.

If the TLT can keep rising, even though slowly, and it looks like it can go higher, the results will be favorable as earnings hold up reasonably well. There were some huge downside moves.

NUS ( 79.47 ) – 58.21 or -42.3% and HLF -11.61 or -14.2%. The Chinese government stepped in to question sales practices of Nuskin, something even our government has let slide.

Interest rates rising is the biggest threat to continued stock market rallies. Last week the Fed was again a financial winner. The Fed has quadrupled the size of its balance sheet to about $ 4 trillion and its value blossomed. The Fed current quantitative easing program is working and the $ 10 billion in QE reductions to $ 75 billion per month is of little consequence.

Fed officials are watching employment numbers as a clue to further Fed action and got no help last week with the small increase of jobs . U.S. unemployment  was 10% in 2009 and has now dropped to 6.7 % in December not that far from the Fed goal of 6.5% unemployment.

Nonfarm Payrolls were influenced by the worst weather in decades, certainly not a harbinger of a trend.

Seven of the ten Dow economic groups were higher led by Healthcare, up 2.86%.

Utilities rose 2.33%; Financials continued their lofty ways, up 0.70%.

Technology grew 0.61% despite the demise in Apple ( AAPL: $ 532.94 ) – $ 10.99 for the week and $ 38.09 on the year.

Industrials, Consumer Goods and Services were all positive rounding out the winners.

Oil and Gas was flat. Basic Materials fell 0.41%, while Telecommunications fell 1.94%, by far the most of any group.

 

Market Strategies Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1823 – 1775

Resistance S&P 500           1864

 

Support Levels DOW          16,334

Resistance DOW                 16,584

 

Support Levels QQQ           86.86                  

Resistance QQQ                  87.90

                  

Support Levels Nasdaq      4084 – 4000

Resistance Nasdaq             4197 – 4240

    

Market Strategies Cycles

The biggest winner so far among the January Effect trades which go until February 15th, was Origin Agritech ( SEED: $ 2.40 ) up 110% followed by Rare Element Resources ( REE $ 1.63 ) plus 38%.

One of the losers so far is Target Energy ( TEXQY: $ 3.51 ) down 16%. Princeton Research has bought shares and is also doing I.R. for the company.

Weight  Watchers ( NYSE: WTW $ 28.97 ) ( $ 32.13 ) stopped out. Disappointing…made its high point for the year on January 16th at $ 60.30. January is the time for New Year’s resolutions for many over-weight people. Also, as of the end of November 7 million shares were short out of just 27.5 million in the float out of 56.5 million shares outstanding.

Walters Energy ( NYSE: WLT $ 13.96 )  ( $ 14.79 )As low coal prices improve such will also help this leveraged play. 23.15 million shares were short as of the end of November. The stock reached $ 17.02 on January 2nd.

Nuverra Environmental Solutions ( NYSE: NES $ 15.20 ) ( 16.28 ) Has been the biggest loser so far. Prospects in waste management and water recycling has made a partnership with Halliburton. The high for the year  2013 was $ 44.20. A bounce is likely from current depressed levels.

Target Energy* ( ADR: TEXQY $ 4.10 ) ( 4.19 )This Australia based oil explorer and producer is very undervalued. Go to www.targetenergyusa.com . Drilling is in both the Permian Basin and Louisiana. For more information go to www.princetonresearch.com web site as we do investor relations for them.

Apache ( NYSE: APA $ 86.20 )  ( 86.41 ) Has been under siege in the past 30 days with avalanches of selling which must include some tax-loss selling. APA sells at a discount to peers with a PE of just 12x consensus forecasts of $ 7.50 a share for next year.

Cirrus Logic ( CRUS: $ 19.08 ) ( 19.86 ) No debt and a current ratio of 6.12. A nice opportunity.

 

NOTE: This is a Sample Issue Only!

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Disclaimer – Rule 17 B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe the two small penny stocks ( REPR and AIVN ) we represent for a total outlay of $ 4,725 is well worth the risk. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.045 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s. Princeton is paid about 500,000 shares of Leo Motors.

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this Email issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King

mike@princetonresearch.com

(702) 650-3000

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

Visit: www.princetonresearch.com

Stock Options Investing Strategies

Where To Invest

Your Money Now