High Yield Investments February 24, 2014 Market Strategies Newsletter

options investing strategies

February 24, 2014

High Return Investments

Market Strategies Newsletter

Sample Issue

Read The High Yield Investments and best short term investments for 2014 February 24, 2014 Market Strategies Newsletter in .pdf format – Click Here

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Covering High Return Balanced Investing Strategies To

Make Money In Up Or Down Markets

A Publication of Princeton Research, Inc. (www.PrincetonResearch.com)

Contributing Staff: Michael King, Charles Moskowitz

Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$10,000 Trading Account

Traders Comments

There are three open positions:

GRPN March 11 Calls

LUV March 22 Calls

PM March 80 Calls

Funds in Use $ 1,390

 

In 2013 YTD gains were $28,479

Over 284% Returns

A $10,000 Portfolio would

be worth $38,479

The last 3 years our gains have gotten progressively greater year over year.

 284% Returns for $28,400 Profits In 2013

171% Returns for $17,100 Profits In 2012

77% Returns for $7,700 Profits In 2011 (only 33 weeks)

  

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This week we had a gain of $450 lowering our YTD loss to $1,579.

 

We continue to test the highs of 12/31/13 of 1848.36 and 1,848.38 on January 15th of this year.

As I mentioned last week, the move off 1,742 to current levels can have a normal and expectable pullback, but as yet we continue to be supported well above the 1,800 breakout and support near 1,820.

The economic numbers have been lackluster at best with some downright disappointing. The market has shrugged off the bad ones including several earnings misses.  While we got hurt on GRPN (traded up to $12.10 +$2.00 after reporting), the conference call gave disappointing guidance, I sent out a text to ignore the 50% Down rule since we would only receive $40.00 in proceeds.  I don’t like to make these type of exceptions but in a strong market these gaps down (30% lower open) we generally see some bounce.  I will text the sell order when appropriate.

The metals markets are showing some very impressive action. A look at the GLD and the SLV ETFs on a weekly basis show good bottoming formations.  The SLV has a test of the June/July lows without making a new low.  I am looking for a place to use the AGQ  ( 3XSilver ETF ), which gapped up on the weekly chart.  We have been quite successful trading silver related options in the past.  Remember that if things are getting better for the economy we will have some healthy inflation.  We have a position in the $100,000 account in HL as well as the GSG (Goldman commodity index).  Since we cannot trade either in the $10,000 account I will look for the acceleration of a move to participate.

… CAM

 

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Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$10,000 Trading Account

Trade Table

DATE

TRADES

PRICE COST PROCEEDS RESULTS
02/20

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Free Trade Alerts

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     1.24

496

02/19  

1.54

924

270 Gain

02/18  

0.35

350

 

02/18  

0.68

544

 

02/18  

1.61

644

180 Gain

02/14  

 1.16

464

02/14  

    1.09

654

Remember, these trades are based on your participation in the

Subscriber Members Only

TEXTING SERVICE TO RECEIVE ALL UPDATES.

 

Previous closed out trades not listed here may be seen in previous market letters in the

VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

Options Trading Strategies Notes: In Texting we have a limited amount of words. In the interest of brevity: we use 8=August , 9=September . The Quantity and Strike Price for each trade is specific.

We may trade weekly options and they are noted: SPY 1/25 147 for SPY Jan 25th 147 calls or puts.

 

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Market Strategies

High Return Investments

MArket Laboratory

Weekly Changes For Market Indicators

Dow

16,103.30

-51.09

 -0.32%

Nasdaq

4263.41

+19.38

 +0.46%

S&P 500

1836.25

-2.38

 -0.13%

Transportation

7308.60

+1.91

+0.03%

Russell 2000

1164.63

+15.42

       +1.34%

Nasdaq 100

3662.60

-1.27

-0.03%

Gold (spot)

1323.90

+4.90

           +0.4%

Silver (Dec )

  2178.2

+36.1

  +1.7%

Crude

  102.20

 +1.90

  +1.9%

Heating Oil

303.89

+2.23

  +0.7%

Unleaded Gas

  3.0030

+0.0308

+1.1%

Natural Gas

  6.135

+.921

+17.7%

VIX

 14.68

 +1.11

   +7.6%

Put/Call Ratios

S&P 100

96/100’s

-7/100’s

Put/Call Ratios

CBOE Equity

 57/100’s

 -3/100’s

Bonds

132-03  +06

3.70% Unch

10 Yr Note

125-194 -01

 2.73%-0.02%

Copper

329.10

+2.65

  +0.8%

CRB Inflation

Index

 301.58

+8.34

  +2.8%

Barron’s Confidence

 72.3%

+0.04%

S&P100

807.33

-5.24

  -0.64%

5 Yr Note

120-20-007

1.53%+0.01%

Dollar

80.15

+0.12

 +0.2%

DJ Utilities

523.47

+3.96

 +0.76%

AAII

Confidence

Index

Bullish

  42.2%

+2.0%

Bearish

 22.8%

-4.5%

Neutral

  35.0%

 +2.5%

M1 Money  Supply

+9.43%

February 10th

M-2 Money

Supply

+6.35%

February 10th

M1…all money in hands of the public, Time Deposits Traveler’s Checks, Demand Deposits 

M2.. adds Savings and Money Market Accounts both compared with the previous year. 

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New Stock Recommendations

Market Strategies

High Return Investments

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Each stock is allocated a theoretical $ 5,000 share of the portfolio unless otherwise indicated.

Stock

Purchase Price

Purchase Date

Stop/Loss

Price/Date Sold

Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

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59.97

     02/19

 

12.52

     02/07

 

15.37

     01/29

 

10.40

     01/28

 

11.79

     01/28

 

15.37

     01/16

 

10.06

     01/10

 

7.85

12/30

 

0.78

12/30

 

16.22

12/23

 

32.64

12/23

 

4.31

12/23

 

4.08

8/12

 

6.56

7/11

 

12.10

5/23

 

4.10

3/04

2.64sco

 

538

11/08/12

 

636

10/9/12

 

0.22

10/22/12

.12 sco

Recommendations will be both listed in this letter and texted to members.

Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the Subscriber Members Area.

For those of you who do not buy puts to protect your portfolio, there are many ETF’s that are the inverse of the DOW. The symbols are DOG, DXD, SDS,TZA and RWM, which go up when the  DOW, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 go down and down when they go up. The DZZ goes up double when gold goes down.

 

Market Strategies

$100,000 Trading Portfolio

Recommendations And Overall Comments

Last week we gained $900 bringing our total loss for the year to $ 4,777.

The SPXU’s ( a negative ETF ) were bought for balance.

For the full year 2013 we had realized gains of $ 53,556.

We have open position losses of about $ 5,506 most of which are held over from last year.

We also have not counted dividends received on stocks like Apple, Nordic American ( NAT ) and JP Morgan.

We have three long options positions:

The Stock table has the following 20 positions:

The options call for a $ 2,500 investment unless otherwise stated; each stock position requires $5,000 unless specifically stated.

We are basing money management on a hypothetical

$ 100,000 and are using

$ 2,780 in three options positions and

$ 83,580 in 20 stock positions

totaling $ 86,380 with

$ 13,640 in cash.

 

These figures are approximate.

We do not count commission costs and there may be errors.

 

Executions that have occurred at or near the open or close of trading sometimes vary from our actual numbers.  For example, when something opens down and it is through our price, we take the next trade whether it is an uptick or continues lower.  This sometimes results in a 50% trade that is slightly above or below the exact number.

 

Previous Week’s Recommendations and

Rules for the Market Strategies

$100,000 Portfolio Trading Account

  • All options count for about $ 2,500.00 for model portfolio calculations unless otherwise stated
  • When the option has doubled sell half the position
  • Stop Loss protection is either half or offered with each trade
  • The cost of the option is the asking price (or the price between the bid and ask, whichever is more realistic)
  • The options will be followed until closed out.
  • Option Symbols are stock symbol with expiration month and strike price

Option

Trades

Date

Sold

Date

Profit/(Loss)

This Information

Is For Members Only

For Free Trade Alerts

CLICK HERE

Calls        1.24

02/20/14

 

Calls        0.35

02/18/14

 

Calls        0.68

02/18/14

 

Calls        1.09

02/14/14

1.54

02/19/14

$ 540

 

Calls        1.16

02/14/14

1.61

02/18/14

$ 360

Note: Previous closed out stock and option positions can be found in past Market Strategies Newsletter issues available in the VIP Subscribers Members Area.

 

For Free High Return Investments

Trade Alerts

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This Weeks’ Market Strategies

Economic Numbers and Media Data

Monday Magnum Hunter ( MHR ) reports earnings before the open

Expecting a loss of 20 cents vs a nickel profit.

 

Tuesday 09:00 hrs Case-Shiller 20-city Index

Dec ( 13.6% s 13.7% )

 

09:00 hrs FHFA Housing Price Index

Dec ( NA vs 0.1% )

 

Consumer Confidence Feb ( 80.8 vs 80.7 )

 

 

Wednesday Lowe’s ( 0.31 vs 0.26 )

CHK ( .39 vs .26)

DLTR ( 1.06 vs 1.01)

 

07:00 hrs MBA Mortgage Index 02/22 ( NA vs -4.1% )

 

10:00 hrs New Home Sales Jan ( 400K vs 414K )

 

10:30 hrs Crude Inventories 02/22 ( NA vs +0.973 Mln bbls )

 

BIDU ( 1.36 vs 1.28 )

JCP -0.85 vs -1.95

RIG ( 0.75 vs 0.91 )

 

Thursday Best Buy BBY (1.01 vs 1.64)

Kohls KSS ( 1.55 vs 1.66 )

NuSkin NUS 1.97 vs 0.97

SHLD ( – 1.60 vs 1.12 )

 

08:30 hrs Initial Claims 02/22 ( 335K vs 336K )

Continuing Claims 02/15 ( 2975K vs 2981K

 

08:30 hrs Durable Goods Jan ( -1.1% vs -4.2% )

Durable Goods Ex-Transportation ( -0.3% vs -1.3% )

 

10:30 hrs Natural Gas Inventories 02/22 ( NA vs -250bcf )

 

DECK ( 3.78 vs 2.77 )

BAGL ( 0.35 vs 0.33 )

 

Friday 08:30 hrs GDP – 2nd estimate 4th Qtr ( 2.6% vs 3.2% )

Implicit Price Deflator ( 1.3% vs Same )

 

09:45 hrs Chicago PMI Feb ( 56.0 vs 59.6 )

 

09:55 hrs Michigan Sentiment Feb Final ( 81.5 vs 81.2 )

 

10:00 hrs Pending Home Sales Jan ( 0.8% vs -8.7% )

 

 

Market Strategies Economic Data

The housing market is under-performing. The annualized rate of 4.62 million units existing home sales which declined 5.1% in January is now  the lowest since July 2012 and well below the highs of last summer and the 5.2 million unit years at the turn of the century. Existing Home Sales have now been down five of the past six months. The main problem is lack of credit and new rules improperly implemented during the past financial crisis requiring income tax returns and an appropriate amount of income required to qualify. Sales were down sharply in the West where weather is not a factor. This year is surprisingly off to a terrible start even with the huge amount of money in circulation that seems untouchable by prospective home buyers.

Next week could be challenging with Home Price Data as well as sales of newly built homes plus earnings from Home Depot Tuesday before the open and Lowes Wednesday before the open. That means each day there will be negative news on the housing sector. Regardless of the poor current fundamentals, last week the Homebuilding stocks held well. The XHB Homebuilder’s ETF looks promising in the light of such deleterious numbers.

Market Strategies Trading Fundamentals

Equities finished the week with selling after flirting with all-time highs for the third time in a month.

The Dow was down 50 points and the S&P 500 was off  2.38. Nasdaq was ahead by 19 points after having risen to its highest level since the year 2000 led by Under Armour ( UA: $ 112.68 ) up $ 30 since January 27th.

There were six winners out of the ten Dow Industrial Groups. Health Care rose most although just a modest 1.25%. Utilities continued their torrid strength rising 0.68%, but up 5.2% in the Month of February and up nine of the last ten days. Oil and Gas shares rose 0.44%;

Basic Materials 0.24%; Telecommunications 0.17% and Consumer Services 0.14% rounding out the winners. There four losing groups all down small. Industrials fell 0.02%; Consumer Goods 0.07%; Technology 0.21% and Financials 0.70%.

Compass Minerals International ( NYSE: CMP $ 85.80 ) sells salt that municipalities have bought to spread on icy roads. They had a great winter as the stock is up 7% while the S&P is relatively flat.

The table below shows the propensity for the market to rally into Spring.

To See These Tables Read The High Yield Investments and best short term investments for 2014 February 24, 2014 Market Strategies Newsletter in .pdf format – Click Here

 

Market Strategies Technical Information

Support Levels S&P 500    1818

Resistance S&P 500           1853

 

Support Levels DOW          16,080

Resistance DOW                 16,440

 

Support Levels QQQ           86.86                   

Resistance QQQ                  90.70

                  

Support Levels NASDAQ      4118

Resistance NASDAQ             4297

 

    

Market Strategies Cycles

 

Xinergy ( XRG.TO ) appears to be a low cost opportunity with a big upside potential.

Current inventory levels are not sustainable to deliver required tons needed for current coal generation in the US without having a major price spike as witnessed by past cycles.

Current production can’t be increased like in the past due to burdensome US environmental and permitting policy that has caused many mines to be idled or shut for good.  The projected price spike is expected to have longer legs due to the lack of incremental production.

To See The Table Images Data in this section — Read The High Yield Investments and best short term investments for 2014 February 24, 2014 Market Strategies Newsletter in .pdf format – Click Here

 

TO GET OUR TRADE ALERTS BY TEXT MESSAGE AND

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Rule 17B Attestations

Princeton has approximately 2,581,578 shares of AIVN both free and restricted and represents them for I.R.. Princeton also has about 40,000 shares of TXGE. Princeton is paid $ 1,500 per month from RMS Medical Products. Princeton has bought 81,100 shares of RMS Medical Products. Princeton will be engaged by Target Energy. No contract is currently in place. When there is no movement in penny stocks, even though there is none or very small losses, we will liquidate ( sold AIVN on stop ) even though we like the company, if money is needed for better opportunities. We now believe REPR represents upside opportunity. The Target ADR trades at about $ 4.50 in U.S. vs 0.045 in Australia. Princeton owns 400,000 Australia shares and about 500 U.S. ADR’s. Princeton is paid about 500,000 shares of Leo Motors.

Pursuant to the provisions of Rule 206 (4) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, readers should recognize that not all recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any recommendations referred to in this e-mail issue. Princeton may buy or sell its free-trading shares in companies it represents at any time.

 

CONTACT

Please Direct All Inquiries To:

Mike King

(702) 650-3000 

mike@princetonresearch.com

Princeton Research

3887 Pacific Street, Las Vegas, Nevada 89121

High Yield Investments and

Best Short Term Investments

For 2014 Covered In

February 24, 2014

Market Strategies Newsletter